Dmr Unlu Mamuller Uretim Gida Toptan Perakende Ihracat A.S. (DMRGD) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Dmr Unlu Mamuller Uretim Gida Toptan Perakende Ihracat A.S. TRY 1.22, price TRY 7.43, upside -83.6%, quality 38 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 4, 2026.
How to read this chart
36‑month range 1.25 TRY – 13.81 TRY · fair‑value band 0.9200 TRY – 1.53 TRY · the 7.43 TRY price screens above the 1.22 TRY fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 4, 2026.
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Dmr Unlu Mamuller Uretim Gida Toptan Perakende Ihracat A.S., together with its subsidiaries, produces, wholesales, and retail bakery products under the Simit Sarayi brand in Turkey and internationally.
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Dmr Unlu Mamuller Uretim Gida Toptan Perakende Ihracat A.S., together with its subsidiaries, produces, wholesales, and retail bakery products under the Simit Sarayi brand in Turkey and internationally. The company offers pastries, bread rolls, sandwiches, pizzas, pies, croissants, cakes, pastries, sipits, soft bagels, buns, boreks, cookies, bread, and wraps; and raw cooked and cooked frozen bagels. It also provides personnel support services. The company sells its products to hotels, restaurants, cafes, and supermarkets through its stores. It also exports its products to approximately 30 countries, including the United States of America, Denmark, and Canada. Dmr Unlu Mamuller Uretim Gida Toptan Perakende Ihracat A.S. was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Istanbul, Turkey.
Stock analysis
Dmr Unlu Mamuller Uretim Gida Toptan Perakende Ihracat A.S. (DMRGD) currently trades at 7.43 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1.22 TRY, 83.6% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 3.29 TRY per share, and 0 of the 15 models we run sit above the 7.43 TRY price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 0.7800 TRY, and 15 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 0.9200 TRY (bear) to 1.53 TRY (bull), the price of 7.43 TRY sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Dmr Unlu Mamuller Uretim Gida Toptan Perakende Ihracat A.S. reported revenue of 1.2B TRY in FY2025 versus 61.0M TRY in FY2021, a compound +111.1%/yr. Reported net income was 107M TRY in FY2025, compounding +149.7%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
Key figures
Market cap 11.0B TRY (≈ $224M) · P/E ratio 61.9 · P/S ratio 5.45 · EPS (TTM) 0.1200 TRY · Net margin 8.8% · Return on equity 8.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.5% · Operating margin 18.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high and 160% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 9% fair-value upside, at −84%, DMRGD screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (0.0900 TRY to 3.41 TRY). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear 0.9200 TRYFair Value 1.22 TRYBull 1.53 TRY
Price 7.43 TRY · Upside -83.6%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.0914 TRY per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.57/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+13.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+27.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+289.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years), in TRY ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis. Measured in TRY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+83.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+83.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.4% → 2%
Compare Dmr Unlu Mamuller Uretim Gida Toptan Perakende Ihracat A.S. with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 634 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score38 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−83.6% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)8.8% · Above median
Return on assets2.5% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)12.5% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)18.8% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth83.4% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.01× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)61.9× · Priciest 25%
P/B6.39× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)7.86× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA67.5× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 35
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 23
PAST (return on equity)35· sector 31
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 57
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Dmr Unlu Mamuller Uretim Gida Toptan Perakende Ihracat A.S. (DMRGD) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1.22 TRY versus a price of 7.43 TRY, about −84% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of DMRGD?
Our model-based fair value for Dmr Unlu Mamuller Uretim Gida Toptan Perakende Ihracat A.S. is 1.22 TRY (as of Oct 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 7.43 TRY.
What is the quality score of DMRGD?
Dmr Unlu Mamuller Uretim Gida Toptan Perakende Ihracat A.S. has a Quality Score of 38/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Dmr Unlu Mamuller Uretim Gida Toptan Perakende Ihracat A.S. (DMRGD)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 1.22 TRY (as of Oct 4, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.9200 TRY, optimistic scenario 1.53 TRY. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Dmr Unlu Mamuller Uretim Gida Toptan Perakende Ihracat A.S. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 1.22 TRY, about −84% upside versus a price of 7.43 TRY (overvalued). Cautious scenario 0.9200 TRY, optimistic scenario 1.53 TRY. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Dmr Unlu Mamuller Uretim Gida Toptan Perakende Ihracat A.S. (DMRGD)?
Dmr Unlu Mamuller Uretim Gida Toptan Perakende Ihracat A.S. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.4B TRY (latest available figure, as of Oct 4, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Dmr Unlu Mamuller Uretim Gida Toptan Perakende Ihracat A.S. (DMRGD)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Dmr Unlu Mamuller Uretim Gida Toptan Perakende Ihracat A.S. it is 1.22 TRY per share (as of Oct 4, 2026), against a price of 7.43 TRY. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Dmr Unlu Mamuller Uretim Gida Toptan Perakende Ihracat A.S. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 4, 2026, DMRGD trades above its calculated fair value: price 7.43 TRY, fair value 1.22 TRY, a gap of about −84% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of DMRGD?
No. The price is what the market pays today (7.43 TRY); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (1.22 TRY). For Dmr Unlu Mamuller Uretim Gida Toptan Perakende Ihracat A.S. the two are 6.21 TRY per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Dmr Unlu Mamuller Uretim Gida Toptan Perakende Ihracat A.S. worth?
The market values Dmr Unlu Mamuller Uretim Gida Toptan Perakende Ihracat A.S. at about 11.0B TRY (market capitalisation, as of Oct 4, 2026). Per share that is 7.43 TRY; our models calculate a fair value of 1.22 TRY per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about DMRGD?
Our models span a range for Dmr Unlu Mamuller Uretim Gida Toptan Perakende Ihracat A.S.: cautious scenario 0.9200 TRY, base 1.22 TRY, optimistic 1.53 TRY per share (as of Oct 4, 2026, price 7.43 TRY). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of DMRGD?
Dmr Unlu Mamuller Uretim Gida Toptan Perakende Ihracat A.S. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 61.9 (as of Oct 4, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 1.22 TRY is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 6.4, P/S 7.9, EV/EBITDA 67.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of Dmr Unlu Mamuller Uretim Gida Toptan Perakende Ihracat A.S. (DMRGD)?
Balance-sheet figures for Dmr Unlu Mamuller Uretim Gida Toptan Perakende Ihracat A.S. (as of Oct 4, 2026): return on equity 8.8%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 38/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is DMRGD from its 52-week high?
Dmr Unlu Mamuller Uretim Gida Toptan Perakende Ihracat A.S. trades at 7.43 TRY, about 46% below its 52-week high of 13.81 TRY and 160% above the low of 2.85 TRY (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 1.22 TRY is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Dmr Unlu Mamuller Uretim Gida Toptan Perakende Ihracat A.S.?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, The Kraft Heinz Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Dmr Unlu Mamuller Uretim Gida Toptan Perakende Ihracat A.S. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 4, 2026: price 7.43 TRY, calculated fair value 1.22 TRY (−84%), Quality Score 38/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of DMRGD calculated?
We run Dmr Unlu Mamuller Uretim Gida Toptan Perakende Ihracat A.S. through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 1.22 TRY, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Dmr Unlu Mamuller Uretim Gida Toptan Perakende Ihracat A.S. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Dmr Unlu Mamuller Uretim Gida Toptan Perakende Ihracat A.S. (DMRGD)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was 7.43 TRY. Our model-based fair value is 1.22 TRY, about −84% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Dmr Unlu Mamuller Uretim Gida Toptan Perakende Ihracat A.S. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (1.53 TRY). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (38/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
How large is the market capitalisation of Dmr Unlu Mamuller Uretim Gida Toptan Perakende Ihracat A.S. (DMRGD)?
The market capitalisation of Dmr Unlu Mamuller Uretim Gida Toptan Perakende Ihracat A.S. is 11.0B TRY (≈ $224M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Dmr Unlu Mamuller Uretim Gida Toptan Perakende Ihracat A.S. (DMRGD)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Dmr Unlu Mamuller Uretim Gida Toptan Perakende Ihracat A.S. is 5.45 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Dmr Unlu Mamuller Uretim Gida Toptan Perakende Ihracat A.S. (DMRGD)?
Earnings per share at Dmr Unlu Mamuller Uretim Gida Toptan Perakende Ihracat A.S. are 0.1200 TRY (price ÷ EPS = P/E 61.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Dmr Unlu Mamuller Uretim Gida Toptan Perakende Ihracat A.S. (DMRGD)?
The net margin of Dmr Unlu Mamuller Uretim Gida Toptan Perakende Ihracat A.S. is 8.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Dmr Unlu Mamuller Uretim Gida Toptan Perakende Ihracat A.S. (DMRGD)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Dmr Unlu Mamuller Uretim Gida Toptan Perakende Ihracat A.S. is 8.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Dmr Unlu Mamuller Uretim Gida Toptan Perakende Ihracat A.S. (DMRGD)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Dmr Unlu Mamuller Uretim Gida Toptan Perakende Ihracat A.S. is −0.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Dmr Unlu Mamuller Uretim Gida Toptan Perakende Ihracat A.S. (DMRGD)?
The operating margin of Dmr Unlu Mamuller Uretim Gida Toptan Perakende Ihracat A.S. is 18.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Dmr Unlu Mamuller Uretim Gida Toptan Perakende Ihracat A.S. (DMRGD)?
Revenue at Dmr Unlu Mamuller Uretim Gida Toptan Perakende Ihracat A.S. is growing +83.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +27.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Dmr Unlu Mamuller Uretim Gida Toptan Perakende Ihracat A.S. (DMRGD)?
Earnings per share at Dmr Unlu Mamuller Uretim Gida Toptan Perakende Ihracat A.S. are growing +5.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Dmr Unlu Mamuller Uretim Gida Toptan Perakende Ihracat A.S. (DMRGD) generate?
The free cash flow of Dmr Unlu Mamuller Uretim Gida Toptan Perakende Ihracat A.S. is −210M TRY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Dmr Unlu Mamuller Uretim Gida Toptan Perakende Ihracat A.S. (DMRGD) carry?
The net debt of Dmr Unlu Mamuller Uretim Gida Toptan Perakende Ihracat A.S. is 13.0M TRY (fiscal year 2022). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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