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CervoMed Inc (CRVO) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of CervoMed Inc $0.98, price $2.97, upside -67.1%, quality 22 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Healthcare · US · ISIN US15713L1098

CI CervoMed Inc logo Thin data Sep 27, 2026

CervoMed Inc

CRVO · US

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value $0.9775 · Strongly overvalued (−67.1%)
!Quality 22/100
!Weak Growth (revenue YoY −58.9 %/yr)
!negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (0/5)
!Narrow moat 9/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$56.68 $1.90 Fair Value $0.9775 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $1.90 – $56.68 · fair‑value band $0.6460 – $1.22 · the $2.97 price screens above the $0.9775 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

CervoMed Inc., a clinical-stage biotechnology company, engages in the development and commercialization of treatments for age-related neurologic disorders. The company is developing neflamapimod, an orally administered small molecule drug that crosses the blood"brain barrier and inhibits the enzyme p38a.

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CervoMed Inc., a clinical-stage biotechnology company, engages in the development and commercialization of treatments for age-related neurologic disorders. The company is developing neflamapimod, an orally administered small molecule drug that crosses the blood"brain barrier and inhibits the enzyme p38a. Neflamapimod has the potential to reverse synaptic dysfunction, improve neuron health, and slow or prevent disease progression. Neflamapimod is currently in clinical development for the treatment of dementia with Lewy bodies, non-fluent variant primary progressive aphasia, amyotrophic lateral sclerosis, and amyotrophic lateral sclerosis. CervoMed Inc. was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in Boston, Massachusetts.

Stock analysis

CervoMed Inc (CRVO) currently trades at $2.97, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.9775, 67.1% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: $0.6460 (bear) to $1.22 (bull), the price of $2.97 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 22/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.

CervoMed Inc reported revenue of $4.0M in FY2025 versus $0 in FY2021. Reported net income was −$27.0M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $41.3M · EPS (TTM) $−3.21 · Return on equity −108% · Return on assets (EBIT) −138% · Operating margin −9,407% · Free cash flow −$23.4M · Net cash $8.2M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 70% below its 52-week high and 32% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −67%, CRVO screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.6460 Fair Value $0.9775 Bull $1.22
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $0.6000 $0.8100 $1.21 51
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.6000 $0.8100 $1.21 51

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 22/100

Of which business quality 28 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 21

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 5
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 31
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 75
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 50
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 11
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 5
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Revenue growth 1 year
−58.9%
Revenue growth 27 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−6.9%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
2.2% (1998) → −706.2% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

CRVO screens overvalued: fair value 67% below the price. Compare with Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Biotechnology · 633 stocks

Beats the industry median on 0/4 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 28 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −67.1% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −60.8% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper

P/B 2.27× · Pricier than median

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Biotechnology stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX $527.67 $580.44 +10%
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc REGN $752.25 $1,275 +69%
argenx SE ARGX $959.49 $918.60 −4%
CSL Limited CSL A$176.95 A$194.65 +10%
Samsung Biologics Co 207940 1,366,000 KRW 1,502,600 KRW +10%
BeOne Medicines AG ONC $360.85 $280.94 −22%
Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc ALNY $255.96 $217.88 −15%
Royalty Pharma plc RPRX $58.21 $19.01 −67%
Celltrion, Inc 068270 177,400 KRW 74,519 KRW −58%
WuXi Biologics (Cayman) Inc 2269 HK$53.00 HK$58.30 +10%

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CervoMed Inc · Fair Value
$0.9775 −67%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "CervoMed Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CRVO

Frequently asked questions

Is CervoMed Inc (CRVO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.9775 versus a price of $2.97, about −67% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CRVO?
Our model-based fair value for CervoMed Inc is $0.9775 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $2.97.
What is the quality score of CRVO?
CervoMed Inc has a Quality Score of 22/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for CervoMed Inc (CRVO)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.9775 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.6460, optimistic scenario $1.22. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the CervoMed Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.9775, about −67% upside versus a price of $2.97 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.6460, optimistic scenario $1.22. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of CervoMed Inc (CRVO)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For CervoMed Inc it is $0.9775 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of $2.97. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is CervoMed Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, CRVO trades above its calculated fair value: price $2.97, fair value $0.9775, a gap of about −67% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CRVO?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($2.97); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.9775). For CervoMed Inc the two are $1.99 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is CervoMed Inc worth?
The market values CervoMed Inc at about $41.3M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is $2.97; our models calculate a fair value of $0.9775 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CRVO?
Our models span a range for CervoMed Inc: cautious scenario $0.6460, base $0.9775, optimistic $1.22 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price $2.97). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of CervoMed Inc (CRVO)?
Balance-sheet figures for CervoMed Inc (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −107.6%. They feed the Quality Score of 22/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CRVO from its 52-week high?
CervoMed Inc trades at $2.97, about 70% below its 52-week high of $9.94 and 32% above the low of $2.25 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.9775 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to CervoMed Inc?
From the same area (Healthcare) we also value Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc, argenx SE, CSL Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is CervoMed Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price $2.97, calculated fair value $0.9775 (−67%), Quality Score 22/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CRVO calculated?
We run CervoMed Inc through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.9775, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.7 % above its aggregate fair value. CervoMed Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of CervoMed Inc (CRVO)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was $2.97. Our model-based fair value is $0.9775, about −67% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with CervoMed Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($1.22). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (22/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range ($0.6460 to $1.22) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of CervoMed Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of CervoMed Inc (CRVO)?
The market capitalisation of CervoMed Inc is $41.3M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of CervoMed Inc (CRVO)?
Earnings per share at CervoMed Inc are $−3.21. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of CervoMed Inc (CRVO)?
The return on equity (ROE) of CervoMed Inc is −108% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of CervoMed Inc (CRVO)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of CervoMed Inc is −138% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of CervoMed Inc (CRVO)?
The operating margin of CervoMed Inc is −9,407% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How much free cash flow does CervoMed Inc (CRVO) generate?
The free cash flow of CervoMed Inc is −$23.4M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does CervoMed Inc (CRVO) hold?
CervoMed Inc holds more cash than debt, $8.2M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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