Distribuidora de Gas Cuyana SA (DGCU2) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 9, 2026: fair value of Distribuidora de Gas Cuyana SA ARS 1,224, price ARS 1,380, upside -11.3%, quality 67 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 26.00 ARS – 2,255 ARS · fair‑value band 601.52 ARS – 2,058 ARS · the 1,380 ARS price screens above the 1,224 ARS fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
Follow Distribuidora de Gas Cuyana in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether Distribuidora de Gas Cuyana is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
Distribuidora de Gas Cuyana S.A. operates as natural gas distributor in Argentina. The company was incorporated in 1992 and is based in Buenos Aires, Argentina.
Stock analysis
Distribuidora de Gas Cuyana SA (DGCU2) currently trades at 1,380 ARS, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1,224 ARS, 11.3% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 11,432 ARS per share, and 23 of the 24 models we run sit above the 1,380 ARS price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 682.40 ARS, and 1 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 601.52 ARS (bear) to 2,058 ARS (bull), the price of 1,380 ARS sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Utilities sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Distribuidora de Gas Cuyana SA reported revenue of 326B ARS in FY2025 versus 14.9B ARS in FY2021, a compound +116.4%/yr. Reported net income was 52.9B ARS in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 279B ARS (≈ $184M) · P/E ratio 5.7 · P/S ratio 0.93 · EPS (TTM) 239.80 ARS · Net margin 16.2% · Return on equity 21.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 12.4% · Operating margin 19.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at −11%, DGCU2 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 601.52 ARSFair Value 1,224 ARSBull 2,058 ARS
Price 1,380 ARS · Upside -11.3%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (185.93 ARS per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.80/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+7.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+137.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+89.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +88.7% a year
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+88.7%
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years), in ARS ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in ARS: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−51.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−51.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2019 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.16% → 25%
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+10.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Argentina: IMF forecast 13.8% a year to 2030) that is about −2.8% a year for the price.
Compare Distribuidora de Gas Cuyana SA with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Regulated Gas · 103 stocks
Beats the industry median on 11/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score67 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−11.3% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)21.5% · Top 25%
Return on assets12.8% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)13.7% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)19.7% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth25.6% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.0% · Bottom 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Regulated Gas median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Distribuidora de Gas Cuyana SA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DGCU2
Frequently asked questions
Is Distribuidora de Gas Cuyana SA (DGCU2) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1,224 ARS versus a price of 1,380 ARS, about −11% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of DGCU2?
Our model-based fair value for Distribuidora de Gas Cuyana SA is 1,224 ARS (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 1,380 ARS.
What is the quality score of DGCU2?
Distribuidora de Gas Cuyana SA has a Quality Score of 67/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Distribuidora de Gas Cuyana SA (DGCU2)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 1,224 ARS (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario 601.52 ARS, optimistic scenario 2,058 ARS. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Distribuidora de Gas Cuyana SA stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 1,224 ARS, about −11% upside versus a price of 1,380 ARS (overvalued). Cautious scenario 601.52 ARS, optimistic scenario 2,058 ARS. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Distribuidora de Gas Cuyana SA (DGCU2)?
Distribuidora de Gas Cuyana SA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 366B ARS (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
What growth is priced into Distribuidora de Gas Cuyana SA (DGCU2)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Distribuidora de Gas Cuyana SA would have to grow free cash flow by +10.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 20.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +89.4 % per year. As of Oct 3, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of DGCU2 use?
Our models discount Distribuidora de Gas Cuyana SA at 20.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.38, country premium for Argentina. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Distribuidora de Gas Cuyana SA that is +10.6 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (20.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Distribuidora de Gas Cuyana SA (DGCU2) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Distribuidora de Gas Cuyana SA grew +89.4 % a year. The price currently implies +10.6 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Distribuidora de Gas Cuyana SA (DGCU2) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.5 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Distribuidora de Gas Cuyana SA (+10.6 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Distribuidora de Gas Cuyana SA (DGCU2)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 12.04 %: that much free cash flow Distribuidora de Gas Cuyana SA produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (20.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Distribuidora de Gas Cuyana SA (DGCU2)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Distribuidora de Gas Cuyana SA it is 1,224 ARS per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of 1,380 ARS. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Distribuidora de Gas Cuyana SA stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, DGCU2 trades above its calculated fair value: price 1,380 ARS, fair value 1,224 ARS, a gap of about −11% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of DGCU2?
No. The price is what the market pays today (1,380 ARS); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (1,224 ARS). For Distribuidora de Gas Cuyana SA the two are 156.19 ARS per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Distribuidora de Gas Cuyana SA worth?
The market values Distribuidora de Gas Cuyana SA at about 279B ARS (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is 1,380 ARS; our models calculate a fair value of 1,224 ARS per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about DGCU2?
Our models span a range for Distribuidora de Gas Cuyana SA: cautious scenario 601.52 ARS, base 1,224 ARS, optimistic 2,058 ARS per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price 1,380 ARS). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of DGCU2?
Distribuidora de Gas Cuyana SA trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 5.7 (as of Oct 3, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 1,224 ARS is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.4, P/S 0.8, EV/EBITDA 2.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of Distribuidora de Gas Cuyana SA (DGCU2)?
Balance-sheet figures for Distribuidora de Gas Cuyana SA (as of Oct 3, 2026): return on equity 21.5%. They feed the Quality Score of 67/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is DGCU2 from its 52-week high?
Distribuidora de Gas Cuyana SA trades at 1,380 ARS, about 37% below its 52-week high of 2,180 ARS and at the low of 1,375 ARS (as of Oct 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 1,224 ARS is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Distribuidora de Gas Cuyana SA?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value Naturgy Energy Group, Atmos Energy Corporation, Uniper SE, NiSource Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Distribuidora de Gas Cuyana SA stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price 1,380 ARS, calculated fair value 1,224 ARS (−11%), Quality Score 67/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of DGCU2 calculated?
We run Distribuidora de Gas Cuyana SA through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 1,224 ARS, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.6 % above its aggregate fair value. Distribuidora de Gas Cuyana SA itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Distribuidora de Gas Cuyana SA (DGCU2)?
The closing price on Oct 9, 2026 was 1,380 ARS. Our model-based fair value is 1,224 ARS, about −11% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Distribuidora de Gas Cuyana SA right now?
The model range is unusually wide (601.52 ARS to 2,058 ARS). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Distribuidora de Gas Cuyana SA
How large is the market capitalisation of Distribuidora de Gas Cuyana SA (DGCU2)?
The market capitalisation of Distribuidora de Gas Cuyana SA is 279B ARS (≈ $184M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Distribuidora de Gas Cuyana SA (DGCU2)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Distribuidora de Gas Cuyana SA is 0.93 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Distribuidora de Gas Cuyana SA (DGCU2)?
Earnings per share at Distribuidora de Gas Cuyana SA are 239.80 ARS (price ÷ EPS = P/E 5.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Distribuidora de Gas Cuyana SA (DGCU2)?
The net margin of Distribuidora de Gas Cuyana SA is 16.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Distribuidora de Gas Cuyana SA (DGCU2)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Distribuidora de Gas Cuyana SA is 21.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Distribuidora de Gas Cuyana SA (DGCU2)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Distribuidora de Gas Cuyana SA is 12.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Distribuidora de Gas Cuyana SA (DGCU2)?
The operating margin of Distribuidora de Gas Cuyana SA is 19.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Distribuidora de Gas Cuyana SA (DGCU2)?
Revenue at Distribuidora de Gas Cuyana SA is growing +25.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +137%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Distribuidora de Gas Cuyana SA (DGCU2)?
Earnings per share at Distribuidora de Gas Cuyana SA are growing −20.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
Free · no account needed
Watch Distribuidora de Gas Cuyana SA in the live analysis
One click puts Distribuidora de Gas Cuyana SA on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener.
