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Cocrystal Pharma Inc (COCP) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Cocrystal Pharma Inc $0.29, price $1.19, upside -75.7%, quality 40 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Healthcare · US · ISIN US19188J4094

CP Cocrystal Pharma Inc logo Thin data Sep 23, 2026

Cocrystal Pharma Inc

COCP · US

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value $0.2890 · Strongly overvalued (−76%)
!Quality 40/100
!Weak Growth
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (1/8)
!Narrow moat 5/100
!Insider activity 45/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$16.20 $0.8200 Fair Value $0.2890 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.8200 – $16.20 · fair‑value band $0.1955 – $0.3655 · the $1.19 price screens above the $0.2890 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Cocrystal Pharma, Inc., a biotechnology company, focuses on the discovery and development of antiviral therapeutic treatments for serious and/or chronic viral diseases in the United States.

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Cocrystal Pharma, Inc., a biotechnology company, focuses on the discovery and development of antiviral therapeutic treatments for serious and/or chronic viral diseases in the United States. The company employs structure-based technologies to create antiviral drugs including influenza virus, norovirus, coronaviruses, such as SARS-CoV-2 and MERS-CoV, as well as respiratory virus infections, and hepatitis C virus (HCV) infections. The company develops CC-42344, a novel PB2 inhibitor, which is in phase 2a clinical trial, as a potential treatment for pandemic and seasonal influenza A; and the inhaled CC-42344 for the potential prophylactic treatment of pandemic and seasonal influenza infections. It is also developing CDI-988, an oral pan-viral, which is a phase 1 clinical trial to treat noroviruses and coronaviruses, including SARS-CoV-2 and its variants; and CC-31244, an HCV non-nucleoside inhibitor that has completed Phase 2a clinical trial to treat HCV. The company has a license and research collaboration agreement with Merck Sharp & Dohme Corp. to discover and develop proprietary influenza A/B antiviral agents; and a license agreement with Kansas State University Research Foundation to develop antiviral compounds for the treatment of norovirus and coronavirus infections. Cocrystal Pharma, Inc. was headquartered in Bothell, Washington.

Stock analysis

Cocrystal Pharma Inc (COCP) currently trades at $1.19, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.2890, implying the stock looks roughly 311.7% overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: $0.1955 (bear) to $0.3655 (bull), the price of $1.19 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.

Cocrystal Pharma Inc reported revenue of $0 in FY2025 versus $5.4M in FY2021. Reported net income was −$8.8M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $13.4M · P/S ratio 59.5 · EPS (TTM) $−0.7200 · Return on equity −155% · Return on assets (EBIT) −79.6% · Operating margin −1,047% · Revenue (TTM) $225K · Revenue growth (YoY) +26.9%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 22 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 45% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at −5% fair-value upside, at −76%, COCP screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.1955 Fair Value $0.2890 Bull $0.3655
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $0.2300 $0.3100 $0.4600 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.2300 $0.3100 $0.4600 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 40/100

Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 75
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 29
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 71
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 15
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 45
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 37
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−69,164.1% (2015) → −262.0% (2021)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

COCP screens 312% overvalued. Compare with Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Biotechnology · 649 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/7 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 42 · Below median
Fair Value upside −76% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −62% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 27% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.16× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper

P/B 2.12× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 59.71× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)92 · sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 23

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Biotechnology stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX $516.34 $567.97 +10%
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc REGN $801.82 $1,252 +56%
argenx SE ARGX $963.79 $918.60 −5%
Samsung Biologics Co 207940 1,366,000 KRW 1,502,600 KRW +10%
CSL Limited CSL A$179.12 A$197.03 +10%
Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc ALNY $251.65 $218.36 −13%
Royalty Pharma plc RPRX $58.52 $24.22 −59%
BeOne Medicines AG 6160 HK$218.20 HK$169.72 −22%
Celltrion, Inc 068270 177,400 KRW 74,519 KRW −58%
BioNTech SE BNTX $100.87 $63.62 −37%

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Cocrystal Pharma Inc · Fair Value
$0.2890 −312%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Cocrystal Pharma Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/COCP

Frequently asked questions

Is Cocrystal Pharma Inc (COCP) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.2890 versus a price of $1.19, about −76% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of COCP?
Our model-based fair value for Cocrystal Pharma Inc is $0.2890 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $1.19.
What is the quality score of COCP?
Cocrystal Pharma Inc has a Quality Score of 40/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Cocrystal Pharma Inc (COCP)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.2890 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.1955, optimistic scenario $0.3655. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Cocrystal Pharma Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.2890, about −76% upside versus a price of $1.19 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.1955, optimistic scenario $0.3655. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Cocrystal Pharma Inc (COCP)?
Cocrystal Pharma Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $225K (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Cocrystal Pharma Inc (COCP)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Cocrystal Pharma Inc it is $0.2890 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $1.19. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Cocrystal Pharma Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, COCP trades above its calculated fair value: price $1.19, fair value $0.2890, a gap of about −76% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of COCP?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($1.19); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.2890). For Cocrystal Pharma Inc the two are $0.9010 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Cocrystal Pharma Inc worth?
The market values Cocrystal Pharma Inc at about $13.4M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $1.19; our models calculate a fair value of $0.2890 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about COCP?
Our models span a range for Cocrystal Pharma Inc: cautious scenario $0.1955, base $0.2890, optimistic $0.3655 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $1.19). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Cocrystal Pharma Inc (COCP)?
Balance-sheet figures for Cocrystal Pharma Inc (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −154.6%, debt of 0.16 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 40/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is COCP from its 52-week high?
Cocrystal Pharma Inc trades at $1.19, about 24% below its 52-week high of $1.57 and 45% above the low of $0.8200 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.2890 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Cocrystal Pharma Inc?
From the same area (Healthcare) we also value Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc, argenx SE, Samsung Biologics Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Cocrystal Pharma Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $1.19, calculated fair value $0.2890 (−76%), Quality Score 40/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of COCP calculated?
We run Cocrystal Pharma Inc through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.2890, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Cocrystal Pharma Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Cocrystal Pharma Inc (COCP)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $1.19. Our model-based fair value is $0.2890, about −76% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Cocrystal Pharma Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.3655). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (40/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range ($0.1955 to $0.3655) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Cocrystal Pharma Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Cocrystal Pharma Inc (COCP)?
The market capitalisation of Cocrystal Pharma Inc is $13.4M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Cocrystal Pharma Inc (COCP)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Cocrystal Pharma Inc is 59.5 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Cocrystal Pharma Inc (COCP)?
Earnings per share at Cocrystal Pharma Inc are $−0.7200. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Cocrystal Pharma Inc (COCP)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Cocrystal Pharma Inc is −155% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Cocrystal Pharma Inc (COCP)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Cocrystal Pharma Inc is −79.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Cocrystal Pharma Inc (COCP)?
The operating margin of Cocrystal Pharma Inc is −1,047% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Cocrystal Pharma Inc (COCP)?
Revenue at Cocrystal Pharma Inc is growing +26.9% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Cocrystal Pharma Inc (COCP) generate?
The free cash flow of Cocrystal Pharma Inc is −$8.2M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Cocrystal Pharma Inc (COCP) hold?
Cocrystal Pharma Inc holds more cash than debt, $5.5M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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