Zijin Gold International Company (2259) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · HK · Market cap HK$252B
Fair value as of: Aug 5, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated 6 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 5, 2026, revised from HK$83.81 to HK$96.81 (+15.5%) since Jul 2, 2026. Share price +46.5% over the past month.
A strong business, but screening 33% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 79/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- A fairly wide model range (HK$70.09 to HK$166.69) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (10 months)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Aug 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
10‑month range HK$88.50 – HK$250.22 · fair‑value band HK$70.09 – HK$166.69 · the HK$144.00 price screens above the HK$96.81 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Aug 5, 2026.
Analysis
Zijin Gold International Company (2259) currently trades at HK$144.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$96.81, implying the stock looks roughly 32.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 79/100 (high quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Zijin Gold International Company generated revenue of HK$6.6B at a net margin of 34.1%. Revenue grew 137.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 31.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$20.7B. Fundamentals as of Aug 5, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$70.09 (bear case) to HK$166.69 (bull case); at HK$144.00, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high and 71% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 16% fair-value upside, at -33%, 2259 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 16 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$181.31) versus Dividend Discount (HK$14.21). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 5, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 76 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 18
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Zijin Gold International Company Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the exploration, mining, processing, smelting, refining, and sale of gold and other non-ferrous metals. The company's principal products include gold bullion, alloy, doré, bars, and gold concentrate.
Full company description
Zijin Gold International Company Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the exploration, mining, processing, smelting, refining, and sale of gold and other non-ferrous metals. The company's principal products include gold bullion, alloy, doré, bars, and gold concentrate. It operates in Colombia, Suriname, Australia, Tajikistan, Ghana, Guyana, Papua New Guinea, Kyrgyzstan, and Kazakhstan. The company was formerly known as Jinfeng (HK) International Mining Company Limited. Zijin Gold International Company Limited was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Kowloon, Hong Kong. Zijin Gold International Company Limited operates as a subsidiary of Gold Mountains (Hong Kong) International Mining Company Limited.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Zijin Gold International Company reported revenue of HK$37.7B in FY2025 versus HK$12.5B in FY2022, a compound +44.6%/yr. Reported net income was HK$11.2B in FY2025, compounding +107.3%/yr from FY2022.
2259 screens 33% overvalued. Compare with Newmont Corporation →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Allied Gold and Zijin Gold end arrangement agreement
- Allied Gold Says China’s Zijin Gold Terminates Takeover
- Allied Gold Corporation (AAUC) Inches Closer to Zijin Gold Merger
Peer Group
Gold · 258 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Gold median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Gold stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 5, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newmont Corporation NEMCL | $112.00 | $132.73 | +19% |
| Zijin Mining Group 601899 | ¥28.36 | ¥30.58 | +8% |
| Agnico Eagle Mines Limited AEM | C$191.93 | C$154.33 | -20% |
| Barrick Mining Corporation B | $34.93 | $50.66 | +45% |
| Wheaton Precious Metals Corp WPM | C$152.57 | C$52.47 | -66% |
| Franco-Nevada Corporation FNV | C$284.75 | C$97.76 | -66% |
| AngloGold Ashanti plc AU | $76.35 | $88.63 | +16% |
| Gold Fields Limited GFI | $33.33 | $59.06 | +77% |
| Kinross Gold Corporation KGC | $22.57 | $34.62 | +53% |
| Northern Star Resources Limited NST | A$20.48 | A$15.98 | -22% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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