Emmerson Resources Limited (ERM) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · AU · Market cap A$206M
Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated yesterday
Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026 — revised from A$0.0300 to A$0.0700 (+133.3%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −6.2% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range A$0.1250 – A$0.4350 · fair‑value band A$0.0500 – A$0.1000 · the A$0.3050 price screens above the A$0.0700 fair value. As of Jul 12, 2026.
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Emmerson Resources Limited (ERM) currently trades at A$0.3050, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0700 — implying the stock looks roughly 77.1% overvalued today. We read business quality at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at A$182K. Revenue declined 46.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -30.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of A$6.0M. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$0.0500 (bear case) to A$0.1000 (bull case); at A$0.3050, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 165% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 33% fair-value upside — at -77%, ERM screens richer than that median.
Key figures & financial health
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Emmerson Resources Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration and evaluation of mineral properties. The company primarily explores for gold, copper, and cobalt deposits. It holds interest in the Tennant Creek Mineral Field covering an area of 1,700 square kilometers located in the Northern Territory, Australia. The company also holds interests Hermitage Project and Kiola Project located in New South Wales, Australia. Emmerson Resources Limited was incorporated in 2005 and is based in West Perth, Australia.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Emmerson Resources Limited reported revenue of A$577K in FY2025 versus A$91.7K in FY2021, a compound +58.4%/yr. Reported net income was −A$2.4M in FY2025.
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|---|---|---|---|
| Newmont Corporation NEMCL | $112.00 | $141.64 | +26% |
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| Wheaton Precious Metals Corp SII | €93.84 | €49.15 | -48% |
| AngloGold Ashanti plc AU | $86.23 | $88.63 | +3% |
| Franco-Nevada Corporation FNV | $213.92 | $96.64 | -55% |
| Kinross Gold Corporation KIN2 | €25.90 | €44.76 | +73% |
| Gold Fields Limited GFI | $38.60 | $100.62 | +161% |
| Zijin Gold International Company 2259 | HK$94.30 | HK$83.81 | -11% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.