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EDP Renewables, S.A (EDRVY) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of EDP Renewables, S.A $8.33, price $29.66, upside -71.9%, quality 45 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Utilities · US · ISIN ES0127797019

ER EDP Renewables, S.A logo Broad data Sep 29, 2026

EDP Renewables, S.A

EDRVY · US

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value $8.33 · Strongly overvalued (−71.9%)
!Quality 45/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 3y +4.2 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 10.6% net margin (TTM)
!Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
!Narrow moat 37/100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$50.85 $13.66 Fair Value $8.33 May 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $13.66 – $50.85 · fair‑value band $5.90 – $10.42 · the $29.66 price screens above the $8.33 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.

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Company profile

EDP Renewables, S.A. engages in the renewable energy business in Europe, North America, South America, and the Asia Pacific. The company is involved in the planning, construction, operation, and maintenance of power generation plants using renewable energy sources, including wind and solar power.

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EDP Renewables, S.A. engages in the renewable energy business in Europe, North America, South America, and the Asia Pacific. The company is involved in the planning, construction, operation, and maintenance of power generation plants using renewable energy sources, including wind and solar power. It operates in Spain, Portugal, Belgium, France, Italy, Germany, the Netherlands, Poland, Romania, the United Kingdom, Hungary, Greece, the United States, Canada, Mexico, Brazil, Chile, South Korea, Singapore, Vietnam, Thailand, China, Taiwan, Australia, and Japan. EDP Renewables, S.A. was formerly known as EDP Renováveis, S.A. and changed its name to EDP Renewables, S.A. in April 2026. The company was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Madrid, Spain. EDP Renewables, S.A. operates as a subsidiary of EDP, S.A.

Stock analysis

EDP Renewables, S.A (EDRVY) currently trades at $29.66, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $8.33, 71.9% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of $17.34 per share, and 0 of the 14 models we run sit above the $29.66 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $3.36, and 14 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: $5.90 (bear) to $10.42 (bull), the price of $29.66 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

EDP Renewables, S.A reported revenue of €2.7B in FY2025 versus €1.8B in FY2021, a compound +11.2%/yr. Reported net income was €216M in FY2025, compounding −24.3%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap $31.2B · P/E ratio 60.5 · P/S ratio 4.85 · EPS (TTM) $0.4900 · Dividend yield 0.2% · Net margin 8.0% · Return on equity 2.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.5%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 19% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −34% fair-value upside, at −72%, EDRVY screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $5.90 Fair Value $8.33 Bull $10.42
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.3705 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income $18.08 $17.05 $16.82 73
EPV $3.61 $6.33 $8.72 71
ROIC Compounder $3.61 $6.33 $8.72 67
All 14 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $3.12 $10.38 $13.90 62
Lynch FV $2.35 $3.36 $4.37 58
PEG = 1.0 $2.35 $3.36 $4.37 55
EPV $3.61 $6.33 $8.72 71
Multiples
P/E Multiple $6.19 $8.25 $10.32 63
P/S Multiple $5.85 $7.79 $9.74 58
P/B Multiple $5.85 $7.79 $9.74 55
EV/EBIT $8.79 $15.97 $23.15 63
EV/EBITDA $11.55 $19.64 $27.74 65
EV/Revenue n/a $1.55 $5.84 50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $12.94 $17.34 $25.88 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income $18.08 $17.05 $16.82 73
ROIC Compounder $3.61 $6.33 $8.72 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $5.34 $7.63 $9.92 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 45/100

Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 46

Profitability 19
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 70
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 50
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 30
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 43
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 40
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 44
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 56
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 66
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 34/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+16.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.2%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−20.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−20.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.2%
Profit margin 2021 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.33% → 34%

EDRVY screens overvalued: fair value 72% below the price. Compare with China Yangtze Power Co →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Renewable · 196 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 45 · Above median
Fair Value upside −74.4% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 2.8% · Below median
Return on assets 0.6% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 10.6% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 12.9% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −10.0% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.2% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.59× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Renewable median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 60.5× · Priciest 25%
P/B 1.47× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 8.11× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 20.4× · Priciest 25%
PEG 1.16× · Cheaper than median

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Renewable stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
China Yangtze Power Co 600900 ¥28.36 ¥31.20 +10%
Ørsted A/S ORSTED kr 139.45 kr 31.40 −77%
Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc 600025 ¥9.75 ¥4.45 −54%
Fortum Oyj FORTUM €23.42 €14.06 −40%
VERBUND AG VER €63.20 €56.60 −10%
Adani Green Energy Limited ADANIGREEN ₹1,297 ₹169.61 −87%
SDIC Power Holdings 600886 ¥14.86 ¥16.35 +10%
China Three Gorges Renewables (Group) Co 600905 ¥3.61 ¥2.40 −34%
Public Power Corporation PPC €22.96 €7.44 −68%
GD Power Development Co 600795 ¥5.34 ¥5.99 +12%

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EDP Renewables, S.A · Fair Value
$8.33 −72%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "EDP Renewables, S.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/EDRVY

Frequently asked questions

Is EDP Renewables, S.A (EDRVY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $8.33 versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $29.66, about −72% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of EDRVY?
Our model-based fair value for EDP Renewables, S.A is $8.33 (as of Sep 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Sep 25, 2026): $29.66.
What is the quality score of EDRVY?
EDP Renewables, S.A has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for EDP Renewables, S.A (EDRVY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $8.33 (as of Sep 29, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario $5.90, optimistic scenario $10.42. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the EDP Renewables, S.A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $8.33, about −72% upside versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $29.66 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $5.90, optimistic scenario $10.42. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of EDP Renewables, S.A (EDRVY)?
EDP Renewables, S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €2.2B (latest available figure, as of Sep 29, 2026).
Does EDP Renewables, S.A pay a dividend?
EDP Renewables, S.A currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.23% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 29, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of EDP Renewables, S.A (EDRVY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For EDP Renewables, S.A it is $8.33 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026), against a price of $29.66. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is EDP Renewables, S.A stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 29, 2026, EDRVY trades above its calculated fair value: price $29.66, fair value $8.33, a gap of about −72% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of EDRVY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($29.66); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($8.33). For EDP Renewables, S.A the two are $21.33 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is EDP Renewables, S.A worth?
The market values EDP Renewables, S.A at about $31.2B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 29, 2026). Per share that is $29.66; our models calculate a fair value of $8.33 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about EDRVY?
Our models span a range for EDP Renewables, S.A: cautious scenario $5.90, base $8.33, optimistic $10.42 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026, price $29.66). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of EDRVY?
EDP Renewables, S.A trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 60.5 (as of Sep 29, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $8.33 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.2, P/B 1.5, P/S 8.1, EV/EBITDA 20.4.
What is the PEG ratio of EDRVY?
The PEG ratio of EDP Renewables, S.A is 1.16 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 29, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of EDP Renewables, S.A (EDRVY)?
Balance-sheet figures for EDP Renewables, S.A (as of Sep 29, 2026): return on equity 2.8%, debt of 0.59 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 45/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is EDRVY from its 52-week high?
EDP Renewables, S.A trades at $29.66, about 18% below its 52-week high of $36.18 and 19% above the low of $24.90 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $8.33 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to EDP Renewables, S.A?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value China Yangtze Power Co, Ørsted A/S, Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc, Fortum Oyj, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is EDP Renewables, S.A stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 29, 2026: price $29.66, calculated fair value $8.33 (−72%), Quality Score 45/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of EDRVY calculated?
We run EDP Renewables, S.A through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $8.33, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. EDP Renewables, S.A itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of EDP Renewables, S.A (EDRVY)?
The latest price we hold is from Sep 25, 2026 and stands at $29.66. Our model-based fair value is $8.33, about −72% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with EDP Renewables, S.A right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($10.42). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of EDP Renewables, S.A

How large is the market capitalisation of EDP Renewables, S.A (EDRVY)?
The market capitalisation of EDP Renewables, S.A is $31.2B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of EDP Renewables, S.A (EDRVY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of EDP Renewables, S.A is 4.85 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of EDP Renewables, S.A (EDRVY)?
Earnings per share at EDP Renewables, S.A are $0.4900 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 60.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of EDP Renewables, S.A (EDRVY)?
The dividend yield of EDP Renewables, S.A is 0.2% (payout 13.7%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of EDP Renewables, S.A (EDRVY)?
The net margin of EDP Renewables, S.A is 8.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of EDP Renewables, S.A (EDRVY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of EDP Renewables, S.A is 2.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of EDP Renewables, S.A (EDRVY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of EDP Renewables, S.A is 2.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of EDP Renewables, S.A (EDRVY)?
The operating margin of EDP Renewables, S.A is 12.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at EDP Renewables, S.A (EDRVY)?
Revenue at EDP Renewables, S.A is growing −10.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +4.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at EDP Renewables, S.A (EDRVY)?
Earnings per share at EDP Renewables, S.A are growing −71.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does EDP Renewables, S.A (EDRVY) generate?
The free cash flow of EDP Renewables, S.A is −€1.8B (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does EDP Renewables, S.A (EDRVY) carry?
The net debt of EDP Renewables, S.A is €8.2B (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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