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Distribuidora de Gas Cuyana SA (DGCU2) Fair Value & Analysis

Utilities · AR · Market cap 326B ARS

DD Distribuidora de Gas Cuyana SA DGCU2 · BA
Price1,535 ARS
Fair Value1,647 ARS
Upside+7.3%
Quality67/100
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Strengths

✓Solidly profitable · 16.3% net margin
✓generates free cash flow
✓Ranks above peers (11/13)
✓Wide moat 79/100

Risks

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +89.4 %/yr)
Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +89.4 %/yr)
Solidly profitable · 16.3% net margin
generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (11/13)
Wide moat 79/100
Evidence: High Range 729.61 ARS – 2,059 ARS Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 12 days ago

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

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What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide (729.61 ARS to 2,059 ARS). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

2,255 ARS 16.70 ARS Fair Value 1,647 ARS Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 16.70 ARS – 2,255 ARS · fair‑value band 729.61 ARS – 2,059 ARS · the 1,535 ARS price screens below the 1,647 ARS fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Distribuidora de Gas Cuyana SA (DGCU2) currently trades at 1,535 ARS, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1,647 ARS, implying the stock looks roughly 7.3% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Utilities sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Distribuidora de Gas Cuyana SA generated revenue of 337B ARS at a net margin of 16.3%. Revenue grew 17.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 25.8%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 5.9 (as of Jun 18, 2026). Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 729.61 ARS (bear case) to 2,059 ARS (bull case); at 1,535 ARS, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 60% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at 7%, DGCU2 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income 1,909 ARS 2,593 ARS 17,718 ARS 76
Growth DCF 2,858 ARS 5,889 ARS 10,979 ARS 72
Growth-Adj P/E 8,003 ARS 11,432 ARS 14,862 ARS 68
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 3,028 ARS 4,845 ARS 10,784 ARS 38
Owner Earnings 4,039 ARS 9,381 ARS 21,096 ARS 31
5Y Revenue Exit 3,172 ARS 5,699 ARS 11,009 ARS 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 3,691 ARS 6,748 ARS 12,753 ARS 41
5Y P/E Exit 3,564 ARS 8,131 ARS 14,399 ARS 38
10Y Revenue Exit 3,069 ARS 7,281 ARS 10,150 ARS 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 3,591 ARS 8,423 ARS 17,010 ARS 37
10Y P/E Exit 3,496 ARS 8,143 ARS 15,888 ARS 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 1,777 ARS 12,395 ARS 17,394 ARS 54
Lynch FV 6,403 ARS 9,148 ARS 11,892 ARS 50
PEG = 1.0 6,403 ARS 9,148 ARS 11,892 ARS 46
EPV 3,717 ARS 4,362 ARS 4,936 ARS 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple 3,528 ARS 4,705 ARS 5,881 ARS 63
P/S Multiple 3,022 ARS 4,029 ARS 5,037 ARS 58
P/B Multiple 1,375 ARS 1,833 ARS 2,292 ARS 55
EV/EBIT 4,631 ARS 6,154 ARS 7,677 ARS 53
EV/EBITDA 3,755 ARS 4,986 ARS 6,217 ARS 54
EV/Revenue 2,883 ARS 4,091 ARS 5,300 ARS 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 509.26 ARS 682.40 ARS 1,019 ARS 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 2,858 ARS 5,889 ARS 10,979 ARS 72
Rev-Margin DCF 3,512 ARS 6,506 ARS 12,753 ARS 67
Economic Profit
Residual Income 1,909 ARS 2,593 ARS 17,718 ARS 76
ROIC Compounder 4,894 ARS 7,668 ARS 11,525 ARS 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 8,003 ARS 11,432 ARS 14,862 ARS 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (11,432 ARS) versus Asset-Based (682.40 ARS). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 5.9 as of Jun 18, 2026
P/S ratio 0.97 TTM
Net margin 16.3% TTM
Return on equity 25.8% TTM
Return on assets 14.1% TTM
Operating margin 27.3% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
EPS (TTM) 272.13 ARS
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 337B ARS TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +17.7% 3y avg +137%
EPS growth (YoY) +18.4%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow 33.6B ARS FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 67/100

Of which business quality 66 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45

Profitability 75
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 72
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 48
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 80
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 25
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 63
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 33
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 45
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Distribuidora de Gas Cuyana S.A. operates as natural gas distributor in Argentina. The company was incorporated in 1992 and is based in Buenos Aires, Argentina.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Distribuidora de Gas Cuyana SA reported revenue of 326B ARS in FY2025 versus 14.9B ARS in FY2021, a compound +116.4%/yr. Reported net income was 52.9B ARS in FY2025.

Growth Quality 100/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
326B ARS
Latest YoY
+7.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+137.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+89.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (10Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+88.7%
Value creation/yr (3Y) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 3 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
−51.6% (-51.6 + 0.0)
Revenue +116.4%/yr
FY21 14.9B ARS
FY22 24.5B ARS
FY23 4.8T ARS
FY24 303B ARS
FY25 326B ARS
Net income
FY21 −1.5B ARS
FY22 −967M ARS
FY23 465B ARS
FY24 23.4B ARS
FY25 52.9B ARS

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Distribuidora de Gas Cuyana SA · Fair Value
1,647 ARS +7%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Distribuidora de Gas Cuyana SA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DGCU2

Peer Group

Utilities - Regulated Gas · 105 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 67 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +7% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 26% · Top 25%
Return on assets 14% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 16% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 27% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 18% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Regulated Gas median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 5.9× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 1.58× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.97× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 3.4× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE43 · sector 25
FUTURE89 · sector 0
PAST100 · sector 35
HEALTH0 · sector 85
DIVIDEND0 · sector 71

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Regulated Gas stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Naturgy Energy Group NTGY €28.94 €31.58 +9%
Atmos Energy Corporation ATO $169.59 $85.67 -49%
NiSource Inc NI $42.50 $28.59 -33%
Uniper SE UN0 €47.45 €48.32 +2%
The Hong Kong and China Gas Company 0003 HK$6.76 HK$4.79 -29%
GAIL (India) Limited GAIL ₹177.95 ₹130.21 -27%
Italgas S.p.A IG €8.67 €8.63 -1%
Adani Total Gas Limited ATGL ₹654.05 ₹101.36 -85%
ENN Natural Gas Co 600803 ¥17.51 ¥25.71 +47%
UGI Corporation UGI $37.89 $26.72 -29%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Distribuidora de Gas Cuyana SA (DGCU2) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1,647 ARS versus a price of 1,535 ARS, about +7% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of DGCU2?
Our model-based fair value for Distribuidora de Gas Cuyana SA is 1,647 ARS (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 1,535 ARS.
What is the quality score of DGCU2?
Distribuidora de Gas Cuyana SA has a Quality Score of 67/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Distribuidora de Gas Cuyana SA (DGCU2)?
Distribuidora de Gas Cuyana SA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 337B ARS (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of DGCU2?
The net profit margin of Distribuidora de Gas Cuyana SA is about 16.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 16.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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