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First Capital Bancshares, Inc (FCPB) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $120M

FC First Capital Bancshares, Inc logo First Capital Bancshares, Inc FCPB · US
Price$13.49
Fair Value$13.08
Upside-3.0%
Quality31/100
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Mixed Growth
Highly profitable · 29.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (6/13)
Moderate moat 64/100
Evidence: High Range $9.81 – $16.34 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 26, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 15 days ago

Share price +5.3% over the past month.

Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$15.90 $5.26 Fair Value $13.08 Aug 2015 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $5.26 – $15.90 · fair‑value band $9.81 – $16.34 · the $13.49 price screens above the $13.08 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

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Analysis

First Capital Bancshares, Inc (FCPB) currently trades at $13.49, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $13.08, implying the stock looks roughly 3.0% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 31/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, First Capital Bancshares, Inc generated revenue of $36.6M at a net margin of 29.6%. Revenue grew 33.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.5%. Net debt stands at $43.8M. Fundamentals as of Jul 26, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $9.81 (bear case) to $16.34 (bull case); at $13.49, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 30% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at -3%, FCPB screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $8.11 $8.51 $9.18 76
Gordon GGM $0.0100 $0.0100 70
P/E Multiple $9.81 $13.08 $16.34 63
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.0100 $0.0100 70
DDM Multi-Stage $0.0100 $0.0100 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $9.81 $13.08 $16.34 63
P/B Multiple $11.02 $14.70 $18.37 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $5.25 $7.03 $10.50 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $8.11 $8.51 $9.18 76

Widest divergence: Multiples ($13.08) versus Dividend Discount ($0.0100). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $36.6M
Revenue growth (YoY) +33.3%
Net margin 29.6%
Return on equity 10.5%
Free cash flow $5.6M FY2025
P/E ratio 13.4
More key figures
Operating margin 39.5%
EPS (TTM) $0.9400
EPS growth (YoY) +55.9%
Net debt $43.8M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 31/100

Of which business quality 28 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 76

Profitability 27
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 44
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 47
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 14
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 95
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 60
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 82
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 2
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

First Capital Bancshares, Inc. operates as a holding company for First Capital Bank that provides commercial banking services in the United States. The company offers accounts and products, including checking and savings accounts, other business accounts, individual retirement accounts, certificates of deposit, money market accounts, and student accounts.

Full company description

First Capital Bancshares, Inc. operates as a holding company for First Capital Bank that provides commercial banking services in the United States. The company offers accounts and products, including checking and savings accounts, other business accounts, individual retirement accounts, certificates of deposit, money market accounts, and student accounts. It also provides loans that include vehicle and boat loans, RV loans, construction loans, deposit secured loans, overdraft protection for checking accounts, home equity revolving lines of credit, home equity loans, and home improvement loans; residential mortgage loans; commercial real estate loans; commercial lines of credit; equipment loans; and agricultural loans. In addition, the company offers ATM and visa check cards, safe deposit boxes, credit and debit cards, direct deposits, and after-hours night depositary services; remote deposits capture services; online and mobile banking; bill payment services; and send and receive money services through Zelle platform. It operates in Charleston County, South Carolina, Moore County, and North Carolina. The company was formerly known as First Federal Bancshares Corporation. First Capital Bancshares, Inc. was incorporated in 1997 and is headquartered in Charleston, South Carolina.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

First Capital Bancshares, Inc reported revenue of $68.2M in FY2025 versus $11.8M in FY2021, a compound +55.1%/yr. Reported net income was $9.6M in FY2025, compounding +88.9%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 87/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$68.2M
Latest YoY
+159.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+51.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+48.4%
Avg. growth/yr (26Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+27.9%
Revenue +55.1%/yr
FY21 $11.8M
FY22 $19.4M
FY23 $40.4M
FY24 $26.3M
FY25 $68.2M
Net income +88.9%/yr
FY21 $752K
FY22 $2.7M
FY23 $3.8M
FY24 $5.0M
FY25 $9.6M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "First Capital Bancshares, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FCPB

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1083 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 29 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −3% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 11% · Above median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 30% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 39% · Above median
Revenue growth 33% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 13.4× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.20× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 3.27× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 21.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 6.1× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 29 · sector 39
FUTURE 100 · sector 44
PAST 42 · sector 41
HEALTH 100 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 49

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 26, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA 6,175 IDR 6,087 IDR -1%
KB Financial Group 105560 184,400 KRW 213,797 KRW +16%
PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI 2,970 IDR 4,891 IDR +65%
PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI 4,310 IDR 7,841 IDR +82%
Banco Bradesco S.A BBD 5,120 ARS 10,240 ARS +100%
Shinhan Financial Group 055550 107,900 KRW 137,259 KRW +27%
Hana Financial Group 086790 136,800 KRW 193,969 KRW +42%
Lloyds Banking Group LYG 4,138 ARS 8,275 ARS +100%
Banco de Chile, CHILE 193.10 CLP 152.55 CLP -21%
Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB 59,400 VND 84,201 VND +42%

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Frequently asked questions

Is First Capital Bancshares, Inc (FCPB) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $13.08 versus a price of $13.49, about −3% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of FCPB?
Our model-based fair value for First Capital Bancshares, Inc is $13.08 (as of Jul 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $13.49.
What is the quality score of FCPB?
First Capital Bancshares, Inc has a Quality Score of 31/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of First Capital Bancshares, Inc (FCPB)?
First Capital Bancshares, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $36.6M (latest available figure, as of Jul 26, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of FCPB?
The net profit margin of First Capital Bancshares, Inc is about 29.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 29.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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