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Circle S.p.A (CIRC) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · IT · Market cap €63.6M

Price€13.70
Fair Value€5.88
Upside-57.1%
Quality77/100
Evidence: Medium Range €3.18 – €7.35

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

Analysis

Circle S.p.A (CIRC) currently trades at €13.70, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €5.88 — implying the stock looks roughly 57.1% overvalued today. We read business quality at 77/100 (high quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

About the company

Circle S.p.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides management consultancy, IT, and software solutions for the port, maritime, and logistics sectors in Italy. The company offers European affairs consultancy services comprising EU funding accelerator to develop successful applications for funding; and international consultancy services. The company also offers Milos Global Supply Chain Visibility, a suite designed for industrial companies to ensure continuous monitoring and control of the supply chain; MasterSPED, a platform for freight forwarders and customs operators; Milos Federative and Customs Services, a set of tools and services that enables easy and up-to-date interoperability among different actors of the logistics chain and customs processes; and StarTracking, an airport-to-airport tracking solution with real-time status updates. Circle S.p.A. was founded in 2012 and is headquartered in Genoa, Italy.

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Frequently asked questions

Is Circle S.p.A (CIRC) undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €5.88 versus a price of €13.70 — about −57% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of CIRC?
Our 21-model fair value for Circle S.p.A is €5.88 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €13.70.
What is the quality score of CIRC?
Circle S.p.A has a Quality Score of 77/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.