Coats Group PLC (COA) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Coats Group PLC £0.90, price £0.80, upside +11.6%, quality 46 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range £0.4559 – £0.9829 · fair‑value band £0.5273 – £1.29 · the £0.8045 price screens below the £0.8976 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.
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Coats Group plc engages in the provision of essential materials, components, and software solutions for the apparel and footwear industries in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Americas, and Asia. The company operates through two divisions Apparel and Footwear.
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Coats Group plc engages in the provision of essential materials, components, and software solutions for the apparel and footwear industries in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Americas, and Asia. The company operates through two divisions Apparel and Footwear. It provides industrial sewing threads for children's wear, denim, intimate and underwear, ladieswear, leather wear, menswear, sports and activewear, and workwear and uniforms applications, as well as offers supply chain components, services, and software. The company also offers engineered products comprising structural components, threads, and insoles for athleisure, performance, fashion, and sports footwear markets. In addition, it provides engineered solutions for industrial customers, including performance threads for various applications; and safety materials and fabrics, and composite products for telecom and energy applications. The company was formerly known as Guinness Peat Group plc and changed its name to Coats Group plc in February 2015. Coats Group plc was founded in 1755 and is based in London, the United Kingdom.
Stock analysis
Coats Group PLC (COA) currently trades at £0.8045, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £0.8976, implying the stock looks roughly 10.4% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of £0.9100 per share, and 12 of the 26 models we run sit above the £0.8045 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at £0.1900, and 14 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: £0.5273 (bear) to £1.29 (bull), the price of £0.8045 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Coats Group PLC reported revenue of $1.5B in FY2025 versus $1.4B in FY2021, a compound +0.8%/yr. Reported net income was $106M in FY2025, compounding +4.4%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 1.6B GBX · P/E ratio 20.1 · P/S ratio 1.42 · EPS (TTM) £0.0400 · Dividend yield 3.4% · Net margin 7.1% · Return on equity 22.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 11.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat.
The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −11% fair-value upside, at 12%, COA screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear £0.5273Fair Value £0.8976Bull £1.29
Price £0.8045 · Upside +11.6%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (£0.0094 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.68/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−0.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +0.0% a year
Revenue growth 39 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.8%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+3.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−0.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.4%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−0.3% vs 8.7%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.9% → 20%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 2.7%/yr over ~10Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+2.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+6.8%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (UK: IMF forecast 2.3% a year to 2030, 3.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +0.5% a year for the price and +4.3% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Textile Manufacturing · 336 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score46 · Below median
Fair Value upside+11.6% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)22.3% · Top 25%
Return on assets8.0% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)6.6% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)16.3% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth18.6% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)3.4% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.45× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Textile Manufacturing median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)20.1× · Pricier than median
P/B2.84× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Coats Group PLC Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/COA
Frequently asked questions
Is Coats Group PLC (COA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £0.8976 versus a price of £0.8045, about +12% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of COA?
Our model-based fair value for Coats Group PLC is £0.8976 (as of Oct 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: £0.8045.
What is the quality score of COA?
Coats Group PLC has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Coats Group PLC (COA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of £0.8976 (as of Oct 2, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario £0.5273, optimistic scenario £1.29. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Coats Group PLC stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at £0.8976, about +12% upside versus a price of £0.8045 (undervalued). Cautious scenario £0.5273, optimistic scenario £1.29. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Coats Group PLC (COA)?
Coats Group PLC reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £1.6B (latest available figure, as of Oct 2, 2026).
Does Coats Group PLC pay a dividend?
Coats Group PLC currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.44% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 2, 2026).
What growth is priced into Coats Group PLC (COA)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Coats Group PLC would have to grow free cash flow by +2.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +5.2 % per year. As of Oct 2, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of COA use?
Our models discount Coats Group PLC at 10.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 1.26, country premium for United Kingdom. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Coats Group PLC that is +2.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Coats Group PLC (COA) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Coats Group PLC grew +5.2 % a year. The price currently implies +2.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Coats Group PLC (COA) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.0 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Coats Group PLC (+2.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Coats Group PLC (COA)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 12.76 %: that much free cash flow Coats Group PLC produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Coats Group PLC (COA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Coats Group PLC it is £0.8976 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026), against a price of £0.8045. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Coats Group PLC stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 2, 2026, COA trades below its calculated fair value: price £0.8045, fair value £0.8976, a gap of about +12% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of COA?
No. The price is what the market pays today (£0.8045); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (£0.8976). For Coats Group PLC the two are £0.0931 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Coats Group PLC worth?
The market values Coats Group PLC at about 1.6B GBX (market capitalisation, as of Oct 2, 2026). Per share that is £0.8045; our models calculate a fair value of £0.8976 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about COA?
Our models span a range for Coats Group PLC: cautious scenario £0.5273, base £0.8976, optimistic £1.29 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026, price £0.8045). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of COA?
Coats Group PLC trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 20.1 (as of Oct 2, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of £0.8976 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.8, P/B 2.8, P/S 1.3, EV/EBITDA 8.5.
What is the PEG ratio of COA?
The PEG ratio of Coats Group PLC is 0.76 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Oct 2, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Coats Group PLC (COA)?
Balance-sheet figures for Coats Group PLC (as of Oct 2, 2026): return on equity 22.3%, debt of 1.45 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 46/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is COA from its 52-week high?
Coats Group PLC trades at £0.8045, about 14% below its 52-week high of £0.9325 and 8% above the low of £0.7460 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of £0.8976 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Coats Group PLC?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Tongkun Group, Shenzhou International Group, Inner Mongolia ERDOS Resources Co, Far Eastern New Century Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Coats Group PLC stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 2, 2026: price £0.8045, calculated fair value £0.8976 (+12%), Quality Score 46/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of COA calculated?
We run Coats Group PLC through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of £0.8976, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Coats Group PLC currently trades 10 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Coats Group PLC (COA)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was £0.8045. Our model-based fair value is £0.8976, about +12% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Coats Group PLC right now?
A fairly wide model range (£0.5273 to £1.29) leaves room in how you read the outcome. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Where does the earnings growth of Coats Group PLC (COA) come from?
Earnings per share at Coats Group PLC grew +7.1 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −2.3 %, EBIT margin +7.2 %, tax rate +2.4 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.1 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Coats Group PLC
How large is the market capitalisation of Coats Group PLC (COA)?
The market capitalisation of Coats Group PLC is 1.6B GBX. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Coats Group PLC (COA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Coats Group PLC is 1.42 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Coats Group PLC (COA)?
Earnings per share at Coats Group PLC are £0.0400 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 20.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Coats Group PLC (COA)?
The dividend yield of Coats Group PLC is 3.4% (payout 69.2%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Coats Group PLC (COA)?
The net margin of Coats Group PLC is 7.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Coats Group PLC (COA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Coats Group PLC is 22.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Coats Group PLC (COA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Coats Group PLC is 11.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Coats Group PLC (COA)?
The operating margin of Coats Group PLC is 16.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Coats Group PLC (COA)?
Revenue at Coats Group PLC is growing +18.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −1.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Coats Group PLC (COA)?
Earnings per share at Coats Group PLC are growing −13.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Coats Group PLC (COA) carry?
The net debt of Coats Group PLC is 908M GBX (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 4.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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