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Experian plc (EXPGF) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $29.8B

EP Experian plc logo Experian plc EXPGF · US
Price$36.49
Fair Value$29.60
Upside-18.9%
Quality61/100
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Evidence: High Range $16.83 – $42.98

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 2 days ago

Share price +6.4% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

$54.75 $33.00 Fair Value $29.60 Jan 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range $33.00 – $54.75 · fair‑value band $16.83 – $42.98 · the $36.49 price screens above the $29.60 fair value. As of Jul 16, 2026.

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Analysis

Experian plc (EXPGF) currently trades at $36.49, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $29.60, implying the stock looks roughly 18.9% overvalued today. We read business quality at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Experian plc generated revenue of $8.4B at a net margin of 17.8%. Revenue grew 12.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 28.3%. Net debt stands at $5.1B. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $16.83 (bear case) to $42.98 (bull case); at $36.49, the current price sits within that range. The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -20% fair-value upside, at -19%, EXPGF screens cheaper than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $8.4B
Revenue growth (YoY) +12.3%
Net margin 17.8%
Return on equity 28.3%
Free cash flow $1.5B FY2026
P/E ratio 20.5
More key figures
Operating margin 25.0%
EPS (TTM) $1.63
Dividend yield 2.0%
EPS growth (YoY) +23.1%
Net debt $5.1B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Experian plc, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a data and technology company in North America, Latin America, the United Kingdom, Ireland, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. It operates through two segments: Business-to-Business and Consumer Services. The company provides data, software, and AI-enabled analytics integrate directly into client workflows to support decisioning, risk management, fraud prevention and customer engagement at scale; credit information, affordability insights, identity protection and personalized offers. It serves its customers in financial service, health, automotive, and marketing services. The company was formerly known as Experian Group Limited and changed its name to Experian plc in July 2008. Experian plc was founded in 1826 and is headquartered in Dublin, Ireland.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Experian plc reported revenue of $8.4B in FY2026 versus $6.3B in FY2022, a compound +7.7%/yr. Reported net income was $1.5B in FY2026, compounding +6.6%/yr from FY2022.

Revenue +7.7%/yr
FY22 $6.3B
FY23 $6.6B
FY24 $7.1B
FY25 $7.5B
FY26 $8.4B
Net income +6.6%/yr
FY22 $1.2B
FY23 $770M
FY24 $1.2B
FY25 $1.2B
FY26 $1.5B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Experian plc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/EXPGF

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection, not financial advice.

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Frequently asked questions

Is Experian plc (EXPGF) undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $29.60 versus a price of $36.49, about −19% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of EXPGF?
Our model-based fair value for Experian plc is $29.60 (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $36.49.
What is the quality score of EXPGF?
Experian plc has a Quality Score of 61/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Experian plc (EXPGF)?
Experian plc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $8.4B (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of EXPGF?
The net profit margin of Experian plc is about 17.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 17.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Experian plc pay a dividend?
Experian plc currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.02% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 16, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.