Cyclerion Therapeutics, Inc (CYCN) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $13.9M

Below-average quality, and screening another 80% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

• The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.9180). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
• Weak quality (36/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
• The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
• A fairly wide model range ($0.4845 to $0.9180) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $1.08 – $85.80 · fair‑value band $0.4845 – $0.9180 · the $3.57 price screens above the $0.7310 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

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Analysis

Cyclerion Therapeutics, Inc (CYCN) currently trades at $3.57, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.7310, implying the stock looks roughly 79.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $2.0M. Revenue declined 43.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -67.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $3.2M. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.4845 (bear case) to $0.9180 (bull case); at $3.57, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 58% below its 52-week high and 248% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -43% fair-value upside, at -80%, CYCN screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Cyclerion Therapeutics, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, engages in the development of treatments for serious diseases serious diseases with novel sGC stimulators in both the central nervous system (CNS) and the periphery.

Full company description

Cyclerion Therapeutics, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, engages in the development of treatments for serious diseases serious diseases with novel sGC stimulators in both the central nervous system (CNS) and the periphery. The company is developing Olinciguat, an orally administered vascular soluble guanylate cyclase (sGC) stimulator, which is in Phase 2 clinical trial to treat cardiovascular diseases; and Praliciguat, a systemic sGC stimulator for the treatment of rare kidney disease. It has a license agreement with Akebia to develop, manufacture, medical affair, and commercializes Praliciguat and other related products. The company was incorporated in 2018 and is headquartered in Cambridge, Massachusetts.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Cyclerion Therapeutics, Inc reported revenue of $2.1M in FY2025 versus $3.3M in FY2021, a compound −11.1%/yr. Reported net income was −$3.5M in FY2025.

CYCN screens 80% overvalued. Compare with Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated →

Peer Group

Biotechnology · 601 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.