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FB Financial Corp (FBK) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of FB Financial Corp stock $31.58, price $54.17, that is 41.7% below the price, quality 52 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 6 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

6 models, one by oneBear $27.14 to bull $34.15 Growth analysisrevenue history, year by year Quality 52/100 in detail37 factors, each one shown Compared with its peersrank on every measure, side by side

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Financial Services US

Broad data Nov 7, 2026

FB Financial Corp

FBK · US

Solid, but very expensive

Our calculation puts a fair price 42% below what the stock costs today.

Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +7.3 %/yr in USD)

Highly profitable · 34.1% net margin (TTM)

1.5% dividend yield · Low payout

Upbeat coverage

Broad data

Last quarter vs. a year ago: revenue +24%, profit +179%.

Quality 52/100

Wide moat 65/100 · thin data

Insiders bought $1.5M (6M) · sold $413,210

Fair value $31.58 · Strongly overvalued (−41.7%)

Trails peers (5/14)

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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $23.60 – $62.08 · fair‑value band $27.14 – $34.15 · the $54.17 price screens above the $31.58 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 7, 2026.

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Company profile

FB Financial Corporation operates as a bank holding company for FirstBank that provides a suite of commercial and consumer banking services. The company operates in two segments, Banking and Mortgage.

Show moreShow less

It offers interest-bearing checking, noninterest-bearing demand, money market, and savings accounts; deposit and lending products and services to corporate, commercial, and consumer customers; and time deposits, as well as residential mortgage loans and loan securitization services to third party private investors or government sponsored agencies.

The company also provides owner-occupied and non-owner-occupied commercial real estate loans; residential real estate 1-4 family mortgage, multi-family residential, commercial and industrial, construction, land acquisition and land development loans, and single-family interim construction loans, as well as residential lines of credit; consumer and other loans, such as car, boat, and other recreational vehicle loans; and personal lines of credit.

In addition, the company offers mortgage banking services through its bank branch network and mortgage banking offices; and securities underwriting, insurance underwriting, and merchant banking. It operates through various full-service branch locations, as well as online or mobile banking.

The company serves retail and wealth consumers, small businesses, and corporate clients and owners. The company was formerly known as First South Bancorp, Inc. and changed its name to FB Financial Corporation in 2016.

FB Financial Corporation was founded in 1906 and is headquartered in Nashville, Tennessee.

Stock analysis

FB Financial Corp (FBK) currently trades at $54.17, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $31.58, 42% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $36.18 per share, and 0 of the 6 models we run sit above the $54.17 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $12.21, and 6 of the 6 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: $27.14 (bear) to $34.15 (bull), the price of $54.17 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

FB Financial Corp reported revenue of $878M in FY2025 versus $613M in FY2021, a compound +9.4%/yr. Reported net income was $123M in FY2025, compounding −10.4%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap $2.8B Mid · P/E ratio 11.9 · P/S ratio 4.09 · EPS (TTM) $4.54 · Dividend yield 1.5% · Net margin 34.1% · Return on equity 11.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.3% (5-year average).

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 65 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −28% fair-value upside, at −42%, FBK screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $27.14 Fair Value $31.58 Bull $34.15

Price $54.17 · Downside -41.7%

Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then ($3.18 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.

Best data coverage

Residual Income $30.68 $31.58 $34.15 76

Gordon GGM $6.63 $13.05 $19.49 67

DDM Multi-Stage $6.63 $11.36 $13.80 67

All 6 models by family

Dividend Discount

Gordon GGM $6.63 $13.05 $19.49 67

DDM Multi-Stage $6.63 $11.36 $13.80 67

Multiples

P/E Multiple $24.18 $32.24 $40.30 63

P/B Multiple $30.09 $40.12 $50.15 55

Asset-Based

NCAV (Graham) $14.33 $19.20 $28.66 54

Economic Profit

Residual Income $30.68 $31.58 $34.15 76

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 52/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 25

How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital

Quality Growth 46

Are margins and returns getting better?

Cashflow 72

Do the profits arrive as real cash?

Financial strength 19

Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble

Investment 63

Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?

Low Volatility 72

How calm the share price moves, does not count

Price momentum 36

Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count

Near the 52-week high 34

Distance to the 52-week high, does not count

New shares 74

Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Insider trades

In the last 6 months, one officer or director bought shares worth $1.5M, on Oct 20, 2026. Over the same period, one person sold shares worth $413,210.

BuyOrrin H Ingram IIDirector29,081 shares at $52.88$1.5MOct 20, 2026
SaleLynn J JoyceChief Accounting Officer7,000 shares at $59.03$413,210Jul 15, 2026
SaleJames Austin McPherson10% owner8,500 shares at $60.06$510,510Jan 15, 2026
SaleAgenia ClarkDirector1,210 shares at $59.18$71,608Dec 11, 2025

Plus 24 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.

Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.

Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 6, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 79/100

Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

Revenue growth 1 year

+14.5%

Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+13.8%

Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+7.3%

Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +16.4% a year

Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+17.7%

’14

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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: adjusted.

+0.5%

Earnings growth per share plus dividend.

Earnings per share, growth per year−1.0%

Dividend (yield on the price)1.5%

Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−2.8% vs 1.5%, slowing

Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.13% → 16%

Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)

FBK screens overvalued: fair value 42% below the price. Compare with China Merchants Bank Co →

Earlier news

News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (97 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Hype

Recent news coverage is unusually upbeat, far more positive than stocks are typically covered.

FB Financial Corporation Declares Regular Quarterly Dividend Yahoo Finance · Oct 22, 2026
The 5 Most Interesting Analyst Questions From PNC Financial Services Group’s Q3 Earnings Call Yahoo Finance · Oct 19, 2026

Note from the team Oct 11, 2026

AI conclusion: FB Financial shows strength through loan and deposit growth plus a net interest margin ahead of regional peers, yet its main weakness remains a limited durable moat and low return on equity typical of the sector.

Main risk: Any deterioration in credit quality would hit the bank's net interest margins and profitability in its core regional lending activities.

FB Financial has grown both loans and deposits while lifting its net interest margin to 3.95 percent, ahead of most regional peers. Third-quarter results arrive tomorrow with analysts expecting a 13 percent year-over-year earnings increase. Our models see the stock as overvalued, so will sustained margin expansion and earnings momentum offset any credit-quality concerns or will the valuation gap close first?

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Banks - Regional · 998 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/14 measures

Overall it trails its industry peers.

Valuation

Quality Score 52 · Below median

Fair Value upside −41.7% · Bottom 25%

Profitability

Return on equity (12 months) 11.9% · Above median

Return on assets 0.8% · Below median

Net margin (12 months) 34.1% · Above median

Operating margin (12 months) 45.5% · Above median

Growth and dividend

Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 24.1% · Top 25%

Dividend yield (12 months) 1.5% · Bottom 25%

Balance sheet

Debt / equity 0.11× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 11.9× · Pricier than median

P/B 1.44× · Pricier than median

P/S (12 months) 4.09× · Pricier than median

Price / free cash flow (fiscal year) 19.1× · Priciest 25%

EV/EBITDA 13.7× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

This stock

Sector peers

VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 8

FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 47

PAST (return on equity)48 · sector 43

HEALTH (low debt)–

DIVIDEND (yield)30 · sector 53

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

HEALTH: for banks, insurers and similar financial firms borrowed money is part of the business, so we do not rate debt here.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock	Price	Fair Value	vs Fair Value	Compare
Postal Savings Bank of China Co 601658	¥5.53	¥7.59	+37%	vs FBK
China Merchants Bank Co 600036	¥42.88	¥52.73	+23%	vs FBK
BNP Paribas SA BNP	€91.93	€106.01	+15%	vs FBK
Intesa Sanpaolo S.p.A ISP	€6.18	€4.49	−27%	vs FBK
State Bank of India SBIN	₹1,019	₹736.65	−28%	vs FBK
UniCredit S.p.A UCG	€76.80	€50.44	−34%	vs FBK
Mizuho Financial Group MFG	$9.40	$5.90	−37%	vs FBK
DBS Group D05	69.72 SGD	40.39 SGD	−42%	vs FBK
HDFC Bank Limited HDFCBANK	₹788.25	₹406.39	−48%	vs FBK
ICICI Bank Limited ICICIBANK	₹1,571	₹615.63	−61%	vs FBK

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "FB Financial Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FBK

Frequently asked questions

Is FB Financial Corp (FBK) overvalued or undervalued?

As of Nov 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $31.58 versus a price of $54.17, about 42% lower (overvalued).

What is the fair value of FBK?

Our model-based fair value for FB Financial Corp is $31.58 (as of Nov 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $54.17.

What is the quality score of FBK?

FB Financial Corp has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.

What is the price target for FB Financial Corp (FBK)?

Our model-based price target is the fair value of $31.58 (as of Nov 7, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario $27.14, optimistic scenario $34.15. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.

What is the FB Financial Corp stock forecast for 2026?

Our models put fair value at $31.58, about 42% lower versus a price of $54.17 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $27.14, optimistic scenario $34.15. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.

What is the revenue of FB Financial Corp (FBK)?

FB Financial Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $684M (latest available figure, as of Nov 7, 2026).

Does FB Financial Corp pay a dividend?

FB Financial Corp currently shows a dividend yield of 1.51% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 7, 2026).

How much is the dividend of FB Financial Corp (FBK) and when is the ex-dividend date?

FB Financial Corp pays a dividend of $0.82 per share a year, a dividend yield of 1.5%. The next ex-dividend date is Nov 10, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 2018. The payout ratio is 15.7% of earnings (on adjusted earnings, reported 18.1%). Our assessment: Low payout. A low payout ratio: the dividend takes at most 60 % of earnings. Whether free cash flow covers it as well, we cannot see for this company.

What is the intrinsic value of FB Financial Corp (FBK)?

Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For FB Financial Corp it is $31.58 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026), against a price of $54.17. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models in 4 families (Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit).

Is FB Financial Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?

As of Nov 7, 2026, FBK trades above its calculated fair value: price $54.17, fair value $31.58, a gap of about −42% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.

Is fair value the same as the market price of FBK?

No. The price is what the market pays today ($54.17); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($31.58). For FB Financial Corp the two are $22.59 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.

How much is FB Financial Corp worth?

The market values FB Financial Corp at about $2.8B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 7, 2026). Per share that is $54.17; our models calculate a fair value of $31.58 per share.

What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about FBK?

Our models span a range for FB Financial Corp: cautious scenario $27.14, base $31.58, optimistic $34.15 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026, price $54.17). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.

What is the P/E ratio of FBK?

FB Financial Corp trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 11.9 (as of Nov 7, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $31.58 is built from several models across several years. Excluding one-off items of fiscal year 2025 it is 20.4 (reported for FY2025: 23.5). Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 10 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings, 6 of the years ex one-offs: 14.3. Other multiples: P/B 1.4, P/S 4.1, EV/EBITDA 13.7.

How solid is the balance sheet of FB Financial Corp (FBK)?

Balance-sheet figures for FB Financial Corp (as of Nov 7, 2026): return on equity 11.9%, debt of 0.11 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 52/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.

How far is FBK from its 52-week high?

FB Financial Corp trades at $54.17, about 13% below its 52-week high of $62.08 and 8% above the low of $50.38 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $31.58 is for.

Which stocks are comparable to FB Financial Corp?

From the same area (Financial Services) we also value China Merchants Bank Co, DBS Group, UniCredit S.p.A, Mizuho Financial Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.

Is FB Financial Corp stock attractive at the current price?

The data as of Nov 7, 2026: price $54.17, calculated fair value $31.58 (−42%), Quality Score 52/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.

How is the fair value of FBK calculated?

We run FB Financial Corp through 6 models from 4 families: Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $31.58 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.

Is it still worth investing in stocks now?

The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. FB Financial Corp itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.

What is the share price of FB Financial Corp (FBK)?

The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $54.17. Our model-based fair value is $31.58, about 42% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.

What should I pay attention to with FB Financial Corp right now?

The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($34.15). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.

Where does the earnings growth of FB Financial Corp (FBK) come from?

Earnings per share at FB Financial Corp grew +2.3 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +5.7 %, EBIT margin −3.3 %, tax rate +0.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.0 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of FB Financial Corp

How large is the market capitalisation of FB Financial Corp (FBK)?

The market capitalisation of FB Financial Corp is $2.8B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.

What is the P/S ratio of FB Financial Corp (FBK)?

The price-to-sales ratio of FB Financial Corp is 4.09 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.

What are the earnings per share of FB Financial Corp (FBK)?

Earnings per share at FB Financial Corp are $4.54 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 11.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.

What is the dividend yield of FB Financial Corp (FBK)?

The dividend yield of FB Financial Corp is 1.5% (payout 15.7%, on adjusted earnings, reported 18.1%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.

What is the net margin of FB Financial Corp (FBK)?

The net margin of FB Financial Corp is 34.1% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.

What is the return on equity of FB Financial Corp (FBK)?

The return on equity (ROE) of FB Financial Corp is 11.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.

What is the EBIT return on assets of FB Financial Corp (FBK)?

On an EBIT basis the return on assets of FB Financial Corp is 1.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.

What is the operating margin of FB Financial Corp (FBK)?

The operating margin of FB Financial Corp is 45.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.

How fast is revenue growing at FB Financial Corp (FBK)?

Revenue at FB Financial Corp is growing +24.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +13.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.

How fast are earnings growing at FB Financial Corp (FBK)?

Earnings per share at FB Financial Corp are growing +179% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.

How much free cash flow does FB Financial Corp (FBK) generate?

The free cash flow of FB Financial Corp is $147M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.

How much net cash does FB Financial Corp (FBK) hold?

FB Financial Corp holds more cash than debt, $659M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.

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