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Thai Credit Bank Public Company (CREDIT) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · TH · Market cap 29.0B THB

TC Thai Credit Bank Public Company CREDIT · BK
Price24.20 THB
Fair Value45.60 THB
Upside+88.4%
Quality51/100
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Mixed Growth
Highly profitable · 35.8% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
4.14% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (11/14)
Wide moat 72/100
Evidence: High Range 34.20 THB – 57.00 THB Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026

From 4 valuation models · updated 26 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 14, 2026, revised from 38.00 THB to 45.60 THB (+20.0%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price +10.5% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 88% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (34.20 THB). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (51/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (3 years)

26.91 THB 14.03 THB Fair Value 45.60 THB Feb 2024 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

How to read this chart

30‑month range 14.03 THB – 26.91 THB · fair‑value band 34.20 THB – 57.00 THB · the 24.20 THB price screens below the 45.60 THB fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

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Analysis

Thai Credit Bank Public Company (CREDIT) currently trades at 24.20 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 45.60 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 88.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Thai Credit Bank Public Company generated revenue of 12.0B THB at a net margin of 35.8%. Revenue grew 18.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.6%. Net debt stands at 6.9B THB. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 34.20 THB (bear case) to 57.00 THB (bull case); at 24.20 THB, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 74% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at 88%, CREDIT screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income 21.64 THB 28.48 THB 80.04 THB 76
P/E Multiple 48.79 THB 65.05 THB 81.31 THB 63
P/B Multiple 41.47 THB 55.29 THB 69.12 THB 55
All 4 models by family
Multiples
P/E Multiple 48.79 THB 65.05 THB 81.31 THB 63
P/B Multiple 41.47 THB 55.29 THB 69.12 THB 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 10.65 THB 14.27 THB 21.29 THB 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income 21.64 THB 28.48 THB 80.04 THB 76

Widest divergence: Multiples (55.29 THB) versus Asset-Based (14.27 THB). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 12.0B THB
Revenue growth (YoY) +18.1%
Net margin 35.8%
Return on equity 16.6%
Free cash flow 1.8B THB FY2025
P/E ratio 6.8
More key figures
Operating margin 46.8%
EPS (TTM) 3.46 THB
Dividend yield 4.1%
EPS growth (YoY) +28.8%
Net debt 6.9B THB FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 51/100

Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 87

Profitability 47
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 39
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 48
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 6
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 44
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 68
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 93
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 98
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 81
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Thai Credit Bank Public Company Limited provides financial services to micro, small, and medium-sized enterprises in Thailand. It operates in two segments, e-Wallet Business and Banking Business.

Full company description

Thai Credit Bank Public Company Limited provides financial services to micro, small, and medium-sized enterprises in Thailand. It operates in two segments, e-Wallet Business and Banking Business. The company offers micro-SME, home, personal, cash, nano and microcredit, and gold loans; deposit products, including current, savings, fixed deposit, tax free, and other accounts; and mutual funds. It also provides international trade finance, such as international trade credit, international remittance services for import and export, and foreign exchange rates; and other services comprising non-performing assets, cards, money transfer, PromptPay, and safe deposit box services. The company was formerly known as The Thai Credit Retail Bank Public Company Limited and changed its name to Thai Credit Bank Public Company Limited in September 2023. The company was incorporated in 1970 and is headquartered in Bangkok, Thailand. Thai Credit Bank Public Company Limited is a subsidiary of Vnb Holding Company Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Thai Credit Bank Public Company reported revenue of 15.4B THB in FY2025 versus 8.9B THB in FY2021, a compound +14.7%/yr. Reported net income was 4.0B THB in FY2025, compounding +20.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 83/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
15.4B THB
Latest YoY
+1.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+10.4%
Revenue +14.7%/yr
FY21 8.9B THB
FY22 11.5B THB
FY23 14.0B THB
FY24 15.2B THB
FY25 15.4B THB
Net income +20.0%/yr
FY21 1.9B THB
FY22 2.4B THB
FY23 3.6B THB
FY24 3.6B THB
FY25 4.0B THB

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Thai Credit Bank Public Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CREDIT

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1083 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 47 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +88% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 17% · Top 25%
Return on assets 2% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 36% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 47% · Above median
Revenue growth 18% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.1% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.41× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 6.8× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 1.10× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 2.43× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.5× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 1.01× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 39
FUTURE 91 · sector 44
PAST 67 · sector 41
HEALTH 80 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 83 · sector 49

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA 6,175 IDR 6,087 IDR -1%
KB Financial Group 105560 184,400 KRW 213,797 KRW +16%
PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI 2,970 IDR 4,891 IDR +65%
PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI 4,310 IDR 7,841 IDR +82%
Banco Bradesco S.A BBD 5,120 ARS 10,240 ARS +100%
Shinhan Financial Group 055550 107,900 KRW 137,259 KRW +27%
Hana Financial Group 086790 136,800 KRW 193,969 KRW +42%
Lloyds Banking Group LYG 4,138 ARS 8,275 ARS +100%
Banco de Chile, CHILE 193.10 CLP 152.55 CLP -21%
Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB 59,400 VND 84,201 VND +42%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Thai Credit Bank Public Company (CREDIT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 45.60 THB versus a price of 24.20 THB, about +88% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CREDIT?
Our model-based fair value for Thai Credit Bank Public Company is 45.60 THB (as of Jul 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 24.20 THB.
What is the quality score of CREDIT?
Thai Credit Bank Public Company has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Thai Credit Bank Public Company (CREDIT)?
Thai Credit Bank Public Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 12.0B THB (latest available figure, as of Jul 14, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CREDIT?
The net profit margin of Thai Credit Bank Public Company is about 35.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 35.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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