EXOSENS PROM (EXENS) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of EXOSENS PROM €51.92, price €63.40, upside -18.1%, quality 47 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Watch EXOSENS PROM for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card.Watch for freePro now: $1 first month
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
28‑month range €16.97 – €72.57 · fair‑value band €26.54 – €70.70 · the €63.40 price screens above the €51.92 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Follow EXOSENS PROM in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether EXOSENS PROM is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
Exosens, together with its subsidiaries, develops, manufactures, and sells electro-optical technologies in France, Europe, North America, Asia, and internationally. It operates in two segments, Amplification and Detection and Imaging.
Show more
Exosens, together with its subsidiaries, develops, manufactures, and sells electro-optical technologies in France, Europe, North America, Asia, and internationally. It operates in two segments, Amplification and Detection and Imaging. The company offers image intensifier tubes; cameras, sensors, modules and cores, and imaging systems and solutions, including UV missile warning solution, atmospheric sounder, and spectroradiometer; and detection and imaging products for ions and electrons, photons, and neutrons, as well as micro pore optics and components, such as phosphor screens, resistive glass products, microchannel plates, and electron generator arrays. It also provides bare and energy compensated Geiger- Müller tubes; gamma and neutron detectors; mineral insulated extensions; and silicon photodiodes, as well as methane airborne detection solutions. The company sells its products under the Exosens, Photonis, Xenics, Telops, El-Mul, and Noxant brand names. It serves defense and surveillance, life sciences and environment, industrial control, and nuclear markets. The company was founded in 1937 and is headquartered in Mérignac, France.
Stock analysis
EXOSENS PROM (EXENS) currently trades at €63.40, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €51.92, implying the stock looks roughly 22.1% overvalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of €28.93 per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the €63.40 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at €5.89, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: €26.54 (bear) to €70.70 (bull), the price of €63.40 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
EXOSENS PROM reported revenue of €468M in FY2025 versus €166M in FY2021, a compound +29.6%/yr. Reported net income was €42.7M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap €3.2B · P/E ratio 94.6 · P/S ratio 8.63 · EPS (TTM) €0.6700 · Dividend yield 0.5% · Net margin 9.1% · Return on equity 16.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 51 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat.
The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 55% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −36% fair-value upside, at −18%, EXENS screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear €26.54Fair Value €51.92Bull €70.70
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (€0.2707 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+18.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+32.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+25.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
+24.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+24.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.5%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.21% → 22%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+34.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+11.9%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +31.4% a year for the price and +9.5% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (14 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electrical Equipment & Parts · 550 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score47 · Below median
Fair Value upside−15% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)16% · Top 25%
Return on assets8% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)9% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)22% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth20% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)0.5% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.56× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Electrical Equipment & Parts median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)94.6× · Priciest 25%
P/B7.91× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "EXOSENS PROM Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/EXENS
Frequently asked questions
Is EXOSENS PROM (EXENS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €51.92 versus a price of €63.40, about −18% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of EXENS?
Our model-based fair value for EXOSENS PROM is €51.92 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €63.40.
What is the quality score of EXENS?
EXOSENS PROM has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for EXOSENS PROM (EXENS)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €51.92 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario €26.54, optimistic scenario €70.70. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the EXOSENS PROM stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €51.92, about −18% upside versus a price of €63.40 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €26.54, optimistic scenario €70.70. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of EXOSENS PROM (EXENS)?
EXOSENS PROM reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €468M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does EXOSENS PROM pay a dividend?
EXOSENS PROM currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.47% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into EXOSENS PROM (EXENS)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, EXOSENS PROM would have to grow free cash flow by +34.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +25.6 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of EXENS use?
Our models discount EXOSENS PROM at 9.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.86, country premium for France. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For EXOSENS PROM that is +34.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has EXOSENS PROM (EXENS) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at EXOSENS PROM grew +25.6 % a year. The price currently implies +34.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of EXOSENS PROM (EXENS) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into EXOSENS PROM (+34.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of EXOSENS PROM (EXENS)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.50 %: that much free cash flow EXOSENS PROM produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of EXOSENS PROM (EXENS)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For EXOSENS PROM it is €51.92 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of €63.40. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is EXOSENS PROM stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, EXENS trades above its calculated fair value: price €63.40, fair value €51.92, a gap of about −18% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of EXENS?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€63.40); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€51.92). For EXOSENS PROM the two are €11.48 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is EXOSENS PROM worth?
The market values EXOSENS PROM at about €3.2B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is €63.40; our models calculate a fair value of €51.92 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about EXENS?
Our models span a range for EXOSENS PROM: cautious scenario €26.54, base €51.92, optimistic €70.70 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price €63.40). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of EXENS?
EXOSENS PROM trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 94.6 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €51.92 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 7.9, P/S 7.5, EV/EBITDA 28.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of EXOSENS PROM (EXENS)?
Balance-sheet figures for EXOSENS PROM (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 16.4%, debt of 0.56 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 47/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is EXENS from its 52-week high?
EXOSENS PROM trades at €63.40, about 13% below its 52-week high of €72.57 and 55% above the low of €40.81 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €51.92 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to EXOSENS PROM?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Contemporary Amperex Technology Co, ABB Ltd, Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company, Vertiv Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is EXOSENS PROM stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price €63.40, calculated fair value €51.92 (−18%), Quality Score 47/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of EXENS calculated?
We run EXOSENS PROM through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €51.92, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. EXOSENS PROM itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of EXOSENS PROM (EXENS)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was €63.40. Our model-based fair value is €51.92, about −18% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with EXOSENS PROM right now?
The model range is unusually wide (€26.54 to €70.70). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (47/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of EXOSENS PROM
How large is the market capitalisation of EXOSENS PROM (EXENS)?
The market capitalisation of EXOSENS PROM is €3.2B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of EXOSENS PROM (EXENS)?
The price-to-sales ratio of EXOSENS PROM is 8.63 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of EXOSENS PROM (EXENS)?
Earnings per share at EXOSENS PROM are €0.6700 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 94.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of EXOSENS PROM (EXENS)?
The dividend yield of EXOSENS PROM is 0.5% (payout 44.8%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of EXOSENS PROM (EXENS)?
The net margin of EXOSENS PROM is 9.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of EXOSENS PROM (EXENS)?
The return on equity (ROE) of EXOSENS PROM is 16.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of EXOSENS PROM (EXENS)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of EXOSENS PROM is 8.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of EXOSENS PROM (EXENS)?
The operating margin of EXOSENS PROM is 22.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at EXOSENS PROM (EXENS)?
Revenue at EXOSENS PROM is growing +20.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +32.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net debt does EXOSENS PROM (EXENS) carry?
The net debt of EXOSENS PROM is €211M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 4.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed
Watch EXOSENS PROM in the live analysis
One click puts EXOSENS PROM on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
