CNDF Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · FR · Market cap €1.7B
Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026
From 6 valuation models · updated 29 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026, revised from €55.87 to €57.56 (+3.0%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price +1.4% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 93% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (€43.17). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (53/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €10.07 – €36.90 · fair‑value band €43.17 – €71.95 · the €29.78 price screens below the €57.56 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
Analysis
CNDF (CNDF) currently trades at €29.78, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €57.56, implying the stock looks roughly 93.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, CNDF generated revenue of €636M at a net margin of 26.0%. Revenue grew 1.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of €2.6B. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €43.17 (bear case) to €71.95 (bull case); at €29.78, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high and 76% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at 93%, CNDF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 6 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (€75.35) versus Dividend Discount (€8.54). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 73
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Caisse Régionale de Crédit Agricole Mutuel Nord de France Société cooperative provides banking products and financial services in France. The company offers savings support products, including monetary, bonds, and securities; and loans primarily for housing and consumption.
Full company description
Caisse Régionale de Crédit Agricole Mutuel Nord de France Société cooperative provides banking products and financial services in France. The company offers savings support products, including monetary, bonds, and securities; and loans primarily for housing and consumption. It also provides life insurance, as well as insurance products for banking risk, financial losses, and multi-risk, as well as coverage for civil liabilities insurance products. In addition, it offers asset management and brokerage services. It serves individuals, farmers, professionals, businesses, and local authorities. The company was founded in 1894 and is headquartered in Lille, France. Caisse Régionale de Crédit Agricole Mutuel Nord de France Société coopérative operates as a subsidiary of Crédit Agricole S.A.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
CNDF reported revenue of €1.5B in FY2025 versus €620M in FY2021, a compound +23.7%/yr. Reported net income was €182M in FY2025, compounding +3.3%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Banks - Regional · 1083 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA | 6,175 IDR | 6,087 IDR | -1% |
| KB Financial Group 105560 | 184,400 KRW | 213,797 KRW | +16% |
| PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI | 2,970 IDR | 4,891 IDR | +65% |
| PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI | 4,310 IDR | 7,841 IDR | +82% |
| Banco Bradesco S.A BBD | 5,120 ARS | 10,240 ARS | +100% |
| Shinhan Financial Group 055550 | 107,900 KRW | 137,259 KRW | +27% |
| Hana Financial Group 086790 | 136,800 KRW | 193,969 KRW | +42% |
| Lloyds Banking Group LYG | 4,138 ARS | 8,275 ARS | +100% |
| Banco de Chile, CHILE | 193.10 CLP | 152.55 CLP | -21% |
| Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB | 59,400 VND | 84,201 VND | +42% |
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Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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