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Data-driven stock valuation

First Commerce Bank (CMRB) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of First Commerce Bank stock $7.12, price $7.54, that is 5.6% below the price, quality 58 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. Calculated from audited financials with 6 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Financial Services US

FC First Commerce Bank logo Some data Nov 8, 2026

First Commerce Bank

CMRB · US
Fairly valued, in an uptrend

The stock costs about what our calculation considers fair.

Highly profitable · 23.6% net margin (TTM)
1.3% dividend yield · Low payout
Revenue last quarter +53% vs. a year ago.
Fair value $7.12 · Fairly valued
Quality 58/100
Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +14.8 %/yr in USD)
Mixed vs. peers (6/13)
Moderate moat 63/100 · thin data
Some data
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$7.89 $2.80 Fair Value $7.12 Jun 2017 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $2.80 – $7.89 · fair‑value band $7.12 – $7.34 · the $7.54 price screens above the $7.12 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 8, 2026.

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Company profile

First Commerce Bancorp, Inc. operates as a bank holding company for First Commerce Bank that provides various commercial banking products and services to individuals and businesses in the United States.

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The company offers personal banking products and services, including checking, savings, money market, and certificate of deposit; and business banking products and services, such as business and IOLTA checking, business money market, business escrow, and business savings and certificate of deposit accounts.

It also provides commercial, small business, construction and land development, term, residential and consumer, real estate, and SBA paycheck protection program loans, as well as home equity and second mortgages, commercial mortgages, lines of credit, and Heter Iska financing services.

In addition, the company offers debit and credit cards, insured cash sweep and CDARS, treasury management and merchant services, cannabis banking, municipal and government banking, mobile and online banking, and Zelle, as well as cashier's and counter checks, remote deposit, wire management, ACH origination, positive pay, overdraft sweep, stop payments, foreign check collection, small safe deposit box, and wire transfers services.

First Commerce Bancorp, Inc. was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Lakewood, New Jersey.

Stock analysis

First Commerce Bank (CMRB) currently trades at $7.54, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $7.12, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 5.9%).

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $10.13 per share, and 1 of the 6 models we run sit above the $7.54 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $1.37, and 5 of the 6 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: $7.12 (bear) to $7.34 (bull), the price of $7.54 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

First Commerce Bank reported revenue of $95.3M in FY2025 versus $47.0M in FY2021, a compound +19.3%/yr. Reported net income was $8.3M in FY2025, compounding −16.1%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap $121M Micro · P/E ratio 18.4 · P/S ratio 1.59 · EPS (TTM) $0.4100 · Dividend yield 1.3% · Net margin 8.7% · Return on equity 7.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.2% (5-year average).

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 63 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 52% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −28% fair-value upside, at −6%, CMRB screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $7.12 Fair Value $7.12 Bull $7.34
Price $7.54 · Downside -5.6%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.2658 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Residual Income $7.31 $7.12 $7.34 76
Gordon GGM $0.8000 $1.42 $1.93 68
DDM Multi-Stage $0.8000 $1.31 $1.52 67
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.8000 $1.42 $1.93 68
DDM Multi-Stage $0.8000 $1.31 $1.52 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple $4.74 $6.32 $7.90 63
P/B Multiple $10.45 $13.94 $17.42 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $4.98 $6.67 $9.95 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income $7.31 $7.12 $7.34 76

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 58/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 20
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 74
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 41
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 25
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 80
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 94
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 73
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 96
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 100
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 90/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+18.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+20.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +15.4% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+20.2%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−0.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−2.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.3%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−2.2% vs −1.6%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.31% → 11%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Banks - Regional · 996 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 58 · Above median
Fair Value upside −5.6% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 7.5% · Below median
Return on assets 0.5% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) 23.6% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months) 36.1% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 53.1% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months) 1.3% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 18.4× · Priciest 25%
P/B 0.69× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months) 2.29× · Cheapest 25%
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year) 21.7× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)26 · sector 8
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 47
PAST (return on equity)30 · sector 43
HEALTH (low debt)–
DIVIDEND (yield)27 · sector 53

HEALTH: for banks, insurers and similar financial firms borrowed money is part of the business, so we do not rate debt here.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Postal Savings Bank of China Co 601658 ¥5.53 ¥7.59 +37% vs CMRB
China Merchants Bank Co 600036 ¥42.88 ¥52.73 +23% vs CMRB
BNP Paribas SA BNP €91.93 €106.01 +15% vs CMRB
Intesa Sanpaolo S.p.A ISP €6.18 €4.49 −27% vs CMRB
State Bank of India SBIN ₹1,019 ₹736.65 −28% vs CMRB
UniCredit S.p.A UCG €76.80 €50.44 −34% vs CMRB
Mizuho Financial Group MFG $9.40 $5.89 −37% vs CMRB
DBS Group D05 69.72 SGD 40.39 SGD −42% vs CMRB
HDFC Bank Limited HDFCBANK ₹788.25 ₹406.39 −48% vs CMRB
ICICI Bank Limited ICICIBANK ₹1,571 ₹615.63 −61% vs CMRB

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First Commerce Bank: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "First Commerce Bank Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CMRB

Frequently asked questions

Is First Commerce Bank (CMRB) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $7.12 versus a price of $7.54, about 6% lower (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of CMRB?
Our model-based fair value for First Commerce Bank is $7.12 (as of Nov 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $7.54.
What is the quality score of CMRB?
First Commerce Bank has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for First Commerce Bank (CMRB)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $7.12 (as of Nov 8, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario $7.12, optimistic scenario $7.34. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the First Commerce Bank stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $7.12, about 6% lower versus a price of $7.54 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $7.12, optimistic scenario $7.34. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of First Commerce Bank (CMRB)?
First Commerce Bank reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $52.5M (latest available figure, as of Nov 8, 2026).
Does First Commerce Bank pay a dividend?
First Commerce Bank currently shows a dividend yield of 1.33% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 8, 2026).
How much is the dividend of First Commerce Bank (CMRB) and when is the ex-dividend date?
First Commerce Bank pays a dividend of $0.1 per share a year, a dividend yield of 1.3%. The last ex-dividend date was Aug 10, 2026. The payout ratio is 24.4% of earnings. Our assessment: Low payout. A low payout ratio: the dividend takes at most 60 % of earnings. Whether free cash flow covers it as well, we cannot see for this company.
What is the intrinsic value of First Commerce Bank (CMRB)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For First Commerce Bank it is $7.12 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026), against a price of $7.54. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models in 4 families (Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit).
Is First Commerce Bank stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 2026, CMRB trades above its calculated fair value: price $7.54, fair value $7.12, a gap of about −6% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CMRB?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($7.54); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($7.12). For First Commerce Bank the two are $0.4200 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is First Commerce Bank worth?
The market values First Commerce Bank at about $121M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 8, 2026). Per share that is $7.54; our models calculate a fair value of $7.12 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CMRB?
Our models span a range for First Commerce Bank: cautious scenario $7.12, base $7.12, optimistic $7.34 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026, price $7.54). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of CMRB?
First Commerce Bank trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 18.4 (as of Nov 8, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $7.12 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.7, P/S 2.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of First Commerce Bank (CMRB)?
Balance-sheet figures for First Commerce Bank (as of Nov 8, 2026): return on equity 7.5%. They feed the Quality Score of 58/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CMRB from its 52-week high?
First Commerce Bank trades at $7.54, about 3% below its 52-week high of $7.75 and 52% above the low of $4.96 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $7.12 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to First Commerce Bank?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value China Merchants Bank Co, DBS Group, UniCredit S.p.A, Mizuho Financial Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is First Commerce Bank stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 8, 2026: price $7.54, calculated fair value $7.12 (−6%), Quality Score 58/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CMRB calculated?
We run First Commerce Bank through 6 models from 4 families: Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $7.12 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. First Commerce Bank itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of First Commerce Bank (CMRB)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $7.54. Our model-based fair value is $7.12, about 6% lower (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with First Commerce Bank right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($7.34). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. The models converge in a tight band ($7.12 to $7.34), unusually little disagreement for a valuation. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Where does the earnings growth of First Commerce Bank (CMRB) come from?
Earnings per share at First Commerce Bank grew −1.2 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +10.9 %, EBIT margin −12.9 %, tax rate +2.0 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.3 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of First Commerce Bank

How large is the market capitalisation of First Commerce Bank (CMRB)?
The market capitalisation of First Commerce Bank is $121M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of First Commerce Bank (CMRB)?
The price-to-sales ratio of First Commerce Bank is 1.59 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of First Commerce Bank (CMRB)?
Earnings per share at First Commerce Bank are $0.4100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 18.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of First Commerce Bank (CMRB)?
The dividend yield of First Commerce Bank is 1.3% (payout 24.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of First Commerce Bank (CMRB)?
The net margin of First Commerce Bank is 8.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of First Commerce Bank (CMRB)?
The return on equity (ROE) of First Commerce Bank is 7.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of First Commerce Bank (CMRB)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of First Commerce Bank is 1.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of First Commerce Bank (CMRB)?
The operating margin of First Commerce Bank is 36.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at First Commerce Bank (CMRB)?
Revenue at First Commerce Bank is growing +53.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +20.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at First Commerce Bank (CMRB)?
Earnings per share at First Commerce Bank are growing +234% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does First Commerce Bank (CMRB) generate?
The free cash flow of First Commerce Bank is $5.6M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does First Commerce Bank (CMRB) carry?
The net debt of First Commerce Bank is $174M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 31.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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