Zijin Gold Intl Co Ltd (2259) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Zijin Gold Intl Co Ltd HK$83.20, price HK$142, upside -41.3%, quality 79 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
12‑month range HK$88.50 – HK$250.22 · fair‑value band HK$47.73 – HK$148.66 · the HK$141.70 price screens above the HK$83.20 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Zijin Gold International Company Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the exploration, mining, processing, smelting, refining, and sale of gold and other non-ferrous metals. The company's principal products include gold bullion, alloy, doré, bars, and gold concentrate.
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Zijin Gold International Company Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the exploration, mining, processing, smelting, refining, and sale of gold and other non-ferrous metals. The company's principal products include gold bullion, alloy, doré, bars, and gold concentrate. It operates in Colombia, Suriname, Australia, Tajikistan, Ghana, Guyana, Papua New Guinea, Kyrgyzstan, and Kazakhstan. The company was formerly known as Jinfeng (HK) International Mining Company Limited. Zijin Gold International Company Limited was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Kowloon, Hong Kong. Zijin Gold International Company Limited operates as a subsidiary of Gold Mountains (Hong Kong) International Mining Company Limited.
Stock analysis
Zijin Gold Intl Co Ltd (2259) currently trades at HK$141.70, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$83.20, implying the stock looks roughly 70.3% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of HK$180.44 per share, and 9 of the 26 models we run sit above the HK$141.70 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at HK$13.30, and 17 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: HK$47.73 (bear) to HK$148.66 (bull), the price of HK$141.70 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 79/100 (high quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Zijin Gold Intl Co Ltd reported revenue of $37.7B in FY2025 versus $12.5B in FY2022, a compound +44.6%/yr. Reported net income was $11.2B in FY2025, compounding +107.3%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap HK$277B (≈ $35.3B) · P/E ratio 14.7 · P/S ratio 4.36 · EPS (TTM) HK$0.2300 · Dividend yield 0.9% · Net margin 29.7% · Return on equity 31.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 15.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high and 60% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 14% fair-value upside, at −41%, 2259 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear HK$47.73Fair Value HK$83.20Bull HK$148.66
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (HK$0.1689 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+72.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+44.6%
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
27.4% (2022) → 48.6% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: rate outside our plausibility band
not computed
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
less than -40 %
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (22 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Negative
Recent news coverage is more negative than average.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Gold · 238 stocks
Beats the industry median on 11/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score79 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−41% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)32% · Top 25%
Return on assets18% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)34% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)61% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth138% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.9% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.01× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Gold median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)14.7× · Cheaper than median
P/B0.60× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM)5.37× · Pricier than median
P/FCF2.8× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA3.5× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 100
PAST (return on equity)100· sector 17
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)18· sector 20
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Zijin Gold Intl Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2259
Frequently asked questions
Is Zijin Gold Intl Co Ltd (2259) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$83.20 versus a price of HK$141.70, about −41% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 2259?
Our model-based fair value for Zijin Gold Intl Co Ltd is HK$83.20 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$141.70.
What is the quality score of 2259?
Zijin Gold Intl Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 79/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Zijin Gold Intl Co Ltd (2259)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$83.20 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$47.73, optimistic scenario HK$148.66. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Zijin Gold Intl Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$83.20, about −41% upside versus a price of HK$141.70 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$47.73, optimistic scenario HK$148.66. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
Does Zijin Gold Intl Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Zijin Gold Intl Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.88% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Zijin Gold Intl Co Ltd (2259)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Zijin Gold Intl Co Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by less than minus 40 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 3 years revenue grew +44.6 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 2259 use?
Our models discount Zijin Gold Intl Co Ltd at 9.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), country premium for Hong Kong. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Zijin Gold Intl Co Ltd that is less than minus 40 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Zijin Gold Intl Co Ltd (2259) delivered so far?
Over the past 3 years revenue at Zijin Gold Intl Co Ltd grew +44.6 % a year. The price currently implies less than minus 40 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Zijin Gold Intl Co Ltd (2259) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +0.0 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Zijin Gold Intl Co Ltd (less than minus 40 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Zijin Gold Intl Co Ltd (2259)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 35.41 %: that much free cash flow Zijin Gold Intl Co Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Zijin Gold Intl Co Ltd (2259)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Zijin Gold Intl Co Ltd it is HK$83.20 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of HK$141.70. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Zijin Gold Intl Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 2259 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$141.70, fair value HK$83.20, a gap of about −41% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 2259?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$141.70); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$83.20). For Zijin Gold Intl Co Ltd the two are HK$58.50 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Zijin Gold Intl Co Ltd worth?
The market values Zijin Gold Intl Co Ltd at about HK$277B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is HK$141.70; our models calculate a fair value of HK$83.20 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 2259?
Our models span a range for Zijin Gold Intl Co Ltd: cautious scenario HK$47.73, base HK$83.20, optimistic HK$148.66 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price HK$141.70). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 2259?
Zijin Gold Intl Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 14.7 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$83.20 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.6, P/S 5.4, EV/EBITDA 3.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of Zijin Gold Intl Co Ltd (2259)?
Balance-sheet figures for Zijin Gold Intl Co Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 31.7%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 79/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 2259 from its 52-week high?
Zijin Gold Intl Co Ltd trades at HK$141.70, about 43% below its 52-week high of HK$250.22 and 60% above the low of HK$88.50 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$83.20 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Zijin Gold Intl Co Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Newmont Corporation, Zijin Mining Group, Agnico Eagle Mines Limited, Barrick Mining Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Zijin Gold Intl Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price HK$141.70, calculated fair value HK$83.20 (−41%), Quality Score 79/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 2259 calculated?
We run Zijin Gold Intl Co Ltd through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$83.20, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Zijin Gold Intl Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Zijin Gold Intl Co Ltd (2259)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was HK$141.70. Our model-based fair value is HK$83.20, about −41% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Zijin Gold Intl Co Ltd right now?
A high-quality business (quality 79/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety. The model range is unusually wide (HK$47.73 to HK$148.66). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
Key figures of Zijin Gold Intl Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Zijin Gold Intl Co Ltd (2259)?
The market capitalisation of Zijin Gold Intl Co Ltd is HK$277B (≈ $35.3B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Zijin Gold Intl Co Ltd (2259)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Zijin Gold Intl Co Ltd is 4.36 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Zijin Gold Intl Co Ltd (2259)?
Earnings per share at Zijin Gold Intl Co Ltd are HK$0.2300 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 14.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Zijin Gold Intl Co Ltd (2259)?
The dividend yield of Zijin Gold Intl Co Ltd is 0.9%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Zijin Gold Intl Co Ltd (2259)?
The net margin of Zijin Gold Intl Co Ltd is 29.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Zijin Gold Intl Co Ltd (2259)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Zijin Gold Intl Co Ltd is 31.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Zijin Gold Intl Co Ltd (2259)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Zijin Gold Intl Co Ltd is 15.1% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Zijin Gold Intl Co Ltd (2259)?
The operating margin of Zijin Gold Intl Co Ltd is 61.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Zijin Gold Intl Co Ltd (2259)?
Revenue at Zijin Gold Intl Co Ltd is growing +138% versus a year earlier (3y avg +44.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Zijin Gold Intl Co Ltd (2259)?
Earnings per share at Zijin Gold Intl Co Ltd are growing +35.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Zijin Gold Intl Co Ltd (2259) hold?
Zijin Gold Intl Co Ltd holds more cash than debt, $20.7B net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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