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DiaSorin S.p.A (DIA) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · IT · Market cap €3.3B

DS DiaSorin S.p.A DIA · MI
Price€75.40
Fair Value€68.87
Upside-8.7%
Quality68/100
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Healthy Growth
Solidly profitable · 12.1% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (8/15)
Moderate moat 57/100
Evidence: High Range €42.72 – €86.09 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 25 days ago

Share price +13.2% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • A fairly wide model range (€42.72 to €86.09) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€193.75 €54.59 Fair Value €68.87 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €54.59 – €193.75 · fair‑value band €42.72 – €86.09 · the €75.40 price screens above the €68.87 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

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Analysis

DiaSorin S.p.A (DIA) currently trades at €75.40, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €68.87, implying the stock looks roughly 8.7% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 68/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, DiaSorin S.p.A generated revenue of €1.2B at a net margin of 12.1%. Revenue declined 8.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.6%. Net debt stands at €558M. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €42.72 (bear case) to €86.09 (bull case); at €75.40, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 47% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -9%, DIA screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF €41.11 €69.64 €113.21 80
Residual Income €27.45 €30.25 €43.62 76
Rev-Margin DCF €41.30 €73.19 €112.03 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €40.98 €70.98 €117.81 38
Owner Earnings €27.42 €48.80 €82.19 31
5Y Revenue Exit €41.30 €73.62 €116.11 39
5Y EBITDA Exit €59.63 €109.54 €170.11 41
5Y P/E Exit €40.58 €72.22 €106.70 38
10Y Revenue Exit €39.18 €68.80 €111.20 36
10Y EBITDA Exit €52.34 €93.80 €153.28 37
10Y P/E Exit €40.24 €67.82 €103.86 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €21.29 €81.67 €110.66 54
Lynch FV €19.92 €28.46 €36.99 50
PEG = 1.0 €19.92 €28.46 €36.99 46
EPV €35.23 €41.78 €47.43 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple €51.65 €68.87 €86.09 63
P/S Multiple €39.91 €53.22 €66.52 58
P/B Multiple €39.91 €53.22 €66.52 55
EV/EBIT €62.88 €85.93 €108.97 53
EV/EBITDA €77.77 €105.78 €133.79 54
EV/Revenue €43.09 €64.24 €85.39 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €15.94 €21.36 €31.87 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €41.11 €69.64 €113.21 80
Rev-Margin DCF €41.30 €73.19 €112.03 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income €27.45 €30.25 €43.62 76
ROIC Compounder €36.46 €48.93 €65.69 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €37.13 €53.05 €68.96 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (€70.98) versus Asset-Based (€21.36). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €1.2B
Revenue growth (YoY) -8.3%
Net margin 12.1%
Return on equity 8.6%
Free cash flow €205M FY2025
P/E ratio 25.3
More key figures
Operating margin 20.6%
EPS (TTM) €2.63
EPS growth (YoY) -59.8%
Net debt €558M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 68/100

Of which business quality 65 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 50

Profitability 43
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 37
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 78
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 64
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 80
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 66
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 47
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 39
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 98
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

DiaSorin S.p.A. engages in research and development, manufacture, and distribution of immunodiagnostics and molecular diagnostics testing kits in Europe, North America, and internationally.

Full company description

DiaSorin S.p.A. engages in research and development, manufacture, and distribution of immunodiagnostics and molecular diagnostics testing kits in Europe, North America, and internationally. It provides various immunodiagnostic in the areas, including infectious diseases, gastrointestinal diseases, hepatitis and retroviruses, endocrinology, metabolic disorders, tumor markers, and oncology under LIAISON XL and LIAISON XS name. The company also offers Simplexa, a congenital CMV direct kit, which detects cytomegalovirus DNA in saliva swab and urine specimens. In addition, it offers LIAISON PLEX Respiratory Flex Assay and the LIAISON PLEX Yeast Blood Culture Assay. Further, the company offers xMAP technology platform, including in vitro diagnostics. The company was founded in 1968 and is headquartered in Saluggia, Italy.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

DiaSorin S.p.A reported revenue of €1.2B in FY2025 versus €1.2B in FY2021, a compound −0.9%/yr. Reported net income was €156M in FY2025, compounding −15.9%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 77/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€1.2B
Latest YoY
+0.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−4.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+6.3%
Avg. growth/yr (22Y)
+10.4%
Revenue −0.9%/yr
FY21 €1.2B
FY22 €1.4B
FY23 €1.1B
FY24 €1.2B
FY25 €1.2B
Net income −15.9%/yr
FY21 €311M
FY22 €241M
FY23 €160M
FY24 €188M
FY25 €156M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "DiaSorin S.p.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DIA

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Diagnostics & Research · 136 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 68 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −9% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Above median
Return on assets 6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 12% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 21% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -8% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.30× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Diagnostics & Research median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 25.3× · Cheaper than median
P/B 2.41× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 3.27× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 18.6× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 11.7× · Cheaper than median
PEG 1.56× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 22 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 27
PAST 34 · sector 10
HEALTH 85 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 21

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Diagnostics & Research stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc TMO $543.19 $308.19 -43%
Danaher Corporation DHR $199.66 $103.88 -48%
WuXi AppTec Co 2359 HK$160.70 HK$125.20 -22%
Lonza Group LONN CHF 567.80 CHF 259.80 -54%
IDEXX Laboratories, Inc IDXX $567.44 $255.77 -55%
Agilent Technologies, Inc A $131.46 $62.70 -52%
Waters Corporation WAT $368.98 $121.96 -67%
IQVIA Holdings IQV $207.85 $134.18 -35%
Integrated Diagnostics Holdings IDHC $0.0050 $0.0053 +5%
Illumina, Inc ILMN $186.65 $95.51 -49%

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Frequently asked questions

Is DiaSorin S.p.A (DIA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €68.87 versus a price of €75.40, about −9% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of DIA?
Our model-based fair value for DiaSorin S.p.A is €68.87 (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €75.40.
What is the quality score of DIA?
DiaSorin S.p.A has a Quality Score of 68/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of DiaSorin S.p.A (DIA)?
DiaSorin S.p.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €1.2B (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of DIA?
The net profit margin of DiaSorin S.p.A is about 12.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 12.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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