Fade Gida Yatirim Sanayi Ticaret As (FADE) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 22, 2026: fair value of Fade Gida Yatirim Sanayi Ticaret As TRY 7.86, price TRY 12.17, upside -35.4%, quality 45 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 5.59 TRY – 22.50 TRY · fair‑value band 6.25 TRY – 9.82 TRY · the 12.17 TRY price screens above the 7.86 TRY fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
Fade Gida Yatirim Sanayi Ticaret Anonim Sirketi engages in the food business. It operates through the Agricultural Activities, Shopping Mall Activities, and Construction Activities segments.
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Fade Gida Yatirim Sanayi Ticaret Anonim Sirketi engages in the food business. It operates through the Agricultural Activities, Shopping Mall Activities, and Construction Activities segments. The company provides salted/sulphured sun-dried tomatoes; frozen or dried fruits and vegetables; and owns and manages shopping centers, as well as sells interior decoration and other construction activities. It sells its organic products worldwide. The company was incorporated in 1995 and is headquartered in Izmir, Turkey.
Stock analysis
Fade Gida Yatirim Sanayi Ticaret As (FADE) currently trades at 12.17 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 7.86 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 54.8% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 17.13 TRY per share, and 9 of the 15 models we run sit above the 12.17 TRY price.
Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at 6.96 TRY, and 6 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 6.25 TRY (bear) to 9.82 TRY (bull), the price of 12.17 TRY sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Fade Gida Yatirim Sanayi Ticaret As reported revenue of 1.0B TRY in FY2025 versus 68.8M TRY in FY2021, a compound +96.8%/yr. Reported net income was 31.4M TRY in FY2025, compounding −0.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 1.5B TRY (≈ $30.4M) · P/E ratio 32.9 · P/S ratio 1.00 · EPS (TTM) 0.3700 TRY · Net margin 3.0% · Return on equity 3.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.6% · Operating margin 9.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 37 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −9% fair-value upside, at −35%, FADE screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 6.25 TRYFair Value 7.86 TRYBull 9.82 TRY
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.2696 TRY per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+52.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+98.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+75.2%
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+55.8%
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’22
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TRY ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in TRY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−0.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−0.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.32% → 13%
Compare Fade Gida Yatirim Sanayi Ticaret As with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 649 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score45 · Below median
Fair Value upside−50% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)3% · Below median
Return on assets4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)5% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)10% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth1% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.00× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)32.9× · Priciest 25%
P/B0.82× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM)1.40× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA8.4× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 26
FUTURE (revenue growth)6· sector 20
PAST (return on equity)12· sector 27
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 58
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Fade Gida Yatirim Sanayi Ticaret As Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FADE
Frequently asked questions
Is Fade Gida Yatirim Sanayi Ticaret As (FADE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 7.86 TRY versus a price of 12.17 TRY, about −35% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of FADE?
Our model-based fair value for Fade Gida Yatirim Sanayi Ticaret As is 7.86 TRY (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 12.17 TRY.
What is the quality score of FADE?
Fade Gida Yatirim Sanayi Ticaret As has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Fade Gida Yatirim Sanayi Ticaret As (FADE)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 7.86 TRY (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario 6.25 TRY, optimistic scenario 9.82 TRY. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Fade Gida Yatirim Sanayi Ticaret As stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 7.86 TRY, about −35% upside versus a price of 12.17 TRY (overvalued). Cautious scenario 6.25 TRY, optimistic scenario 9.82 TRY. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Fade Gida Yatirim Sanayi Ticaret As (FADE)?
Fade Gida Yatirim Sanayi Ticaret As reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.1B TRY (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Fade Gida Yatirim Sanayi Ticaret As (FADE)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Fade Gida Yatirim Sanayi Ticaret As it is 7.86 TRY per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of 12.17 TRY. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Fade Gida Yatirim Sanayi Ticaret As stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, FADE trades above its calculated fair value: price 12.17 TRY, fair value 7.86 TRY, a gap of about −35% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of FADE?
No. The price is what the market pays today (12.17 TRY); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (7.86 TRY). For Fade Gida Yatirim Sanayi Ticaret As the two are 4.31 TRY per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Fade Gida Yatirim Sanayi Ticaret As worth?
The market values Fade Gida Yatirim Sanayi Ticaret As at about 1.5B TRY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is 12.17 TRY; our models calculate a fair value of 7.86 TRY per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about FADE?
Our models span a range for Fade Gida Yatirim Sanayi Ticaret As: cautious scenario 6.25 TRY, base 7.86 TRY, optimistic 9.82 TRY per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price 12.17 TRY). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of FADE?
Fade Gida Yatirim Sanayi Ticaret As trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 32.9 (as of Sep 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 7.86 TRY is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.8, P/S 1.4, EV/EBITDA 8.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of Fade Gida Yatirim Sanayi Ticaret As (FADE)?
Balance-sheet figures for Fade Gida Yatirim Sanayi Ticaret As (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity 3.0%, debt of 0.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 45/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is FADE from its 52-week high?
Fade Gida Yatirim Sanayi Ticaret As trades at 12.17 TRY, about 35% below its 52-week high of 18.60 TRY (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 7.86 TRY is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Fade Gida Yatirim Sanayi Ticaret As?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, The Kraft Heinz Company, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Fade Gida Yatirim Sanayi Ticaret As stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price 12.17 TRY, calculated fair value 7.86 TRY (−35%), Quality Score 45/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of FADE calculated?
We run Fade Gida Yatirim Sanayi Ticaret As through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 7.86 TRY, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Fade Gida Yatirim Sanayi Ticaret As itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Fade Gida Yatirim Sanayi Ticaret As (FADE)?
The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was 12.17 TRY. Our model-based fair value is 7.86 TRY, about −35% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Fade Gida Yatirim Sanayi Ticaret As right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (9.82 TRY). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Fade Gida Yatirim Sanayi Ticaret As
How large is the market capitalisation of Fade Gida Yatirim Sanayi Ticaret As (FADE)?
The market capitalisation of Fade Gida Yatirim Sanayi Ticaret As is 1.5B TRY (≈ $30.4M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Fade Gida Yatirim Sanayi Ticaret As (FADE)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Fade Gida Yatirim Sanayi Ticaret As is 1.00 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Fade Gida Yatirim Sanayi Ticaret As (FADE)?
Earnings per share at Fade Gida Yatirim Sanayi Ticaret As are 0.3700 TRY (price ÷ EPS = P/E 32.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Fade Gida Yatirim Sanayi Ticaret As (FADE)?
The net margin of Fade Gida Yatirim Sanayi Ticaret As is 3.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Fade Gida Yatirim Sanayi Ticaret As (FADE)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Fade Gida Yatirim Sanayi Ticaret As is 3.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Fade Gida Yatirim Sanayi Ticaret As (FADE)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Fade Gida Yatirim Sanayi Ticaret As is 4.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Fade Gida Yatirim Sanayi Ticaret As (FADE)?
The operating margin of Fade Gida Yatirim Sanayi Ticaret As is 9.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Fade Gida Yatirim Sanayi Ticaret As (FADE)?
Revenue at Fade Gida Yatirim Sanayi Ticaret As is growing +1.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +98.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Fade Gida Yatirim Sanayi Ticaret As (FADE)?
Earnings per share at Fade Gida Yatirim Sanayi Ticaret As are growing +43.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Fade Gida Yatirim Sanayi Ticaret As (FADE) generate?
The free cash flow of Fade Gida Yatirim Sanayi Ticaret As is −74.4M TRY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Fade Gida Yatirim Sanayi Ticaret As (FADE) carry?
The net debt of Fade Gida Yatirim Sanayi Ticaret As is 167M TRY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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