Cristalerías de Chile S.A (CRISTALES) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · CL · Market cap 138B CLP (≈ $151M) · ISIN CLP331961092
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 28, 2026
From 10 valuation models · updated yesterday
Share price −1.0% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and trading another 123% above our fair value.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (896.10 CLP). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (42/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The model range is unusually wide (216.60 CLP to 896.10 CLP). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 28, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 2,000 CLP – 5,389 CLP · fair‑value band 216.60 CLP – 896.10 CLP · the 2,000 CLP price screens above the 896.10 CLP fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 28, 2026.
Analysis
Cristalerías de Chile S.A (CRISTALES) currently trades at 2,000 CLP, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 896.10 CLP, implying the stock looks roughly 55.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Cristalerías de Chile S.A generated revenue of 376B CLP at a net margin of -2.5%. Revenue declined 10.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -2.9%. Net debt stands at 272B CLP. Fundamentals as of Aug 28, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 216.60 CLP (bear case) to 896.10 CLP (bull case); at 2,000 CLP, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -39% fair-value upside, at -55%, CRISTALES screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 10 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (3,441 CLP) versus Multiples (819.30 CLP). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 28, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 39 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Cristalerías de Chile S.A. manufactures and sells glass containers for wine, beer, non-alcoholic beverages, liquors, and food applications in Chile and internationally. It operates through Glass Packaging; Wine; Communications; Electric Generation; and Investment and Other segments.
Full company description
Cristalerías de Chile S.A. manufactures and sells glass containers for wine, beer, non-alcoholic beverages, liquors, and food applications in Chile and internationally. It operates through Glass Packaging; Wine; Communications; Electric Generation; and Investment and Other segments. The company is also involved in the production and sale of wines and spirits; generation of electricity; investment; and written press, digital, and publishing activities. In addition, it provides sales room; customer and after-sales services, which include evaluation in packaging lines and behavior, technical support and development of new implementations in client processes, assistance on production lines, online collaboration during the filling process, and customer complaint management and resolution; and product development services, such as market research, development of new packaging, 3D prototypes and samples, functional models, color testing and development, screen printed decoration, and chemical satin services. The company was incorporated in 1904 and is based in Padre Hurtado, Chile. Cristalerías de Chile S.A. is a subsidiary of Compañía Electro Metalúrgica S.A.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Cristalerías de Chile S.A reported revenue of 385B CLP in FY2025 versus 363B CLP in FY2021, a compound +1.5%/yr. Reported net income was −5.4B CLP in FY2025.
CRISTALES screens 55% overvalued. Compare with Smurfit Westrock Plc, →
Peer Group
Packaging & Containers · 275 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Packaging & Containers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 28, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Smurfit Westrock Plc, SW | $49.25 | $22.66 | -54% |
| Packaging Corporation PKG | $246.68 | $122.63 | -50% |
| International Paper Company IP | $41.39 | $21.44 | -48% |
| Amcor plc AMCR | $46.52 | $18.79 | -60% |
| Ball Corporation BALL | $61.67 | $36.57 | -41% |
| Crown Holdings CCK | $119.08 | $118.59 | -0% |
| Avery Dennison Corporation AVY | $182.33 | $113.05 | -38% |
| CCL Industries Inc CCLA | C$93.99 | C$77.64 | -17% |
| Stora Enso Oyj STEAV | €9.74 | €11.42 | +17% |
| SIG Group SIGN | CHF 13.66 | CHF 8.32 | -39% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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