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Eisai Co (ESAIY) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $6.9B

EC Eisai Co logo Eisai Co ESAIY · US
Price$7.55
Fair Value$6.74
Upside-10.7%
Quality61/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 4.7% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
4.38% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (5/11)
Narrow moat 25/100
Evidence: High Range $5.13 – $8.21 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 23 valuation models · updated 25 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from $4.79 to $6.74 (+40.7%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +14.9% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 11% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Our model range runs from $5.13 (bear) to $8.21 (bull), base $6.74. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 61/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$95.93 $5.49 Fair Value $6.74 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $5.49 – $95.93 · fair‑value band $5.13 – $8.21 · the $7.55 price screens above the $6.74 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

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Analysis

Eisai Co (ESAIY) currently trades at $7.55, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $6.74, implying the stock looks roughly 10.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Eisai Co generated revenue of $825B at a net margin of 4.7%. Revenue grew 9.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $59.6B. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $5.13 (bear case) to $8.21 (bull case); at $7.55, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 33% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -49% fair-value upside, at -11%, ESAIY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $3.38 $4.38 $5.68 80
Rev-Margin DCF $2.87 $3.94 $5.08 74
ROIC Compounder $2.19 $2.43 $2.65 72
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $3.30 $4.38 $5.84 38
Owner Earnings $4.28 $5.76 $7.75 31
5Y Revenue Exit $2.87 $3.90 $5.15 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $4.27 $6.38 $8.72 41
5Y P/E Exit $3.64 $5.26 $6.86 38
10Y Revenue Exit $2.95 $3.89 $5.01 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $3.87 $5.52 $7.54 37
10Y P/E Exit $3.48 $4.78 $6.22 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $1.53 $3.42 $4.38 54
PEG = 1.0 $0.5575 $0.7964 $1.04 46
EPV $2.19 $2.43 $2.65 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $3.70 $4.94 $6.17 63
P/S Multiple $2.86 $3.81 $4.77 58
P/B Multiple $2.86 $3.81 $4.77 55
EV/EBIT $3.60 $4.59 $5.58 53
EV/EBITDA $5.49 $7.11 $8.73 54
EV/Revenue $2.74 $3.65 $4.57 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $2.48 $3.32 $4.95 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $3.38 $4.38 $5.68 80
Rev-Margin DCF $2.87 $3.94 $5.08 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $3.69 $3.67 $3.35 61
ROIC Compounder $2.19 $2.43 $2.65 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $2.76 $3.94 $5.12 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($4.78) versus Earnings-Based ($2.43). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $825B
Revenue growth (YoY) +9.1%
Net margin 4.7%
Return on equity 4.5%
Free cash flow $48.7B FY2026
P/E ratio 29.0
More key figures
Operating margin -0.9%
EPS (TTM) $0.2100
Dividend yield 4.4%
EPS growth (YoY) -27.7%
Net cash $59.6B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 61/100

Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 61

Profitability 42
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 44
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 53
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 69
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 85
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 79
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 49
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 60
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 87
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Eisai Co., Ltd. engages in the research, development, manufacture, and sale of pharmaceuticals in Japan. The company operates through pharmaceuticals business and other business segments.

Full company description

Eisai Co., Ltd. engages in the research, development, manufacture, and sale of pharmaceuticals in Japan. The company operates through pharmaceuticals business and other business segments. It offers Lenvima, a multi-kinase inhibitor which is involved in tumor angiogenesis or tumor malignancy; LEQEMBI, a humanized IgG1 monoclonal antibody against amyloid-beta (Aß) protofibrils; and Dayvigo, a novel small molecule compound. The company also provides prescription drugs; and over-the-counter drugs, as well as focuses on neurology and oncology, and other therapeutic areas. It operates in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Russia, Oceania, the Americas, China, East Asia, the Global South, and internationally. The company was formerly known as Nihon Eisai Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Eisai Co., Ltd. in 1955. Eisai Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 1941 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Eisai Co reported revenue of $875B in FY2026 versus $756B in FY2022, a compound +3.7%/yr. Reported net income was $40.9B in FY2026, compounding −3.9%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 67/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
$875B
Latest YoY
+10.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+5.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+6.3%
Avg. growth/yr (26Y)
+4.2%
Revenue +3.7%/yr
FY22 $756B
FY23 $744B
FY24 $742B
FY25 $789B
FY26 $875B
Net income −3.9%/yr
FY22 $48.0B
FY23 $55.4B
FY24 $42.4B
FY25 $46.4B
FY26 $40.9B

ESAIY screens 11% overvalued. Compare with Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Eisai Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ESAIY

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic · 626 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 61 · Above median
Fair Value upside −11% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 5% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 5% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) -1% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 9% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.4% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.15× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 29.0× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 0.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 19 · sector 7
FUTURE 46 · sector 20
PAST 18 · sector 23
HEALTH 93 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 88 · sector 34

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals Co 600276 ¥53.19 ¥25.94 -51%
Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Limited SUNPHARMA ₹1,933 ₹989.50 -49%
Divi's Laboratories Limited DIVISLAB ₹7,316 ₹1,943 -73%
Torrent Pharmaceuticals Limited TORNTPHARM ₹4,763 ₹1,329 -72%
PharmaEssentia Corporation 6446 1,285 TWD 221.01 TWD -83%
Cipla Limited CIPLA ₹1,439 ₹1,001 -30%
Zydus Lifesciences Limited ZYDUSLIFE ₹1,151 ₹703.32 -39%
Lupin Limited LUPIN ₹2,443 ₹2,477 +1%
Mankind Pharma Limited MANKIND ₹2,484 ₹983.11 -60%
Dr. Reddy's Laboratories Limited DRREDDY ₹1,211 ₹874.79 -28%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Eisai Co (ESAIY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $6.74 versus a price of $7.55, about −11% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ESAIY?
Our model-based fair value for Eisai Co is $6.74 (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $7.55.
What is the quality score of ESAIY?
Eisai Co has a Quality Score of 61/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Eisai Co (ESAIY)?
Eisai Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $825B (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ESAIY?
The net profit margin of Eisai Co is about 4.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Eisai Co pay a dividend?
Eisai Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.38% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 16, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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