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Catena Media plc (CTTMF) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · US · Market cap $14.8M

CM Catena Media plc logo Catena Media plc CTTMF · US
Price$0.1950
Fair Value$0.2004
Upside+2.8%
Quality45/100
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Evidence: Medium Range $0.1444 – $0.2593

Fair value as of: Jun 26, 2026

From 13 valuation models · updated 19 days ago

Fair value updated Jun 26, 2026 — revised from $1.36 to $0.2004 (−85.3%) since Jun 24, 2026.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

$0.6208 $0.1950 Fair Value $0.2004 Jul 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range $0.1950 – $0.6208 · fair‑value band $0.1444 – $0.2593 · the $0.1950 price screens below the $0.2004 fair value. As of Jun 26, 2026.

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Analysis

Catena Media plc (CTTMF) currently trades at $0.1950, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.2004 — implying the stock looks roughly 2.8% fairly valued today. We read business quality at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium) — always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Catena Media plc generated revenue of $49.1M at a net margin of -10.9%. Revenue grew 25.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -4.5%. Net debt stands at $13.0M. Fundamentals as of Jun 26, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.1444 (bear case) to $0.2593 (bull case); at $0.1950, the current price sits within that range. The share trades about 69% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at -1% fair-value upside — at 3%, CTTMF screens cheaper than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $49.1M
Revenue growth (YoY) +25.8%
Net margin -10.9%
Return on equity -4.5%
Free cash flow $6.3M FY2025
Operating margin 99.9%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-0.1700
EPS growth (YoY) +148%
Net debt $13.0M FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Catena Media plc, together with its subsidiaries, provides marketing services for operators of online sports betting and casino platforms in North America and Latin America. The company operates in two segments: Casino and Sports. The Casino segment provides content, insights, and offers that connect people interested in slots, poker, blackjack, and other casino games with its partner online casino operators. The Sports segment publishes targeted content on sports players, teams, and fixtures to inform sports, fantasy sports, and esports betting fans and help them compare the right offers from online sports betting operators. Catena Media plc was founded in 2008 and is headquartered in Gzira, Malta.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Catena Media plc reported revenue of $46.6M in FY2025 versus $136M in FY2021, a compound −23.5%/yr. Reported net income was −$7.5M in FY2025.

Revenue −23.5%/yr
FY21 $136M
FY22 $110M
FY23 $76.7M
FY24 $49.6M
FY25 $46.6M
Net income
FY21 −$7.2M
FY22 $7.5M
FY23 −$38.2M
FY24 −$44.2M
FY25 −$7.5M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Catena Media plc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CTTMF

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Frequently asked questions

Is Catena Media plc (CTTMF) undervalued?
As of Jun 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.2004 versus a price of $0.1950 — about +3% (fairly valued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of CTTMF?
Our model-based fair value for Catena Media plc is $0.2004 (as of Jun 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $0.1950.
What is the quality score of CTTMF?
Catena Media plc has a Quality Score of 45/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Catena Media plc (CTTMF)?
Catena Media plc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $49.1M (latest available figure, as of Jun 26, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CTTMF?
The net profit margin of Catena Media plc is about -10.9%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.