Vietnam JSCmmercial Bank for Industry and Trade (CTG) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Vietnam JSCmmercial Bank for Industry and Trade is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 12,151 VND – 41,500 VND · fair‑value band 24,813 VND – 55,841 VND · the 31,000 VND price screens below the 34,470 VND fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 19, 2026.
Vietnam Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Industry and Trade, together with its subsidiaries, provides various banking products and services in Vietnam and internationally.
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Vietnam Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Industry and Trade, together with its subsidiaries, provides various banking products and services in Vietnam and internationally. The company offers account services; credit, debit, and other cards, as well as card payment services; digital banking; demand, escrow, regular term, and automatic term deposits; property, car, consumer, special, mid/long/short-term, and other loans, as well as loans for production and business; foreign currency trading; life and non-life insurance; overseas remittance; and other related services. It also provides guarantees; international payments and trade finance; payables, receivables, cash, and account management, as well as money transfer; advisory services; industry and supply chain solutions; savings; financial investments; treasury products, including foreign exchange, interest rate and commodity derivatives, money market, and FI and government debt instruments; and investment bank. The company was formerly known as Vietnam Industrial and Commercial Bank and changed its name to Vietnam Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Industry and Trade in July 2009. Vietnam Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Industry and Trade was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Hanoi, Vietnam.
Stock analysis
Vietnam JSCmmercial Bank for Industry and Trade (CTG) currently trades at 31,000 VND, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 34,470 VND, implying the stock looks roughly 10.1% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of 44,045 VND per share, and 3 of the 6 models we run sit above the 31,000 VND price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 5,352 VND, and 3 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: 24,813 VND (bear) to 55,841 VND (bull), the price of 31,000 VND sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Vietnam JSCmmercial Bank for Industry and Trade reported revenue of 77.7T VND in FY2025 versus 50.1T VND in FY2021, a compound +11.6%/yr. Reported net income was 34.6T VND in FY2025, compounding +25.2%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 241T VND · P/E ratio 6.3 · P/S ratio 2.82 · EPS (TTM) 4,906 VND · Dividend yield 0.9% · Net margin 44.6% · Return on equity 22.4% · Return on assets 1.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 19% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −31% fair-value upside, at 11%, CTG screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 24,813 VNDFair Value 34,470 VNDBull 55,841 VND
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (3,562 VND per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.96/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+5.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.3%
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.0%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in VND ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in VND: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+10.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+9.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.9%
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
less than -40 %
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+14.6%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
Compare Vietnam JSCmmercial Bank for Industry and Trade with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Banks - Regional · 1073 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/12 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score60 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+42% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)22% · Top 25%
Return on assets1% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)51% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)64% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth42% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.9% · Bottom 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Vietnam JSCmmercial Bank for Industry and Trade Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CTG
Frequently asked questions
Is Vietnam JSCmmercial Bank for Industry and Trade (CTG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 34,470 VND versus a price of 31,000 VND, about +11% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CTG?
Our model-based fair value for Vietnam JSCmmercial Bank for Industry and Trade is 34,470 VND (as of Sep 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 31,000 VND.
What is the quality score of CTG?
Vietnam JSCmmercial Bank for Industry and Trade has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Vietnam JSCmmercial Bank for Industry and Trade (CTG)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 34,470 VND (as of Sep 19, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario 24,813 VND, optimistic scenario 55,841 VND. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Vietnam JSCmmercial Bank for Industry and Trade stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 34,470 VND, about +11% upside versus a price of 31,000 VND (undervalued). Cautious scenario 24,813 VND, optimistic scenario 55,841 VND. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Vietnam JSCmmercial Bank for Industry and Trade (CTG)?
Vietnam JSCmmercial Bank for Industry and Trade reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 75.2T VND (latest available figure, as of Sep 19, 2026).
Does Vietnam JSCmmercial Bank for Industry and Trade pay a dividend?
Vietnam JSCmmercial Bank for Industry and Trade currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.93% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 19, 2026).
What growth is priced into Vietnam JSCmmercial Bank for Industry and Trade (CTG)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Vietnam JSCmmercial Bank for Industry and Trade would have to grow free cash flow by less than minus 40 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +12.3 % per year. As of Sep 19, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of CTG use?
Our models discount Vietnam JSCmmercial Bank for Industry and Trade at 12.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.67, country premium for Vietnam. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Vietnam JSCmmercial Bank for Industry and Trade that is less than minus 40 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Vietnam JSCmmercial Bank for Industry and Trade (CTG) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Vietnam JSCmmercial Bank for Industry and Trade grew +12.3 % a year. The price currently implies less than minus 40 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Vietnam JSCmmercial Bank for Industry and Trade (CTG) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.0 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Vietnam JSCmmercial Bank for Industry and Trade (less than minus 40 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Vietnam JSCmmercial Bank for Industry and Trade (CTG)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 33.49 %: that much free cash flow Vietnam JSCmmercial Bank for Industry and Trade produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Vietnam JSCmmercial Bank for Industry and Trade (CTG)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Vietnam JSCmmercial Bank for Industry and Trade it is 34,470 VND per share (as of Sep 19, 2026), against a price of 31,000 VND. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Vietnam JSCmmercial Bank for Industry and Trade stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 19, 2026, CTG trades below its calculated fair value: price 31,000 VND, fair value 34,470 VND, a gap of about +11% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CTG?
No. The price is what the market pays today (31,000 VND); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (34,470 VND). For Vietnam JSCmmercial Bank for Industry and Trade the two are 3,470 VND per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Vietnam JSCmmercial Bank for Industry and Trade worth?
The market values Vietnam JSCmmercial Bank for Industry and Trade at about 241T VND (market capitalisation, as of Sep 19, 2026). Per share that is 31,000 VND; our models calculate a fair value of 34,470 VND per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CTG?
Our models span a range for Vietnam JSCmmercial Bank for Industry and Trade: cautious scenario 24,813 VND, base 34,470 VND, optimistic 55,841 VND per share (as of Sep 19, 2026, price 31,000 VND). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of CTG?
Vietnam JSCmmercial Bank for Industry and Trade trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 6.3 (as of Sep 19, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 34,470 VND is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.4, P/S 3.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of Vietnam JSCmmercial Bank for Industry and Trade (CTG)?
Balance-sheet figures for Vietnam JSCmmercial Bank for Industry and Trade (as of Sep 19, 2026): return on equity 22.4%. They feed the Quality Score of 58/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CTG from its 52-week high?
Vietnam JSCmmercial Bank for Industry and Trade trades at 31,000 VND, about 29% below its 52-week high of 43,500 VND and 19% above the low of 25,990 VND (as of Sep 19, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 34,470 VND is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Vietnam JSCmmercial Bank for Industry and Trade?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value DBS Group, China Merchants Bank Co, Intesa Sanpaolo S.p.A, HDFC Bank Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Vietnam JSCmmercial Bank for Industry and Trade stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 19, 2026: price 31,000 VND, calculated fair value 34,470 VND (+11%), Quality Score 58/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CTG calculated?
We run Vietnam JSCmmercial Bank for Industry and Trade through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 34,470 VND, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Vietnam JSCmmercial Bank for Industry and Trade currently trades 11 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Vietnam JSCmmercial Bank for Industry and Trade (CTG)?
The closing price on Sep 21, 2026 was 31,000 VND. Our model-based fair value is 34,470 VND, about +11% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Vietnam JSCmmercial Bank for Industry and Trade right now?
A fairly wide model range (24,813 VND to 55,841 VND) leaves room in how you read the outcome. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Key figures of Vietnam JSCmmercial Bank for Industry and Trade
How large is the market capitalisation of Vietnam JSCmmercial Bank for Industry and Trade (CTG)?
The market capitalisation of Vietnam JSCmmercial Bank for Industry and Trade is 241T VND. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Vietnam JSCmmercial Bank for Industry and Trade (CTG)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Vietnam JSCmmercial Bank for Industry and Trade is 2.82 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Vietnam JSCmmercial Bank for Industry and Trade (CTG)?
Earnings per share at Vietnam JSCmmercial Bank for Industry and Trade are 4,906 VND (price ÷ EPS = P/E 6.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Vietnam JSCmmercial Bank for Industry and Trade (CTG)?
The dividend yield of Vietnam JSCmmercial Bank for Industry and Trade is 0.9% (payout 5.9%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Vietnam JSCmmercial Bank for Industry and Trade (CTG)?
The net margin of Vietnam JSCmmercial Bank for Industry and Trade is 44.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Vietnam JSCmmercial Bank for Industry and Trade (CTG)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Vietnam JSCmmercial Bank for Industry and Trade is 22.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the return on assets of Vietnam JSCmmercial Bank for Industry and Trade (CTG)?
The return on assets (ROA) of Vietnam JSCmmercial Bank for Industry and Trade is 1.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to everything the company owns. Harder to inflate than return on equity because debt does not boost it.
What is the operating margin of Vietnam JSCmmercial Bank for Industry and Trade (CTG)?
The operating margin of Vietnam JSCmmercial Bank for Industry and Trade is 64.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Vietnam JSCmmercial Bank for Industry and Trade (CTG)?
Revenue at Vietnam JSCmmercial Bank for Industry and Trade is growing +41.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +9.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Vietnam JSCmmercial Bank for Industry and Trade (CTG)?
Earnings per share at Vietnam JSCmmercial Bank for Industry and Trade are growing +64.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Vietnam JSCmmercial Bank for Industry and Trade (CTG) carry?
The net debt of Vietnam JSCmmercial Bank for Industry and Trade is 7.7T VND (fiscal year 2021, ≈ 0.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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