EN DE

Centiel AG (CNTL) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CH · Market cap CHF 468M

CA Centiel AG CNTL · SW
PriceCHF 7.16
Fair ValueCHF 1.65
Upside-77.0%
Quality85/100
Watch Centiel AG for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Watch for free
Healthy Growth
Solidly profitable · 17.1% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (6/13)
Wide moat 82/100
Evidence: Medium Range CHF 1.23 – CHF 2.07 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 26 days ago

Share price +20.9% over the past month.

A strong business, but screening 77% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • A high-quality business (quality 85/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (CHF 2.07). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
Share this valuation: 𝕏 WhatsApp

Price vs Fair Value (4 months)

CHF 8.52 CHF 3.15 Fair Value CHF 1.65 Apr 2026 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Jul 15, 2026.

How to read this chart

4‑month range CHF 3.15 – CHF 8.52 · fair‑value band CHF 1.23 – CHF 2.07 · the CHF 7.16 price screens above the CHF 1.65 fair value. As of Jul 15, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

Which stocks are undervalued right now? Check free Discover now →

Analysis

Centiel AG (CNTL) currently trades at CHF 7.16, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is CHF 1.65, implying the stock looks roughly 77.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 85/100 (high quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Centiel AG generated revenue of CHF 45.7M at a net margin of 17.1%. It earns a return on equity of 55.8%. Net debt stands at CHF 2.0M. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 53.0. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026

Our scenario range runs from CHF 1.23 (bear case) to CHF 2.07 (bull case); at CHF 7.16, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 127% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -77%, CNTL screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF CHF 1.07 CHF 1.72 CHF 2.90 80
Rev-Margin DCF CHF 0.9800 CHF 1.75 CHF 3.24 74
ROIC Compounder CHF 1.01 CHF 1.26 CHF 1.55 72
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF CHF 1.14 CHF 1.62 CHF 3.05 38
Owner Earnings CHF 1.32 CHF 2.63 CHF 5.05 31
5Y Revenue Exit CHF 0.9500 CHF 1.54 CHF 2.78 39
5Y EBITDA Exit CHF 1.30 CHF 2.24 CHF 4.09 41
5Y P/E Exit CHF 1.47 CHF 3.23 CHF 5.63 38
10Y Revenue Exit CHF 0.9900 CHF 1.96 CHF 2.55 36
10Y EBITDA Exit CHF 1.25 CHF 2.64 CHF 5.06 37
10Y P/E Exit CHF 1.37 CHF 2.99 CHF 5.66 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd CHF 0.6500 CHF 4.55 CHF 6.38 54
Lynch FV CHF 1.86 CHF 2.65 CHF 3.45 50
PEG = 1.0 CHF 1.86 CHF 2.65 CHF 3.45 46
EPV CHF 0.8900 CHF 1.00 CHF 1.09 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple CHF 1.51 CHF 2.01 CHF 2.52 63
P/S Multiple CHF 0.8400 CHF 1.12 CHF 1.40 58
P/B Multiple CHF 0.7400 CHF 0.9900 CHF 1.23 55
EV/EBIT CHF 1.71 CHF 2.24 CHF 2.78 53
EV/EBITDA CHF 1.35 CHF 1.77 CHF 2.19 54
EV/Revenue CHF 0.8000 CHF 1.11 CHF 1.41 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) CHF 0.1100 CHF 0.1500 CHF 0.2200 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF CHF 1.07 CHF 1.72 CHF 2.90 80
Rev-Margin DCF CHF 0.9800 CHF 1.75 CHF 3.24 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income CHF 0.6500 CHF 0.9800 CHF 11.22 61
ROIC Compounder CHF 1.01 CHF 1.26 CHF 1.55 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E CHF 2.32 CHF 3.32 CHF 4.31 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (CHF 3.32) versus Asset-Based (CHF 0.1500). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) CHF 45.7M
Net margin 17.1%
Return on equity 55.8%
Free cash flow CHF 6.2M FY2025
P/E ratio 53.0
Operating margin 22.5%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) CHF 0.1000
Net debt CHF 2.0M FY2023

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 85/100

Of which business quality 82 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 80

Profitability 94
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 64
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 60
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 94
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 47
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 100
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 85
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 80
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Centiel AG designs, manufactures, and supplies power protection solutions for critical installations in Switzerland. Its products include three phase, including modular and standalone; single phase, such as cumuluspower X1, essentialpower X1; and energy storage products.

Full company description

Centiel AG designs, manufactures, and supplies power protection solutions for critical installations in Switzerland. Its products include three phase, including modular and standalone; single phase, such as cumuluspower X1, essentialpower X1; and energy storage products. The company also provides UPS Network Management Software that provides a comprehensive solution to optimize the performance of site and improve the management of UPS systems. In addition, it offers solutions, such as containerised UPS solutions, railway, emergency lighting, medical special, and customized solutions. Further, the company provides preventive maintenance, emergency services, site surveys, UPS rental, UPS relocation, battery monitoring and replacement, capacitor and fan replacement, commissioning, factory acceptance tests, and educational training for customers. Additionally, it offers UPS for colocation data centers. Centiel AG was incorporated in 1968 and is headquartered in Lugano, Switzerland.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2023 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Centiel AG reported revenue of CHF 45.7M in FY2025 versus CHF 27.0M in FY2023, a compound +30.2%/yr. Reported net income was CHF 7.8M in FY2025, compounding +82.2%/yr from FY2023.

Growth Quality 100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
CHF 45.7M
Latest YoY
+25.6%
Revenue +30.2%/yr
FY23 CHF 27.0M
FY24 CHF 36.4M
FY25 CHF 45.7M
Net income +82.2%/yr
FY23 CHF 2.4M
FY24 CHF 5.6M
FY25 CHF 7.8M

CNTL screens 77% overvalued. Compare with Contemporary Amperex Technology Co →

Share or link this analysis
For bloggers & editors: embed code + live data

For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Centiel AG Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CNTL

Peer Group

Electrical Equipment & Parts · 528 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 85 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −77% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 56% · Top 25%
Return on assets 23% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 17% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 23% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 0% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Electrical Equipment & Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 57.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 32.36× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 12.68× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 92.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 54.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 57
PAST 100 · sector 26
HEALTH 100 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 18

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Electrical Equipment & Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Contemporary Amperex Technology Co 3750 HK$675.50 HK$391.44 -42%
ABB Ltd ABBN CHF 83.82 CHF 35.46 -58%
Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company TDED 10.16 SGD 1.47 SGD -86%
LG Energy Solution, Ltd 373220 334,000 KRW 201,455 KRW -40%
WEG S.A WEGE3 13,210 ARS 7,948 ARS -40%
Sungrow Power Supply Co 300274 ¥114.79 ¥123.83 +8%
Shenzhen Inovance Technology Co 300124 ¥63.43 ¥33.04 -48%
HD Hyundai Electric Co 267260 823,000 KRW 371,133 KRW -55%
LS ELECTRIC Co 010120 190,000 KRW 31,517 KRW -83%
Sieyuan Electric Co 002028 ¥151.73 ¥71.69 -53%

Compare Centiel AG with another stock

Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

Free, no sign-up

Explore undervalued stocks

More undervalued Industrials stocks →

All undervalued stocks TechnologyFinancial ServicesHealthcareConsumer CyclicalConsumer DefensiveCommunication ServicesIndustrialsEnergyBasic MaterialsReal EstateUtilities Deeply Undervalued StocksUndervalued Blue-Chip StocksUndervalued Small-Cap StocksUndervalued Dividend Stocks

Frequently asked questions

Is Centiel AG (CNTL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 15, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of CHF 1.65 versus a price of CHF 7.16, about −77% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CNTL?
Our model-based fair value for Centiel AG is CHF 1.65 (as of Jul 15, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is CHF 7.16.
What is the quality score of CNTL?
Centiel AG has a Quality Score of 85/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Centiel AG (CNTL)?
Centiel AG reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about CHF 45.7M (latest available figure, as of Jul 15, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CNTL?
The net profit margin of Centiel AG is about 17.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 17.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

14 days Pro free · no card

Track Centiel AG and try Pro for 14 days

One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.

Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.