DaVita Inc. (DVAI34) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what DaVita Inc. is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range R$209.63 – R$1,238 · fair‑value band R$299.35 – R$1,336 · the R$930.00 price screens above the R$719.21 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
DaVita Inc. provides kidney dialysis services for patients suffering from chronic kidney failure in the United States. The company operates kidney dialysis centers and provides related lab services in outpatient dialysis centers.
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DaVita Inc. provides kidney dialysis services for patients suffering from chronic kidney failure in the United States. The company operates kidney dialysis centers and provides related lab services in outpatient dialysis centers. It also offers outpatient, hospital inpatient, and home-based hemodialysis dialysis services; operates clinical laboratories that provide routine laboratory tests for dialysis and other physician-prescribed laboratory tests for ESRD patients; and management and administrative services to outpatient dialysis centers. In addition, the company offers integrated care and disease management services to patients in risk-based and other integrated care arrangements; clinical research programs; physician services; and comprehensive kidney care services. Further, it engages in the transplant software business. The company was formerly known as DaVita HealthCare Partners Inc. and changed its name to DaVita Inc. in September 2016. DaVita Inc. was incorporated in 1994 and is headquartered in Denver, Colorado.
Stock analysis
DaVita Inc. (DVAI34) currently trades at R$930.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$719.21, implying the stock looks roughly 29.3% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of R$263.23 per share, and 0 of the 20 models we run sit above the R$930.00 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at R$150.40, and 20 of the 20 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: R$299.35 (bear) to R$1,336 (bull), the price of R$930.00 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 71/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
DaVita Inc. reported revenue of $13.6B in FY2025 versus $11.6B in FY2021, a compound +4.1%/yr. Reported net income was $747M in FY2025, compounding −6.5%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap R$77.2B (≈ $15.0B) · P/E ratio 22.4 · P/S ratio 1.22 · EPS (TTM) R$53.74 · Net margin 5.5% · Return on equity 81.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.3% · Operating margin 13.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 44 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 70% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at 0% fair-value upside, at −23%, DVAI34 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (R$46.89 to R$450.88). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear R$299.35Fair Value R$719.21Bull R$1,336
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then (R$37.84 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.70/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+6.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.4%
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.6%
’18
’19
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’21
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+9.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+9.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.15% → 15%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+35.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+3.3%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (99 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Medical Care Facilities · 255 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/11 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score71 · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)81% · Top 25%
Return on assets8% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)6% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)14% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth6% · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Medical Care Facilities median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "DaVita Inc. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DVAI34
Frequently asked questions
Is DaVita Inc. (DVAI34) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of R$719.21 versus a price of R$930.00, about −23% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of DVAI34?
Our model-based fair value for DaVita Inc. is R$719.21 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: R$930.00.
What is the quality score of DVAI34?
DaVita Inc. has a Quality Score of 71/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for DaVita Inc. (DVAI34)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of R$719.21 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 20 valuation models. Cautious scenario R$299.35, optimistic scenario R$1,336. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the DaVita Inc. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at R$719.21, about −23% upside versus a price of R$930.00 (overvalued). Cautious scenario R$299.35, optimistic scenario R$1,336. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of DaVita Inc. (DVAI34)?
DaVita Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about R$13.8B (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
What growth is priced into DaVita Inc. (DVAI34)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, DaVita Inc. would have to grow free cash flow by +35.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +3.4 % per year. As of Sep 13, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of DVAI34 use?
Our models discount DaVita Inc. at 11.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.88, country premium for Brazil. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For DaVita Inc. that is +35.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has DaVita Inc. (DVAI34) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at DaVita Inc. grew +3.4 % a year. The price currently implies +35.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of DaVita Inc. (DVAI34) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into DaVita Inc. (+35.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of DaVita Inc. (DVAI34)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.06 %: that much free cash flow DaVita Inc. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of DaVita Inc. (DVAI34)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For DaVita Inc. it is R$719.21 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of R$930.00. It is the blended result of 20 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is DaVita Inc. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, DVAI34 trades above its calculated fair value: price R$930.00, fair value R$719.21, a gap of about −23% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of DVAI34?
No. The price is what the market pays today (R$930.00); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (R$719.21). For DaVita Inc. the two are R$210.79 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is DaVita Inc. worth?
The market values DaVita Inc. at about R$77.2B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is R$930.00; our models calculate a fair value of R$719.21 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about DVAI34?
Our models span a range for DaVita Inc.: cautious scenario R$299.35, base R$719.21, optimistic R$1,336 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price R$930.00). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of DVAI34?
DaVita Inc. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 22.4 (as of Sep 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of R$719.21 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.7, P/S 1.1, EV/EBITDA 8.8.
What is the PEG ratio of DVAI34?
The PEG ratio of DaVita Inc. is 0.72 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 13, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of DaVita Inc. (DVAI34)?
Balance-sheet figures for DaVita Inc. (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity 81.0%. They feed the Quality Score of 71/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is DVAI34 from its 52-week high?
DaVita Inc. trades at R$930.00, about 7% below its 52-week high of R$1,003 and 70% above the low of R$546.63 (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of R$719.21 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to DaVita Inc.?
From the same area (Healthcare) we also value HCA Healthcare, Inc, Fresenius SE, Dr. Sulaiman Al Habib Medical Services Group, IHH Healthcare Berhad, an investment holding company,, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is DaVita Inc. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price R$930.00, calculated fair value R$719.21 (−23%), Quality Score 71/100, from 20 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of DVAI34 calculated?
We run DaVita Inc. through 20 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of R$719.21, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. DaVita Inc. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with DaVita Inc. right now?
A high-quality business (quality 71/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety. The model range is unusually wide (R$299.35 to R$1,336). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
Key figures of DaVita Inc.
How large is the market capitalisation of DaVita Inc. (DVAI34)?
The market capitalisation of DaVita Inc. is R$77.2B (≈ $15.0B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of DaVita Inc. (DVAI34)?
The price-to-sales ratio of DaVita Inc. is 1.22 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of DaVita Inc. (DVAI34)?
Earnings per share at DaVita Inc. are R$53.74 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 22.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of DaVita Inc. (DVAI34)?
The net margin of DaVita Inc. is 5.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of DaVita Inc. (DVAI34)?
The return on equity (ROE) of DaVita Inc. is 81.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of DaVita Inc. (DVAI34)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of DaVita Inc. is 10.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of DaVita Inc. (DVAI34)?
The operating margin of DaVita Inc. is 13.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at DaVita Inc. (DVAI34)?
Revenue at DaVita Inc. is growing +6.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at DaVita Inc. (DVAI34)?
Earnings per share at DaVita Inc. are growing +43.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does DaVita Inc. (DVAI34) carry?
The net debt of DaVita Inc. is R$9.6B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 7.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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