Count Limited (CUP) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · AU · Market cap A$224M
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Share price +9.0% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 39% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.9095). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (A$0.4760 to A$0.9095) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.4364 – A$1.20 · fair‑value band A$0.4760 – A$0.9095 · the A$1.15 price screens above the A$0.6970 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Count Limited (CUP) currently trades at A$1.15, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.6970, implying the stock looks roughly 39.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Count Limited generated revenue of A$152M at a net margin of 9.3%. Revenue grew 12.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.1%. Net debt stands at A$40.6M. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$0.4760 (bear case) to A$0.9095 (bull case); at A$1.15, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 41% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -35% fair-value upside, at -39%, CUP screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (A$1.92) versus Economic Profit (A$0.2600). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 67
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Count Limited provides accounting, business advisory, and financial planning services in Australia. It operates through Equity Partnerships, Wealth, and Services segments. The Equity Partnerships segment offers accounting, audit and assurance, taxation, financial planning, and business and corporate advisory services.
Full company description
Count Limited provides accounting, business advisory, and financial planning services in Australia. It operates through Equity Partnerships, Wealth, and Services segments. The Equity Partnerships segment offers accounting, audit and assurance, taxation, financial planning, and business and corporate advisory services. The Wealth segment provides financial services and investment products provided by Australian Financial Services license holders. The Service segment offers services that support the accounting and financial planning firms. It provides training, finance and lending, digital and IT systems, sector expertise, and support services. The company was formerly known as CountPlus Limited and changed its name to Count Limited in May 2023. Count Limited was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in Sydney, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Count Limited reported revenue of A$144M in FY2025 versus A$80.8M in FY2021, a compound +15.6%/yr. Reported net income was A$8.9M in FY2025, compounding +15.8%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue −0.5 pp · buybacks/dilution −2.5 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
CUP screens 39% overvalued. Compare with Cintas Corporation →
Peer Group
Specialty Business Services · 253 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Business Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Business Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cintas Corporation CTAS | $206.25 | $95.30 | -54% |
| RELX PLC RELX | $33.70 | $32.49 | -4% |
| Thomson Reuters Corporation TRI | C$133.87 | C$70.40 | -47% |
| Copart, Inc CPRT | $27.61 | $28.59 | +4% |
| Global Payments Inc GPN | $80.49 | $69.67 | -13% |
| RB Global, Inc RBA | C$156.43 | C$49.14 | -69% |
| Brambles Limited BXB | A$18.79 | A$12.28 | -35% |
| UL Solutions Inc ULS | $87.76 | $33.62 | -62% |
| Wolters Kluwer N.V WKL | €62.56 | €103.99 | +66% |
| Aramark ARMK | $56.74 | $13.73 | -76% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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