CENTIEL N AG (CNTL) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of CENTIEL N AG stock CHF 4.16, price CHF 5.70, that is 27.0% below the price, quality 85 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 24 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Centiel AG designs, manufactures, and supplies power protection solutions for critical installations in Switzerland. Its products include three phase, including modular and standalone; single phase, such as cumuluspower X1, essentialpower X1; and energy storage products.
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The company also provides UPS Network Management Software that provides a comprehensive solution to optimize the performance of site and improve the management of UPS systems.
In addition, it offers solutions, such as containerised UPS solutions, railway, emergency lighting, medical special, and customized solutions.
Further, the company provides preventive maintenance, emergency services, site surveys, UPS rental, UPS relocation, battery monitoring and replacement, capacitor and fan replacement, commissioning, factory acceptance tests, and educational training for customers.
Additionally, it offers UPS for colocation data centers. Centiel AG was incorporated in 1968 and is headquartered in Lugano, Switzerland.
Stock analysis
CENTIEL N AG (CNTL) currently trades at CHF 5.70, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is CHF 4.16, 27% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of CHF 3.32 per share, and 0 of the 24 models we run sit above the CHF 5.70 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at CHF 1.21, and 24 of the 24 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: CHF 2.46 (bear) to CHF 7.52 (bull), the price of CHF 5.70 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 85/100 (high quality), in the Industrials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
CENTIEL N AG reported revenue of CHF 45.7M in FY2025 versus CHF 27.0M in FY2023, a compound +30.2%/yr. Reported net income was CHF 7.8M in FY2025, compounding +82.2%/yr from FY2023.
Key figures
Market cap CHF 465M Small · P/E ratio 63.3 · P/S ratio 10.8 · EPS (TTM) CHF 0.0900 · Net margin 17.1% · Return on equity 55.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 26.9% (3-year average) · Operating margin 9.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 72 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −36% fair-value upside, at −27%, CNTL screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
BearCHF 2.46Fair Value CHF 4.16BullCHF 7.52
Price CHF 5.70 · Downside -27.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (CHF 0.0769 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: only 3 usable fiscal years, at least 4 required
not computed
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+34.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+72.9%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (Switzerland: IMF forecast 0.6% a year to 2030, 0.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +33.7% a year for the price and +71.9% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electrical Equipment & Parts · 564 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score85 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−27.0% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)55.8% · Top 25%
Return on assets24.9% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)14.6% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)9.8% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)37.0% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Electrical Equipment & Parts median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "CENTIEL N AG Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CNTL
Frequently asked questions
Is CENTIEL N AG (CNTL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of CHF 4.16 versus a price of CHF 5.70, about 27% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CNTL?
Our model-based fair value for CENTIEL N AG is CHF 4.16 (as of Nov 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: CHF 5.70.
What is the quality score of CNTL?
CENTIEL N AG has a Quality Score of 85/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for CENTIEL N AG (CNTL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of CHF 4.16 (as of Nov 5, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario CHF 2.46, optimistic scenario CHF 7.52. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the CENTIEL N AG stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at CHF 4.16, about 27% lower versus a price of CHF 5.70 (overvalued). Cautious scenario CHF 2.46, optimistic scenario CHF 7.52. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of CENTIEL N AG (CNTL)?
CENTIEL N AG reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about CHF 52.5M (latest available figure, as of Nov 5, 2026).
What growth is priced into CENTIEL N AG (CNTL)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, CENTIEL N AG would have to grow free cash flow by +34.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 2 years revenue grew +30.2 % per year. As of Nov 5, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of CNTL use?
Our models discount CENTIEL N AG at 9.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.53, country premium for Switzerland. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For CENTIEL N AG that is +34.5 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (9.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has CENTIEL N AG (CNTL) delivered so far?
Over the past 2 years revenue at CENTIEL N AG grew +30.2 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +34.5 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of CENTIEL N AG (CNTL) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into CENTIEL N AG (+34.5 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of CENTIEL N AG (CNTL)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.34 %: that much free cash flow CENTIEL N AG produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of CENTIEL N AG (CNTL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For CENTIEL N AG it is CHF 4.16 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026), against a price of CHF 5.70. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models in 7 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is CENTIEL N AG stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 5, 2026, CNTL trades above its calculated fair value: price CHF 5.70, fair value CHF 4.16, a gap of about −27% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CNTL?
No. The price is what the market pays today (CHF 5.70); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (CHF 4.16). For CENTIEL N AG the two are CHF 1.54 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is CENTIEL N AG worth?
The market values CENTIEL N AG at about CHF 465M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 5, 2026). Per share that is CHF 5.70; our models calculate a fair value of CHF 4.16 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CNTL?
Our models span a range for CENTIEL N AG: cautious scenario CHF 2.46, base CHF 4.16, optimistic CHF 7.52 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026, price CHF 5.70). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of CNTL?
CENTIEL N AG trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 63.3 (as of Nov 5, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of CHF 4.16 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 26.0, P/S 8.9, EV/EBITDA 45.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of CENTIEL N AG (CNTL)?
Balance-sheet figures for CENTIEL N AG (as of Nov 5, 2026): return on equity 55.8%. They feed the Quality Score of 85/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
Which stocks are comparable to CENTIEL N AG?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Contemporary Amperex Technology Co, ABB Ltd, Vertiv Holdings, Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is CENTIEL N AG stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 5, 2026: price CHF 5.70, calculated fair value CHF 4.16 (−27%), Quality Score 85/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CNTL calculated?
We run CENTIEL N AG through 24 models from 7 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of CHF 4.16 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. CENTIEL N AG itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of CENTIEL N AG (CNTL)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was CHF 5.70. Our model-based fair value is CHF 4.16, about 27% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with CENTIEL N AG right now?
A high-quality business (quality 85/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety. The model range is unusually wide (CHF 2.46 to CHF 7.52). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
Key figures of CENTIEL N AG
How large is the market capitalisation of CENTIEL N AG (CNTL)?
The market capitalisation of CENTIEL N AG is CHF 465M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of CENTIEL N AG (CNTL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of CENTIEL N AG is 10.8 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of CENTIEL N AG (CNTL)?
Earnings per share at CENTIEL N AG are CHF 0.0900 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 63.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of CENTIEL N AG (CNTL)?
The net margin of CENTIEL N AG is 17.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of CENTIEL N AG (CNTL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of CENTIEL N AG is 55.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of CENTIEL N AG (CNTL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of CENTIEL N AG is 26.9% (avg 3y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of CENTIEL N AG (CNTL)?
The operating margin of CENTIEL N AG is 9.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at CENTIEL N AG (CNTL)?
Revenue at CENTIEL N AG is growing +37.0% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at CENTIEL N AG (CNTL)?
Earnings per share at CENTIEL N AG are growing −19.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does CENTIEL N AG (CNTL) carry?
The net debt of CENTIEL N AG is CHF 2.0M (fiscal year 2023, ≈ 0.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Nov 5, 2026