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Daktronics, Inc (DAKT) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · US · Market cap $1.0B

DI Daktronics, Inc logo Daktronics, Inc DAKT · US
Price$21.43
Fair Value$14.63
Upside-31.7%
Quality52/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 3.4% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (9/14)
Narrow moat 31/100
Evidence: High Range $11.55 – $17.72 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated 26 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 15, 2026, revised from $16.47 to $14.63 (−11.2%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +7.2% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 32% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($17.72). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$27.73 $1.75 Fair Value $14.63 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $1.75 – $27.73 · fair‑value band $11.55 – $17.72 · the $21.43 price screens above the $14.63 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

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Analysis

Daktronics, Inc (DAKT) currently trades at $21.43, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $14.63, implying the stock looks roughly 31.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Daktronics, Inc generated revenue of $803M at a net margin of 3.4%. Revenue grew 21.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $111M. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $11.55 (bear case) to $17.72 (bull case); at $21.43, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 61% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -73% fair-value upside, at -32%, DAKT screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $18.04 $24.55 $32.86 80
Rev-Margin DCF $12.17 $16.44 $21.56 74
ROIC Compounder $7.48 $8.62 $9.92 72
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $18.01 $25.64 $36.11 38
5Y Revenue Exit $12.17 $16.24 $21.24 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $14.30 $20.30 $27.22 41
10Y Revenue Exit $14.22 $18.38 $23.69 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $15.64 $20.98 $27.94 37
Earnings-Based
EPV $7.20 $7.85 $8.40 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.0200 $0.0300 $0.0500 70
DDM Multi-Stage $0.0200 $0.0300 $0.0400 61
Multiples
EV/EBIT $11.68 $14.77 $17.85 53
EV/EBITDA $13.05 $16.60 $20.14 54
EV/Revenue $8.66 $11.34 $14.01 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $2.82 $3.77 $5.63 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $18.04 $24.55 $32.86 80
Rev-Margin DCF $12.17 $16.44 $21.56 74
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder $7.48 $8.62 $9.92 72

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($20.30) versus Dividend Discount ($0.0300). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $803M
Revenue growth (YoY) +21.6%
Net margin 3.4%
Return on equity 9.7%
Free cash flow $78.2M FY2025
P/E ratio 37.7
More key figures
Operating margin 1.1%
EPS (TTM) $0.5500
EPS growth (YoY) +57.1%
Net cash $111M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 52/100

Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 44

Profitability 39
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 13
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 59
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 82
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 71
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 21
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 50
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 62
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 62
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Daktronics, Inc. designs, manufactures, and sells electronic scoreboards, programmable display systems, and large screen video displays for sporting, commercial, and transportation applications in the United States and internationally. It operates through Commercial, Live Events, High School Park and Recreation, Transportation, and International segments.

Full company description

Daktronics, Inc. designs, manufactures, and sells electronic scoreboards, programmable display systems, and large screen video displays for sporting, commercial, and transportation applications in the United States and internationally. It operates through Commercial, Live Events, High School Park and Recreation, Transportation, and International segments. The company offers video display and walls; scoreboards and timing systems; LED message displays and sings; intelligent transportation systems dynamic message signs; mass transit display; sound systems; and digital billboards and street furniture, and digit and price displays. It also provides indoor dynamic messaging systems; and software and controllers, which includes Venus, a control suite software to control the creation of messages and graphic sequences for uploading to displays. The company serves out-of-home companies, retailers, quick-serve restaurants, casinos, shopping centers, cruise ships, commercial building owners, petroleum retailers, governmental transportation departments, transportation industry contractors, airlines, and sports and commercial business facilities. It sells its products through direct sales and resellers. Daktronics, Inc. was incorporated in 1968 and is headquartered in Brookings, South Dakota.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Daktronics, Inc reported revenue of $756M in FY2025 versus $482M in FY2021, a compound +11.9%/yr. Reported net income was −$10.1M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 52/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$756M
Latest YoY
−7.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+7.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+4.4%
Avg. growth/yr (32Y)
+10.5%
Revenue +11.9%/yr
FY21 $482M
FY22 $611M
FY23 $754M
FY24 $818M
FY25 $756M
Net income
FY21 $10.9M
FY22 $592K
FY23 $6.8M
FY24 $34.6M
FY25 −$10.1M

DAKT screens 32% overvalued. Compare with Delta Electronics, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Daktronics, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DAKT

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Electronic Components · 626 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 52 · Below median
Fair Value upside −32% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 10% · Above median
Return on assets 7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Revenue growth 22% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.04× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 37.7× · Cheaper than median
P/B 3.72× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.26× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 12.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 11.3× · Cheaper than median
PEG 0.53× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 32
PAST 39 · sector 24
HEALTH 98 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 25

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Electronic Components stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Delta Electronics, Inc 2308 1,880 TWD 515.23 TWD -73%
Hon Hai Precision Industry Co 2317 242.50 TWD 270.47 TWD +12%
Luxshare Precision Industry Co 002475 ¥62.14 ¥38.44 -38%
Samsung Electro-Mechanics Co 009150 1,260,000 KRW 166,421 KRW -87%
Elite Material Co 2383 4,990 TWD 714.36 TWD -86%
Yageo Corporation 2327 699.00 TWD 216.55 TWD -69%
Shengyi Technology Co 600183 ¥132.29 ¥27.45 -79%
Shennan Circuits Co 002916 ¥364.00 ¥93.50 -74%
Victory Giant Technology (HuiZhou) Co 2476 HK$297.00 HK$103.98 -65%
Wus Printed Circuit (Kunshan) Co 002463 ¥127.80 ¥31.95 -75%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Daktronics, Inc (DAKT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 15, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $14.63 versus a price of $21.43, about −32% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of DAKT?
Our model-based fair value for Daktronics, Inc is $14.63 (as of Jul 15, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $21.43.
What is the quality score of DAKT?
Daktronics, Inc has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Daktronics, Inc (DAKT)?
Daktronics, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $803M (latest available figure, as of Jul 15, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of DAKT?
The net profit margin of Daktronics, Inc is about 3.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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