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Electrovaya Inc (ELVA) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $516M

EI Electrovaya Inc logo Electrovaya Inc ELVA · US
Price$9.71
Fair Value$1.22
Upside-87.5%
Quality29/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 7.0% net margin
Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (5/13)
Moderate moat 49/100
Evidence: Medium Range $0.8925 – $1.51 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 14 valuation models · updated 25 days ago

Share price +7.5% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 87% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($1.51). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (29/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$12.26 $1.93 Fair Value $1.22 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $1.93 – $12.26 · fair‑value band $0.8925 – $1.51 · the $9.71 price screens above the $1.22 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

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Analysis

Electrovaya Inc (ELVA) currently trades at $9.71, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.22, implying the stock looks roughly 87.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Electrovaya Inc generated revenue of $71.2M at a net margin of 7.0%. Revenue grew 20.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.9%. Net debt stands at $16.2M. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.8925 (bear case) to $1.51 (bull case); at $9.71, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 212% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -87%, ELVA screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $0.5300 $0.5800 $0.8000 76
ROIC Compounder $0.5200 $0.6200 $0.8500 72
Growth-Adj P/E $2.18 $3.11 $4.04 68
All 14 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $0.4600 $3.22 $4.52 54
Lynch FV $1.66 $2.38 $3.09 50
PEG = 1.0 $1.66 $2.38 $3.09 46
EPV $0.5200 $0.6200 $0.7200 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $1.07 $1.43 $1.78 63
P/S Multiple $0.8700 $1.15 $1.44 58
P/B Multiple $0.8700 $1.15 $1.44 55
EV/EBIT $1.14 $1.61 $2.09 53
EV/EBITDA $1.09 $1.55 $2.01 54
EV/Revenue $0.7300 $1.16 $1.60 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.3100 $0.4200 $0.6300 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $0.5300 $0.5800 $0.8000 76
ROIC Compounder $0.5200 $0.6200 $0.8500 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $2.18 $3.11 $4.04 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($3.11) versus Asset-Based ($0.4200). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $71.2M
Revenue growth (YoY) +20.2%
Net margin 7.0%
Return on equity 11.9%
Free cash flow −$9.5M FY2025
P/E ratio 94.7
More key figures
Operating margin 12.1%
EPS (TTM) $0.1100
Net debt $16.2M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 29/100

Of which business quality 31 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 63

Profitability 50
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 64
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 6
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 51
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 7
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 47
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 61
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 84
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Electrovaya Inc. engages in the design, development, manufacture, and sale of lithium-ion batteries, battery management systems, and battery-related products for energy storage, clean electric transportation, and other specialized applications in North America. It operates infinity battery systems comprising of low and high voltage systems.

Full company description

Electrovaya Inc. engages in the design, development, manufacture, and sale of lithium-ion batteries, battery management systems, and battery-related products for energy storage, clean electric transportation, and other specialized applications in North America. It operates infinity battery systems comprising of low and high voltage systems. The company also operates solid state battery technology. In addition, it offers lithium-ion battery systems to power MHEV, including fork-lifts, as well as accessories, such as battery chargers to charge the batteries; lithium-ion batteries for robotic applications; lithium ion battery cell and modules for sales to OEM customers in the defense, construction, and other applications; high voltage battery systems for electric bus, truck, and defense applications; and industrial products for energy storage. The company was formerly known as Electrofuel Inc. and changed its name to Electrovaya Inc. in March 2002. Electrovaya Inc. was incorporated in 1996 and is headquartered in Mississauga, Canada.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Electrovaya Inc reported revenue of $63.6M in FY2025 versus $9.9M in FY2021, a compound +59.1%/yr. Reported net income was $3.4M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 50/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$63.6M
Latest YoY
+42.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+59.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+36.0%
Avg. growth/yr (28Y)
+92.2%
Revenue +59.1%/yr
FY21 $9.9M
FY22 $15.6M
FY23 $43.4M
FY24 $44.6M
FY25 $63.6M
Net income
FY21 −$7.5M
FY22 −$9.2M
FY23 −$1.5M
FY24 −$1.5M
FY25 $3.4M

ELVA screens 87% overvalued. Compare with Contemporary Amperex Technology Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Electrovaya Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ELVA

Peer Group

Electrical Equipment & Parts · 528 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 29 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −88% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 12% · Above median
Return on assets 7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 12% · Above median
Revenue growth 20% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.67× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Electrical Equipment & Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 94.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 16.57× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 7.24× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 59.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 1.44× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 57
PAST 48 · sector 26
HEALTH 67 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 18

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Electrical Equipment & Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Contemporary Amperex Technology Co 3750 HK$675.50 HK$391.44 -42%
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Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company TDED 10.16 SGD 1.47 SGD -86%
LG Energy Solution, Ltd 373220 334,000 KRW 201,455 KRW -40%
WEG S.A WEGE3 13,210 ARS 7,948 ARS -40%
Sungrow Power Supply Co 300274 ¥114.79 ¥123.83 +8%
Shenzhen Inovance Technology Co 300124 ¥63.43 ¥33.04 -48%
HD Hyundai Electric Co 267260 823,000 KRW 371,133 KRW -55%
LS ELECTRIC Co 010120 190,000 KRW 31,517 KRW -83%
Sieyuan Electric Co 002028 ¥151.73 ¥71.69 -53%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Electrovaya Inc (ELVA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.22 versus a price of $9.71, about −87% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ELVA?
Our model-based fair value for Electrovaya Inc is $1.22 (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $9.71.
What is the quality score of ELVA?
Electrovaya Inc has a Quality Score of 29/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Electrovaya Inc (ELVA)?
Electrovaya Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $71.2M (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ELVA?
The net profit margin of Electrovaya Inc is about 7.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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