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Daiichi Life Group (DLICY) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $39.8B

DL Daiichi Life Group logo Daiichi Life Group DLICY · US
Price$24.21
Fair Value$20.41
Upside-15.7%
Quality66/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 4.3% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
2.59% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (5/12)
Narrow moat 35/100
Evidence: High Range $15.31 – $25.51 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 26, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 12 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 26, 2026, revised from $20.67 to $20.41 (−1.3%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price +6.0% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 16% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (66/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$24.21 $3.96 Fair Value $20.41 Sep 2015 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $3.96 – $24.21 · fair‑value band $15.31 – $25.51 · the $24.21 price screens above the $20.41 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

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Analysis

Daiichi Life Group (DLICY) currently trades at $24.21, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $20.41, implying the stock looks roughly 15.7% overvalued today. We read business quality at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Daiichi Life Group generated revenue of $10.2T at a net margin of 4.3%. Revenue grew 26.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $2.6T. Fundamentals as of Jul 26, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $15.31 (bear case) to $25.51 (bull case); at $24.21, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 80% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 1% fair-value upside, at -16%, DLICY screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $25.03 $33.60 $45.65 80
Rev-Margin DCF $20.82 $28.49 $37.13 74
ROIC Compounder $16.36 $18.75 $21.34 72
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $24.63 $34.13 $48.27 38
Owner Earnings $19.19 $25.90 $35.89 31
5Y Revenue Exit $20.82 $28.33 $37.67 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $22.71 $31.80 $42.15 41
5Y P/E Exit $21.41 $29.41 $37.58 38
10Y Revenue Exit $21.65 $28.75 $37.84 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $23.24 $31.14 $41.19 37
10Y P/E Exit $22.42 $29.50 $37.77 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $6.94 $19.57 $25.77 54
Lynch FV $3.97 $5.67 $7.38 50
PEG = 1.0 $3.97 $5.67 $7.38 46
EPV $15.83 $17.45 $18.86 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $15.31 $20.41 $25.51 63
P/S Multiple $13.01 $17.35 $21.68 58
P/B Multiple $13.01 $17.35 $21.68 55
EV/EBIT $25.86 $32.45 $39.03 53
EV/EBITDA $23.69 $29.56 $35.42 54
EV/Revenue $19.43 $25.13 $30.84 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $4.71 $6.31 $9.42 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $25.03 $33.60 $45.65 80
Rev-Margin DCF $20.82 $28.49 $37.13 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $8.46 $9.62 $16.92 61
ROIC Compounder $16.36 $18.75 $21.34 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $12.30 $17.58 $22.85 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($29.41) versus Earnings-Based ($5.67). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $10.2T
Revenue growth (YoY) +26.3%
Net margin 4.3%
Return on equity 11.1%
Free cash flow $758B FY2026
P/E ratio 14.8
More key figures
Operating margin 1.0%
EPS (TTM) $1.49
Dividend yield 2.6%
EPS growth (YoY) -35.5%
Net cash $2.6T FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 66/100

Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 90

Profitability 22
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 49
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 65
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 18
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 61
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 83
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 90
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 98
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Daiichi Life Group, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides insurance products in Japan, the United States, and internationally. The company operates through three segments: Domestic Insurance Business, Overseas Insurance Business, and Other Business.

Full company description

Daiichi Life Group, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides insurance products in Japan, the United States, and internationally. The company operates through three segments: Domestic Insurance Business, Overseas Insurance Business, and Other Business. It offers educational endowment insurance, individual annuity, variable product, investment trust, lump-sum payment products, group annuity plans, succession products, medical and cancer protection, saving-type disease protection, health promotion, health protection (palliative care), group insurance, death protection, nursing care and dementia protection, and income and disease protection. The company was formerly known as Dai-ichi Life Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to Daiichi Life Group, Inc. in April 2026. The company was incorporated in 1902 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Daiichi Life Group reported revenue of $10.3T in FY2026 versus $7.9T in FY2022, a compound +7.0%/yr. Reported net income was $463B in FY2026, compounding +3.1%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 67/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
$10.3T
Latest YoY
+16.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+7.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+6.4%
Avg. growth/yr (21Y)
+3.8%
Revenue +7.0%/yr
FY22 $7.9T
FY23 $8.4T
FY24 $10.5T
FY25 $8.8T
FY26 $10.3T
Net income +3.1%/yr
FY22 $409B
FY23 $174B
FY24 $321B
FY25 $430B
FY26 $463B

DLICY screens 16% overvalued. Compare with China Life Insurance Company →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Daiichi Life Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DLICY

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Insurance - Life · 96 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 63 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −16% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 11% · Above median
Return on assets 0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 1% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 26% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.6% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.28× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Insurance - Life median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 14.8× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 0.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 3.61× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 12 · sector 28
FUTURE 100 · sector 44
PAST 44 · sector 42
HEALTH 86 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 52 · sector 54

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Insurance - Life stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 26, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
China Life Insurance Company 601628 ¥38.72 ¥70.87 +83%
Ping An Insurance (Group) Company 601318 ¥49.60 ¥96.76 +95%
AIA Group 1299 HK$75.55 HK$7.88 -90%
Manulife Financial Corporation MFC C$58.52 C$45.13 -23%
Great-West Lifeco Inc GWO C$92.34 C$59.64 -35%
Life Insurance Corporation LICI ₹438.30 ₹590.43 +35%
Fubon Financial Holding 2881 124.50 TWD 115.05 TWD -8%
Cathay Financial Holding 2882 94.00 TWD 94.95 TWD +1%
Samsung Life Insurance Co 032830 337,500 KRW 166,710 KRW -51%
China Pacific Insurance (Group) Co 601601 ¥29.75 ¥59.50 +100%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Daiichi Life Group (DLICY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $20.41 versus a price of $24.21, about −16% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of DLICY?
Our model-based fair value for Daiichi Life Group is $20.41 (as of Jul 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $24.21.
What is the quality score of DLICY?
Daiichi Life Group has a Quality Score of 66/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Daiichi Life Group (DLICY)?
Daiichi Life Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $10.2T (latest available figure, as of Jul 26, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of DLICY?
The net profit margin of Daiichi Life Group is about 4.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Daiichi Life Group pay a dividend?
Daiichi Life Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.59% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 26, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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