Donegal Group (DGICB) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · US · Market cap $847M
Donegal Group
DGICB · US
Fair value as of: Jul 7, 2026
From 6 valuation models · updated 34 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 7, 2026, revised from $29.23 to $33.01 (+12.9%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price +0.8% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 37% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case ($24.76). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (57/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 7, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $8.10 – $26.70 · fair‑value band $24.76 – $41.26 · the $24.01 price screens below the $33.01 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 7, 2026.
Analysis
Donegal Group (DGICB) currently trades at $24.01, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $33.01, implying the stock looks roughly 37.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Donegal Group generated revenue of $969M at a net margin of 6.8%. Revenue declined 3.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.6%. Net debt stands at $8.2M. Fundamentals as of Jul 7, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $24.76 (bear case) to $41.26 (bull case); at $24.01, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 79% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 8% fair-value upside, at 37%, DGICB screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 6 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($28.69) versus Dividend Discount ($10.27). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 7, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 82
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Donegal Group Inc., an insurance holding company, provides commercial and personal lines of property and casualty coverages. It operates through three segments: Investment Function, Commercial Lines of Insurance, and Personal Lines of Insurance.
Full company description
Donegal Group Inc., an insurance holding company, provides commercial and personal lines of property and casualty coverages. It operates through three segments: Investment Function, Commercial Lines of Insurance, and Personal Lines of Insurance. The company offers protection against liability for bodily injury and property damage arising from automobile accidents and protection against loss from damage to automobiles owned by the insured for commercial automobile; protection to businesses against perils combining liability and physical damage coverages; and benefits to employees for injuries sustained during employment. It provides protection against liability for bodily injury and property damage arising from automobile accidents and protection against loss from damage to automobiles owned by the insured for private passenger automobile; and coverage for damage to residences and their contents from a range of perils, including fire, lightning, windstorm, and theft. The company markets its insurance products primarily to Mid-Atlantic, Midwest, Southern, and Southwestern states through a network of independent insurance agents. The company was incorporated in 1986 and is based in Marietta, Pennsylvania. Donegal Group Inc. operates as a subsidiary of Donegal Mutual Insurance Company.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Donegal Group reported revenue of $978M in FY2025 versus $816M in FY2021, a compound +4.6%/yr. Reported net income was $79.3M in FY2025, compounding +33.1%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Insurance - Property & Casualty · 120 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Insurance - Property & Casualty median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Insurance - Property & Casualty stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 7, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Progressive Corporation PGR | $234.48 | $252.50 | +8% |
| Chubb Limited CB | $337.44 | $345.56 | +2% |
| The Travelers Companies, Inc TRV | $368.98 | $384.42 | +4% |
| The Allstate Corporation ALL | $251.61 | $503.22 | +100% |
| The People's Insurance Company 601319 | ¥7.06 | ¥13.71 | +94% |
| Intact Financial Corporation IFC | C$294.02 | C$247.44 | -16% |
| Fairfax Financial Holdings FFH | C$2,327 | C$3,252 | +40% |
| QBE Insurance Group QBE | A$25.47 | A$19.42 | -24% |
| Samsung Fire & Marine Insurance Co 000810 | 648,000 KRW | 658,771 KRW | +2% |
| Powszechny Zaklad Ubezpieczen SA PZU | 69.80 PLN | 100.85 PLN | +44% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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