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Dcon Products Public Company Limited (DCON) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Dcon Products Public Company Limited THB 0.04, price THB 0.15, upside -73.3%, quality 39 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Basic Materials · TH · ISIN TH0794010Z08

DP Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Dcon Products Public Company Limited

DCON · BK

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value 0.0400 THB · Strongly overvalued (−73%)
!Quality 39/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −0.5 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 1.9% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
·2.00% dividend yield
!Trails peers (4/12)
!Narrow moat 27/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on future: 24 out of 100
!Weak on past: 2 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

0.5722 THB 0.1300 THB Fair Value 0.0400 THB Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 0.1300 THB – 0.5722 THB · fair‑value band 0.0267 THB – 0.0400 THB · the 0.1500 THB price screens above the 0.0400 THB fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Dcon Products Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells construction supplies in Thailand. The company operates through Sales of Construction Supplies; Sales of Real Estate; and Real Estate for Lease segments.

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Dcon Products Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells construction supplies in Thailand. The company operates through Sales of Construction Supplies; Sales of Real Estate; and Real Estate for Lease segments. It also provides flat floor slabs, pre-stressed planks and piles, corrugated planks, fencing and retaining wall, Dcon block, blocks, hallow core, hexagon piles, light weight bricks, and footing products. In addition, the company offers precast walls, partition, and floors, as well as concrete posts, prefabricated solutions, and other products. Further, it is involved in the sale of land and lease of real estate properties, as well as engages in property development business. Dcon Products Public Company Limited was incorporated in 1996 and is headquartered in Bangkok, Thailand.

Stock analysis

Dcon Products Public Company Limited (DCON) currently trades at 0.1500 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.0400 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 275.0% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 0.3300 THB per share, and 2 of the 11 models we run sit above the 0.1500 THB price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 0.0200 THB, and 9 of the 11 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 0.0267 THB (bear) to 0.0400 THB (bull), the price of 0.1500 THB sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Dcon Products Public Company Limited reported revenue of 906M THB in FY2025 versus 965M THB in FY2021, a compound −1.6%/yr. Reported net income was 8.3M THB in FY2025, compounding −47.9%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 970M THB (≈ $29.1M) · P/S ratio 1.06 · Dividend yield 2.0% · Net margin 0.9% · Return on equity 0.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.4% · Operating margin 4.5% · Revenue (TTM) 918M THB.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −47% fair-value upside, at −73%, DCON screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (0.0200 THB to 0.3300 THB). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear 0.0267 THB Fair Value 0.0400 THB Bull 0.0400 THB
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income 0.3300 THB 0.3000 THB 0.2000 THB 76
Owner Earnings 0.0700 THB 0.1100 THB 0.2000 THB 74
Gordon GGM 0.0200 THB 0.0300 THB 0.0300 THB 69
All 11 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings 0.0700 THB 0.1100 THB 0.2000 THB 74
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 0.0100 THB 0.0200 THB 0.0200 THB 67
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 0.0200 THB 0.0300 THB 0.0300 THB 69
DDM Multi-Stage 0.0200 THB 0.0300 THB 0.0400 THB 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple 0.0200 THB 0.0300 THB 0.0300 THB 63
P/S Multiple 0.0200 THB 0.0300 THB 0.0300 THB 58
P/B Multiple 0.0200 THB 0.0300 THB 0.0300 THB 55
EV/EBITDA 0.0300 THB 0.0600 THB 0.1000 THB 63
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 0.2500 THB 0.3300 THB 0.5000 THB 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income 0.3300 THB 0.3000 THB 0.2000 THB 76
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 0.0100 THB 0.0200 THB 0.0300 THB 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 39/100

Of which business quality 36 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 21

Profitability 14
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 17
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 8
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 42
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 86
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 10
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 7
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 18/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−16.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−8.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −2.4% a year
Revenue growth 22 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.2%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in THB ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in THB: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−38.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−40.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−41% vs −28%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.12% → 2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 10.4%/yr over ~10Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.

DCON screens 275% overvalued. Compare with CRH plc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Building Materials · 257 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 39 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −73% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 1% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 5% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.0% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.16× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Building Materials median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.03× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 3.7× · Cheaper than median
PEG 0.53× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 22
FUTURE (revenue growth)24 · sector 2
PAST (return on equity)2 · sector 15
HEALTH (low debt)92 · sector 92
DIVIDEND (yield)40 · sector 46

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Building Materials stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
CRH plc CRH $88.04 $74.79 −15%
Holcim AG HOLN CHF 68.02 CHF 33.05 −51%
Vulcan Materials Company VMC $247.87 $131.48 −47%
UltraTech Cement Limited ULTRACEMCO ₹11,155 ₹4,719 −58%
Martin Marietta Materials, Inc MLM $499.34 $245.83 −51%
China Jushi Co 600176 ¥45.62 ¥29.50 −35%
Amrize AG AMRZ $39.00 $34.66 −11%
Grasim Industries Limited GRASIM ₹3,189 ₹1,245 −61%
CEMEX, S.A. CX $10.24 $25.27 +147%
James Hardie Industries plc JHX A$38.17 A$7.93 −79%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Dcon Products Public Company Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DCON

Frequently asked questions

Is Dcon Products Public Company Limited (DCON) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.0400 THB versus a price of 0.1500 THB, about −73% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of DCON?
Our model-based fair value for Dcon Products Public Company Limited is 0.0400 THB (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 0.1500 THB.
What is the quality score of DCON?
Dcon Products Public Company Limited has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Dcon Products Public Company Limited (DCON)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 0.0400 THB (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 11 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.0267 THB, optimistic scenario 0.0400 THB. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Dcon Products Public Company Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 0.0400 THB, about −73% upside versus a price of 0.1500 THB (overvalued). Cautious scenario 0.0267 THB, optimistic scenario 0.0400 THB. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Dcon Products Public Company Limited (DCON)?
Dcon Products Public Company Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 918M THB (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Dcon Products Public Company Limited pay a dividend?
Dcon Products Public Company Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.00% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Dcon Products Public Company Limited (DCON)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Dcon Products Public Company Limited it is 0.0400 THB per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 0.1500 THB. It is the blended result of 11 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Dcon Products Public Company Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, DCON trades above its calculated fair value: price 0.1500 THB, fair value 0.0400 THB, a gap of about −73% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of DCON?
No. The price is what the market pays today (0.1500 THB); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (0.0400 THB). For Dcon Products Public Company Limited the two are 0.1100 THB per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Dcon Products Public Company Limited worth?
The market values Dcon Products Public Company Limited at about 970M THB (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 0.1500 THB; our models calculate a fair value of 0.0400 THB per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about DCON?
Our models span a range for Dcon Products Public Company Limited: cautious scenario 0.0267 THB, base 0.0400 THB, optimistic 0.0400 THB per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 0.1500 THB). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of DCON?
The PEG ratio of Dcon Products Public Company Limited is 0.53 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Dcon Products Public Company Limited (DCON)?
Balance-sheet figures for Dcon Products Public Company Limited (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 0.6%, debt of 0.16 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 39/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is DCON from its 52-week high?
Dcon Products Public Company Limited trades at 0.1500 THB, about 46% below its 52-week high of 0.2767 THB and 15% above the low of 0.1300 THB (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 0.0400 THB is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Dcon Products Public Company Limited?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value CRH plc, Holcim AG, Vulcan Materials Company, UltraTech Cement Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Dcon Products Public Company Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 0.1500 THB, calculated fair value 0.0400 THB (−73%), Quality Score 39/100, from 11 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of DCON calculated?
We run Dcon Products Public Company Limited through 11 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 0.0400 THB, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Dcon Products Public Company Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Dcon Products Public Company Limited (DCON)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was 0.1500 THB. Our model-based fair value is 0.0400 THB, about −73% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Dcon Products Public Company Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (0.0400 THB). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Where does the earnings growth of Dcon Products Public Company Limited (DCON) come from?
Earnings per share at Dcon Products Public Company Limited grew −12.3 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −5.6 %, EBIT margin −7.6 %, tax rate +0.3 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.3 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Dcon Products Public Company Limited

How large is the market capitalisation of Dcon Products Public Company Limited (DCON)?
The market capitalisation of Dcon Products Public Company Limited is 970M THB (≈ $29.1M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Dcon Products Public Company Limited (DCON)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Dcon Products Public Company Limited is 1.06 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of Dcon Products Public Company Limited (DCON)?
The dividend yield of Dcon Products Public Company Limited is 2.0%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Dcon Products Public Company Limited (DCON)?
The net margin of Dcon Products Public Company Limited is 0.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Dcon Products Public Company Limited (DCON)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Dcon Products Public Company Limited is 0.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Dcon Products Public Company Limited (DCON)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Dcon Products Public Company Limited is 3.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Dcon Products Public Company Limited (DCON)?
The operating margin of Dcon Products Public Company Limited is 4.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Dcon Products Public Company Limited (DCON)?
Revenue at Dcon Products Public Company Limited is growing +4.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg −8.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Dcon Products Public Company Limited (DCON)?
Earnings per share at Dcon Products Public Company Limited are growing −22.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Dcon Products Public Company Limited (DCON) generate?
The free cash flow of Dcon Products Public Company Limited is −28.2M THB (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Dcon Products Public Company Limited (DCON) carry?
The net debt of Dcon Products Public Company Limited is 859M THB (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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