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Connect Biopharma Holdings Ltd (CNTB) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Connect Biopharma Holdings Ltd $0.59, price $1.07, upside -44.9%, quality 34 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Healthcare · US · ISIN US2075231017

CB Connect Biopharma Holdings Ltd logo Thin data Sep 23, 2026

Connect Biopharma Holdings Ltd

CNTB · US

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value $0.5900 · Strongly overvalued (−45%)
!Quality 34/100
!Weak Growth (revenue YoY −99.8 %/yr)
!negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (0/5)
!Narrow moat 5/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$28.50 $0.5500 Fair Value $0.5900 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.5500 – $28.50 · fair‑value band $0.3900 – $0.7300 · the $1.07 price screens above the $0.5900 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Connect Biopharma Holdings Limited operates as a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company in the United States. It develops rademikibart, a human monoclonal IgG4 antibody directed against IL-4Ra in two Phase 2 trials for the treatment of acute exacerbations of asthma and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD).

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Connect Biopharma Holdings Limited operates as a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company in the United States. It develops rademikibart, a human monoclonal IgG4 antibody directed against IL-4Ra in two Phase 2 trials for the treatment of acute exacerbations of asthma and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). The company was founded in 2012 and is headquartered in San Diego, California.

Stock analysis

Connect Biopharma Holdings Ltd (CNTB) currently trades at $1.07, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.5900, implying the stock looks roughly 81.4% overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: $0.3900 (bear) to $0.7300 (bull), the price of $1.07 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.

Connect Biopharma Holdings Ltd reported revenue of $64.0K in FY2025 versus $0 in FY2021. Reported net income was −$55.5M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $126M · EPS (TTM) $−1.15 · Return on equity −103% · Return on assets (EBIT) −56.4% · Operating margin −11,602% · Free cash flow −$51.6M · Net cash $37.7M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 27 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 71% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at −5% fair-value upside, at −45%, CNTB screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.3900 Fair Value $0.5900 Bull $0.7300
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $0.3300 $0.4500 $0.6700 51
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.3300 $0.4500 $0.6700 51

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 34/100

Of which business quality 36 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 23

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 10
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 9
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 75
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 19
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 76
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

CNTB screens 81% overvalued. Compare with Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Biotechnology · 649 stocks

Beats the industry median on 0/4 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 36 · Below median
Fair Value upside −45% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −54% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper

P/B 3.00× · Pricier than median

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Biotechnology stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX $516.34 $567.97 +10%
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc REGN $801.82 $1,252 +56%
argenx SE ARGX $963.79 $918.60 −5%
Samsung Biologics Co 207940 1,366,000 KRW 1,502,600 KRW +10%
CSL Limited CSL A$179.12 A$197.03 +10%
Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc ALNY $251.65 $218.36 −13%
Royalty Pharma plc RPRX $58.52 $24.22 −59%
BeOne Medicines AG 6160 HK$218.20 HK$169.72 −22%
Celltrion, Inc 068270 177,400 KRW 74,519 KRW −58%
BioNTech SE BNTX $100.87 $63.62 −37%

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Connect Biopharma Holdings Ltd · Fair Value
$0.5900 −81%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Connect Biopharma Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CNTB

Frequently asked questions

Is Connect Biopharma Holdings Ltd (CNTB) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.5900 versus a price of $1.07, about −45% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CNTB?
Our model-based fair value for Connect Biopharma Holdings Ltd is $0.5900 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $1.07.
What is the quality score of CNTB?
Connect Biopharma Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 34/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Connect Biopharma Holdings Ltd (CNTB)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.5900 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.3900, optimistic scenario $0.7300. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Connect Biopharma Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.5900, about −45% upside versus a price of $1.07 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.3900, optimistic scenario $0.7300. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Connect Biopharma Holdings Ltd (CNTB)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Connect Biopharma Holdings Ltd it is $0.5900 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $1.07. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Connect Biopharma Holdings Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, CNTB trades above its calculated fair value: price $1.07, fair value $0.5900, a gap of about −45% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CNTB?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($1.07); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.5900). For Connect Biopharma Holdings Ltd the two are $0.4800 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Connect Biopharma Holdings Ltd worth?
The market values Connect Biopharma Holdings Ltd at about $126M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $1.07; our models calculate a fair value of $0.5900 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CNTB?
Our models span a range for Connect Biopharma Holdings Ltd: cautious scenario $0.3900, base $0.5900, optimistic $0.7300 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $1.07). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Connect Biopharma Holdings Ltd (CNTB)?
Balance-sheet figures for Connect Biopharma Holdings Ltd (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −102.9%. They feed the Quality Score of 34/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CNTB from its 52-week high?
Connect Biopharma Holdings Ltd trades at $1.07, about 71% below its 52-week high of $3.69 and at the low of $1.07 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.5900 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Connect Biopharma Holdings Ltd?
From the same area (Healthcare) we also value Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc, argenx SE, Samsung Biologics Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Connect Biopharma Holdings Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $1.07, calculated fair value $0.5900 (−45%), Quality Score 34/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CNTB calculated?
We run Connect Biopharma Holdings Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.5900, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Connect Biopharma Holdings Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Connect Biopharma Holdings Ltd (CNTB)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $1.07. Our model-based fair value is $0.5900, about −45% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Connect Biopharma Holdings Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.7300). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (34/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range ($0.3900 to $0.7300) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Connect Biopharma Holdings Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Connect Biopharma Holdings Ltd (CNTB)?
The market capitalisation of Connect Biopharma Holdings Ltd is $126M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Connect Biopharma Holdings Ltd (CNTB)?
Earnings per share at Connect Biopharma Holdings Ltd are $−1.15. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Connect Biopharma Holdings Ltd (CNTB)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Connect Biopharma Holdings Ltd is −103% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Connect Biopharma Holdings Ltd (CNTB)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Connect Biopharma Holdings Ltd is −56.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Connect Biopharma Holdings Ltd (CNTB)?
The operating margin of Connect Biopharma Holdings Ltd is −11,602% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How much free cash flow does Connect Biopharma Holdings Ltd (CNTB) generate?
The free cash flow of Connect Biopharma Holdings Ltd is −$51.6M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Connect Biopharma Holdings Ltd (CNTB) hold?
Connect Biopharma Holdings Ltd holds more cash than debt, $37.7M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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