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CENTIEL N AG (CNTL) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of CENTIEL N AG CHF 4.04, price CHF 6.22, upside -35.1%, quality 85 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Industrials · CH

CN Some data Sep 23, 2026

CENTIEL N AG

CNTL · SW

Quality Too ExpensiveQuality growthExcellent quality, but the valuation looks stretched.

!Fair value CHF 4.04 · Strongly overvalued (−35%)
✓Quality 85/100
✓Healthy Growth (revenue YoY +25.6 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 17.1% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (7/13)
✓Wide moat 82/100
!Insider activity 40/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

CHF 8.52 CHF 3.15 Fair Value CHF 4.04 Apr 2026 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

5‑month range CHF 3.15 – CHF 8.52 · fair‑value band CHF 2.46 – CHF 7.22 · the CHF 6.22 price screens above the CHF 4.04 fair value. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Centiel AG designs, manufactures, and supplies power protection solutions for critical installations in Switzerland. Its products include three phase, including modular and standalone; single phase, such as cumuluspower X1, essentialpower X1; and energy storage products.

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Centiel AG designs, manufactures, and supplies power protection solutions for critical installations in Switzerland. Its products include three phase, including modular and standalone; single phase, such as cumuluspower X1, essentialpower X1; and energy storage products. The company also provides UPS Network Management Software that provides a comprehensive solution to optimize the performance of site and improve the management of UPS systems. In addition, it offers solutions, such as containerised UPS solutions, railway, emergency lighting, medical special, and customized solutions. Further, the company provides preventive maintenance, emergency services, site surveys, UPS rental, UPS relocation, battery monitoring and replacement, capacitor and fan replacement, commissioning, factory acceptance tests, and educational training for customers. Additionally, it offers UPS for colocation data centers. Centiel AG was incorporated in 1968 and is headquartered in Lugano, Switzerland.

Stock analysis

CENTIEL N AG (CNTL) currently trades at CHF 6.22, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is CHF 4.04, implying the stock looks roughly 54.0% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of CHF 3.32 per share, and 0 of the 24 models we run sit above the CHF 6.22 price.

Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at CHF 0.9800, and 24 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: CHF 2.46 (bear) to CHF 7.22 (bull), the price of CHF 6.22 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 85/100 (high quality), in the Industrials sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

CENTIEL N AG reported revenue of CHF 45.7M in FY2025 versus CHF 27.0M in FY2023, a compound +30.2%/yr. Reported net income was CHF 7.8M in FY2025, compounding +82.2%/yr from FY2023.

Key figures

Market cap CHF 508M · P/E ratio 62.2 · P/S ratio 10.6 · EPS (TTM) CHF 0.1000 · Net margin 17.1% · Return on equity 55.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 26.9% · Operating margin 22.5%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −36% fair-value upside, at −35%, CNTL screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear CHF 2.46 Fair Value CHF 4.04 Bull CHF 7.22
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (CHF 0.0732 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EPV CHF 0.8900 CHF 1.00 CHF 1.09 71
FCF DCF CHF 1.14 CHF 1.62 CHF 3.05 70
Growth DCF CHF 1.07 CHF 1.72 CHF 2.90 69
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF CHF 1.14 CHF 1.62 CHF 3.05 70
Owner Earnings CHF 1.32 CHF 2.63 CHF 5.06 65
5Y Revenue Exit CHF 0.9500 CHF 1.54 CHF 2.78 63
5Y EBITDA Exit CHF 1.30 CHF 2.24 CHF 4.09 65
5Y P/E Exit CHF 1.47 CHF 3.23 CHF 5.63 61
10Y Revenue Exit CHF 0.9900 CHF 1.96 CHF 2.55 60
10Y EBITDA Exit CHF 1.25 CHF 2.64 CHF 5.06 58
10Y P/E Exit CHF 1.37 CHF 2.99 CHF 5.66 54
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd CHF 0.6500 CHF 4.55 CHF 6.38 57
Lynch FV CHF 1.86 CHF 2.65 CHF 3.45 55
PEG = 1.0 CHF 1.86 CHF 2.65 CHF 3.45 52
EPV CHF 0.8900 CHF 1.00 CHF 1.09 71
Multiples
P/E Multiple CHF 1.51 CHF 2.01 CHF 2.52 63
P/S Multiple CHF 0.8400 CHF 1.12 CHF 1.40 58
P/B Multiple CHF 0.7400 CHF 0.9900 CHF 1.23 55
EV/EBIT CHF 1.71 CHF 2.24 CHF 2.78 66
EV/EBITDA CHF 1.35 CHF 1.77 CHF 2.19 67
EV/Revenue CHF 0.8000 CHF 1.11 CHF 1.41 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) CHF 0.1100 CHF 0.1500 CHF 0.2200 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF CHF 1.07 CHF 1.72 CHF 2.90 69
Rev-Margin DCF CHF 0.9800 CHF 1.75 CHF 3.24 63
Economic Profit
Residual Income CHF 0.6500 CHF 0.9800 CHF 11.22 51
ROIC Compounder CHF 1.01 CHF 1.26 CHF 1.55 66
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E CHF 2.32 CHF 3.32 CHF 4.31 61

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 85/100

Of which business quality 82 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 51

Profitability 94
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 64
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 60
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 94
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 47
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 27
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 80
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: only 3 usable fiscal years, at least 4 required
not computed

Growth Forecast

Price in line with expectations
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and about what analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+36.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+36.1%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (Switzerland: IMF forecast 0.6% a year to 2030, 0.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +35.6% a year for the price and +35.3% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+45.9%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+41.2%
Projected 2028 (sales)+36.3%
Projected 2029 (sales)+31.4%
Projected 2030 (sales)+26.5%

CNTL screens 54% overvalued. Compare with Contemporary Amperex Technology Co →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electrical Equipment & Parts · 550 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 85 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −35% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 56% · Top 25%
Return on assets 23% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 17% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 23% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 0% · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Electrical Equipment & Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 62.2× · Priciest 25%
P/B 34.39× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 13.47× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF 98.7× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 57.8× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 58
PAST (return on equity)100 · sector 26
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 22

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Electrical Equipment & Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Contemporary Amperex Technology Co 3750 HK$507.00 HK$816.64 +61%
ABB Ltd ABBN CHF 83.10 CHF 29.28 −65%
Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company DELTA 252.00 THB 40.31 THB −84%
Vertiv Holdings VRT $253.46 $179.08 −29%
Prysmian S.p.A PRY €129.30 €77.45 −40%
Legrand SA LR €140.45 €82.53 −41%
Sungrow Power Supply Co 300274 ¥88.20 ¥216.43 +145%
Hubbell Incorporated HUBB $458.83 $293.12 −36%
Shenzhen Inovance Technology Co 300124 ¥54.05 ¥47.94 −11%
nVent Electric plc NVT $162.65 $43.54 −73%

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CENTIEL N AG · Fair Value
CHF 4.04 −54%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "CENTIEL N AG Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CNTL

Frequently asked questions

Is CENTIEL N AG (CNTL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of CHF 4.04 versus a price of CHF 6.22, about −35% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CNTL?
Our model-based fair value for CENTIEL N AG is CHF 4.04 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: CHF 6.22.
What is the quality score of CNTL?
CENTIEL N AG has a Quality Score of 85/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for CENTIEL N AG (CNTL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of CHF 4.04 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario CHF 2.46, optimistic scenario CHF 7.22. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the CENTIEL N AG stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at CHF 4.04, about −35% upside versus a price of CHF 6.22 (overvalued). Cautious scenario CHF 2.46, optimistic scenario CHF 7.22. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of CENTIEL N AG (CNTL)?
CENTIEL N AG reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about CHF 45.7M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into CENTIEL N AG (CNTL)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, CENTIEL N AG would have to grow free cash flow by +36.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 2 years revenue grew +30.2 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of CNTL use?
Our models discount CENTIEL N AG at 9.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.53, country premium for Switzerland. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For CENTIEL N AG that is +36.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has CENTIEL N AG (CNTL) delivered so far?
Over the past 2 years revenue at CENTIEL N AG grew +30.2 % a year. The price currently implies +36.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of CENTIEL N AG (CNTL) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into CENTIEL N AG (+36.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of CENTIEL N AG (CNTL)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.23 %: that much free cash flow CENTIEL N AG produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of CENTIEL N AG (CNTL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For CENTIEL N AG it is CHF 4.04 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of CHF 6.22. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is CENTIEL N AG stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, CNTL trades above its calculated fair value: price CHF 6.22, fair value CHF 4.04, a gap of about −35% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CNTL?
No. The price is what the market pays today (CHF 6.22); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (CHF 4.04). For CENTIEL N AG the two are CHF 2.18 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is CENTIEL N AG worth?
The market values CENTIEL N AG at about CHF 508M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is CHF 6.22; our models calculate a fair value of CHF 4.04 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CNTL?
Our models span a range for CENTIEL N AG: cautious scenario CHF 2.46, base CHF 4.04, optimistic CHF 7.22 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price CHF 6.22). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of CNTL?
CENTIEL N AG trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 62.2 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of CHF 4.04 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 34.4, P/S 13.5, EV/EBITDA 57.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of CENTIEL N AG (CNTL)?
Balance-sheet figures for CENTIEL N AG (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 55.8%. They feed the Quality Score of 85/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
Which stocks are comparable to CENTIEL N AG?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Contemporary Amperex Technology Co, ABB Ltd, Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company, Vertiv Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is CENTIEL N AG stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price CHF 6.22, calculated fair value CHF 4.04 (−35%), Quality Score 85/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CNTL calculated?
We run CENTIEL N AG through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of CHF 4.04, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. CENTIEL N AG itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of CENTIEL N AG (CNTL)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was CHF 6.22. Our model-based fair value is CHF 4.04, about −35% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with CENTIEL N AG right now?
A high-quality business (quality 85/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety. The model range is unusually wide (CHF 2.46 to CHF 7.22). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.

Key figures of CENTIEL N AG

How large is the market capitalisation of CENTIEL N AG (CNTL)?
The market capitalisation of CENTIEL N AG is CHF 508M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of CENTIEL N AG (CNTL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of CENTIEL N AG is 10.6 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of CENTIEL N AG (CNTL)?
Earnings per share at CENTIEL N AG are CHF 0.1000 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 62.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of CENTIEL N AG (CNTL)?
The net margin of CENTIEL N AG is 17.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of CENTIEL N AG (CNTL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of CENTIEL N AG is 55.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of CENTIEL N AG (CNTL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of CENTIEL N AG is 26.9% (avg 3y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of CENTIEL N AG (CNTL)?
The operating margin of CENTIEL N AG is 22.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How much net debt does CENTIEL N AG (CNTL) carry?
The net debt of CENTIEL N AG is CHF 2.0M (fiscal year 2023, ≈ 0.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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