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Elanco Animal Health Incorporated (ELAN) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $12.4B

EA Elanco Animal Health Incorporated logo Elanco Animal Health Incorporated ELAN · US
Price$22.12
Fair Value$19.17
Upside-13.3%
Quality45/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -5.0% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (3/13)
Narrow moat 26/100
Evidence: Medium Range $12.64 – $19.17 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026

From 12 valuation models · updated 26 days ago

Share price −10.4% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 13% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($19.17). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$36.72 $8.08 Fair Value $19.17 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $8.08 – $36.72 · fair‑value band $12.64 – $19.17 · the $22.12 price screens above the $19.17 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Elanco Animal Health Incorporated (ELAN) currently trades at $22.12, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $19.17, implying the stock looks roughly 13.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Elanco Animal Health Incorporated generated revenue of $4.9B at a net margin of -5.0%. Revenue grew 14.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -3.8%. Net debt stands at $3.5B. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $12.64 (bear case) to $19.17 (bull case); at $22.12, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 68% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -49% fair-value upside, at -13%, ELAN screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $1.97 $5.42 80
Rev-Margin DCF $0.5600 $3.17 74
EV/EBITDA $12.79 $19.32 $25.85 54
All 12 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $1.99 $5.88 38
Owner Earnings $0.8800 31
5Y Revenue Exit $0.4800 $3.34 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $6.34 $15.08 $24.94 41
10Y Revenue Exit $0.5500 $3.20 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $3.63 $10.43 $18.97 37
Multiples
EV/EBIT $1.77 $3.92 53
EV/EBITDA $12.79 $19.32 $25.85 54
EV/Revenue $1.72 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $6.55 $8.78 $13.11 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $1.97 $5.42 80
Rev-Margin DCF $0.5600 $3.17 74

Widest divergence: Asset-Based ($8.78) versus Growth DCF ($0.5600). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $4.9B
Revenue growth (YoY) +14.9%
Net margin -5.0%
Return on equity -3.8%
Free cash flow $284M FY2025
Operating margin 12.3%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-0.5000
EPS growth (YoY) -15.4%
Net debt $3.5B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 45/100

Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 52

Profitability 13
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 30
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 37
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 36
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 93
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 21
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 57
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 79
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 80
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Elanco Animal Health Incorporated, an animal health company, innovates, develops, manufactures, and markets products for pets and farm animals worldwide.

Full company description

Elanco Animal Health Incorporated, an animal health company, innovates, develops, manufactures, and markets products for pets and farm animals worldwide. The company offers pet health products, such as parasiticides, vaccines, and therapeutics that protect pets from fleas, ticks, and internal parasites under the Seresto, K-9 Advantage, Advantix, and Advocate trademarks; prescription parasiticide products, an over-the-counter treatments for the prevention and elimination of fleas and ticks under the Credelio Family, Interceptor Plus, Drontal family, and Drontal Plus; vaccines portfolio that provides differentiated prevention coverage for a number of important pet health risks; and therapeutics portfolio for the treatment of pain, otitis, cardiovascular, and dermatology indications, as well as osteoarthritis for dogs and cats under the Galliprant trademark. It also provides farm animal products that help farmers improve animal health and wellbeing, and raise livestock, such as cattle, swine, and poultry. In addition, the company offers medicated feed additives, injectable antibiotics, vaccines, insecticides and enzymes, and others under the Rumensin, Baytril, and Experior trademarks for cattle; and under the Maxiban and Monteban trademarks for the control and prevention of intestinal disease in poultry. Further, it offers other pet health products for cats and dogs under the Atopica, Milbemax, Onsior, and Tru Family trademarks; and other farm animal products for poultry, cattle, and swine under the AviPro, Catosal, Denagard, Hemicell, Pulmotil, and Surmax tradmarks. The company sells its products to third-party distributors and independent retailers; and directly to farm animal producers and veterinarians. Elanco Animal Health Incorporated was founded in 1954 and is headquartered in Indianapolis, Indiana.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Elanco Animal Health Incorporated reported revenue of $4.7B in FY2025 versus $4.8B in FY2021, a compound −0.3%/yr. Reported net income was −$232M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 47/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$4.7B
Latest YoY
+6.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+2.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+7.6%
Avg. growth/yr (10Y)
+4.9%
Revenue −0.3%/yr
FY21 $4.8B
FY22 $4.4B
FY23 $4.4B
FY24 $4.4B
FY25 $4.7B
Net income
FY21 −$483M
FY22 −$78.0M
FY23 −$1.2B
FY24 $338M
FY25 −$232M

ELAN screens 13% overvalued. Compare with Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Elanco Animal Health Incorporated Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ELAN

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic · 626 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 45 · Below median
Fair Value upside −13% · Above median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) -5% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 12% · Above median
Revenue growth 15% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.60× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.89× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 2.53× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 43.6× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 16.3× · Pricier than median
PEG 4.04× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 16 · sector 7
FUTURE 75 · sector 20
PAST 0 · sector 23
HEALTH 70 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 34

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals Co 600276 ¥53.19 ¥25.94 -51%
Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Limited SUNPHARMA ₹1,933 ₹989.50 -49%
Divi's Laboratories Limited DIVISLAB ₹7,316 ₹1,943 -73%
Torrent Pharmaceuticals Limited TORNTPHARM ₹4,763 ₹1,329 -72%
PharmaEssentia Corporation 6446 1,285 TWD 221.01 TWD -83%
Cipla Limited CIPLA ₹1,439 ₹1,001 -30%
Zydus Lifesciences Limited ZYDUSLIFE ₹1,151 ₹703.32 -39%
Lupin Limited LUPIN ₹2,443 ₹2,477 +1%
Mankind Pharma Limited MANKIND ₹2,484 ₹983.11 -60%
Dr. Reddy's Laboratories Limited DRREDDY ₹1,211 ₹874.79 -28%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Elanco Animal Health Incorporated (ELAN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $19.17 versus a price of $22.12, about −13% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ELAN?
Our model-based fair value for Elanco Animal Health Incorporated is $19.17 (as of Jul 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $22.12.
What is the quality score of ELAN?
Elanco Animal Health Incorporated has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Elanco Animal Health Incorporated (ELAN)?
Elanco Animal Health Incorporated reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $4.9B (latest available figure, as of Jul 14, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ELAN?
The net profit margin of Elanco Animal Health Incorporated is about -5.0%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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