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Ferrotec Corporation (FER) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Ferrotec Corporation €35.09, price €60.00, upside -41.5%, quality 42 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Technology · DE · Home Japan · ISIN JP3802720007

In Frankfurt, only 1 of the last 22 trading days (30 days) had any turnover. On the other days the price is an indicative quote without trading, so we do not list this stock in the radar. It stays reachable through search.

FC Some data Sep 30, 2026

Ferrotec Corporation

FER · F

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value €35.09 · Strongly overvalued (−41.5%)
!Quality 42/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 3y +11.1 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 8.4% net margin (TTM)
!Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
!1.4% dividend yield · Watch coverage
✓Ranks above peers (10/13)
!Moderate moat 45/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on dividend: 27 out of 100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

€60.00 €10.08 Fair Value €35.09 Oct 2023 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 30, 2026.

How to read this chart

36‑month range €10.08 – €60.00 · fair‑value band €24.56 – €45.61 · the €60.00 price screens above the €35.09 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 30, 2026.

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Company profile

Ferrotec Corporation engages in semiconductor equipment-related, electronic device, and other businesses in Japan and internationally. The company offers thermo-electric modules; thermistors; power electronic substrates; ferrofluid; vacuum seals; quartz; silicon parts; ceramics; SiC parts; silicon wafers; parts cleaning; and reclaim wafer.

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Ferrotec Corporation engages in semiconductor equipment-related, electronic device, and other businesses in Japan and internationally. The company offers thermo-electric modules; thermistors; power electronic substrates; ferrofluid; vacuum seals; quartz; silicon parts; ceramics; SiC parts; silicon wafers; parts cleaning; and reclaim wafer. It also manufactures and sells Semiconductor equipment related products; imports, develops, manufacture, sells, and exports power semiconductor substrate technologies, peripheral equipment and components, and other related products; sells, distributes, and imports/exports silicon parts, materials, and quartz crucibles; and produces and sells Micro thermoelectric module. In addition, the company provides services on special process activities such as chemical cleaning, anodizing and plating; consulting services related to technology for power semiconductor substrates and manufacturing equipment; cleaning services for semiconductors and FPDs; and service for landscaping and greening, green space management and slope construction. Further, it offers mechanical cutters for information, steel, paper pulp and meat industry; industrial machines and parts; electronic components; and designs, manufactures, repairs, modifies, and relocates vacuum and general-purpose equipment; and designs and installs various piping systems. The company was formerly known as Ferrotec Holdings Corporation and changed its name to Ferrotec Corporation in July 2025. Ferrotec Corporation was incorporated in 1980 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.

Stock analysis

Ferrotec Corporation (FER) currently trades at €60.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €35.09, 41.5% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of €36.81 per share, and 2 of the 16 models we run sit above the €60.00 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at €11.81, and 14 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: €24.56 (bear) to €45.61 (bull), the price of €60.00 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Ferrotec Corporation reported revenue of ¥289B in FY2026 versus ¥134B in FY2022, a compound +21.2%/yr. Reported net income was ¥14.9B in FY2026, compounding −13.6%/yr from FY2022.

Key figures

Market cap €3.1B · P/E ratio 39.2 · P/S ratio 2.02 · EPS (TTM) €1.53 · Dividend yield 1.4% · Net margin 5.2% · Return on equity 10.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.0%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades at its 52-week high and 172% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −24% fair-value upside, at −42%, FER screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear €24.56 Fair Value €35.09 Bull €45.61
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income €20.96 €21.48 €22.98 73
EPV €20.09 €23.35 €26.16 71
ROIC Compounder €20.09 €23.35 €26.16 69
All 16 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €10.55 €49.83 €68.52 61
Lynch FV €13.22 €18.88 €24.55 58
PEG = 1.0 €13.22 €18.88 €24.55 55
EPV €20.09 €23.35 €26.16 71
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €6.86 €13.67 €20.70 64
DDM Multi-Stage €6.86 €11.81 €14.43 64
Multiples
P/E Multiple €32.59 €43.45 €54.31 63
P/S Multiple €19.78 €26.38 €32.97 58
P/B Multiple €19.78 €26.38 €32.97 55
EV/EBIT €51.17 €68.41 €85.65 66
EV/EBITDA €77.10 €102.98 €128.86 67
EV/Revenue €25.60 €36.81 €48.01 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €13.54 €18.14 €27.07 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income €20.96 €21.48 €22.98 73
ROIC Compounder €20.09 €23.35 €26.16 69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €24.64 €35.21 €45.77 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 42/100

Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 75

Profitability 27
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 44
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 35
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 48
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 17
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 27
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 94
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 45/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+5.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.1%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in JPY ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−10.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−11.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.4%
Profit margin 2022 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.17% → 10%

FER screens overvalued: fair value 42% below the price. Compare with ASML Holding →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Semiconductor Equipment & Materials · 220 stocks

Beats the industry median on 10/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 42 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −40.0% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 10.7% · Above median
Return on assets 4.6% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 8.4% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 15.4% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 164.8% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.4% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.52× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Semiconductor Equipment & Materials median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 39.2× · Cheaper than median
P/B 2.12× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.37× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 7.2× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 94
PAST (return on equity)43 · sector 31
HEALTH (low debt)74 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)27 · sector 16

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Semiconductor Equipment & Materials stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
ASML Holding ASML €1,523 €1,350 −11%
Lam Research Corporation LRCX $314.47 $250.94 −20%
Applied Materials, Inc AMAT $485.00 $368.52 −24%
KLA Corporation KLAC $187.92 $160.12 −15%
Teradyne, Inc TER $398.38 $65.79 −83%
Advanced Micro-Fabrication Equipment Inc 688012 ¥339.30 ¥110.10 −68%
Hon. Precision, Inc 7769 5,670 TWD 4,864 TWD −14%
Piotech Inc 688072 ¥700.90 ¥320.60 −54%
Qnity Electronics, Inc Q $124.69 $70.44 −44%
Entegris, Inc ENTG $151.89 $92.64 −39%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ferrotec Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FER.F

Frequently asked questions

Is Ferrotec Corporation (FER) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 30, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €35.09 versus a price of €60.00, about −42% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of FER?
Our model-based fair value for Ferrotec Corporation is €35.09 (as of Sep 30, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €60.00.
What is the quality score of FER?
Ferrotec Corporation has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Ferrotec Corporation (FER)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €35.09 (as of Sep 30, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario €24.56, optimistic scenario €45.61. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Ferrotec Corporation stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €35.09, about −42% upside versus a price of €60.00 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €24.56, optimistic scenario €45.61. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Ferrotec Corporation (FER)?
Ferrotec Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥402B (latest available figure, as of Sep 30, 2026).
Does Ferrotec Corporation pay a dividend?
Ferrotec Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.36% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 30, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Ferrotec Corporation (FER)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Ferrotec Corporation it is €35.09 per share (as of Sep 30, 2026), against a price of €60.00. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Ferrotec Corporation stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 30, 2026, FER trades above its calculated fair value: price €60.00, fair value €35.09, a gap of about −42% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of FER?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€60.00); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€35.09). For Ferrotec Corporation the two are €24.91 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Ferrotec Corporation worth?
The market values Ferrotec Corporation at about €3.1B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 30, 2026). Per share that is €60.00; our models calculate a fair value of €35.09 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about FER?
Our models span a range for Ferrotec Corporation: cautious scenario €24.56, base €35.09, optimistic €45.61 per share (as of Sep 30, 2026, price €60.00). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of FER?
Ferrotec Corporation trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 39.2 (as of Sep 30, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €35.09 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.1, P/S 1.4, EV/EBITDA 7.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of Ferrotec Corporation (FER)?
Balance-sheet figures for Ferrotec Corporation (as of Sep 30, 2026): return on equity 10.7%, debt of 0.52 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 42/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is FER from its 52-week high?
Ferrotec Corporation trades at €60.00, at its 52-week high of €60.00 and 172% above the low of €22.10 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €35.09 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Ferrotec Corporation?
From the same area (Technology) we also value ASML Holding, Lam Research Corporation, Applied Materials, Inc, KLA Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Ferrotec Corporation stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 30, 2026: price €60.00, calculated fair value €35.09 (−42%), Quality Score 42/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of FER calculated?
We run Ferrotec Corporation through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €35.09, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.7 % above its aggregate fair value. Ferrotec Corporation itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Ferrotec Corporation (FER)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was €60.00. Our model-based fair value is €35.09, about −42% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Ferrotec Corporation right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€45.61). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (42/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. A fairly wide model range (€24.56 to €45.61) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Ferrotec Corporation

How large is the market capitalisation of Ferrotec Corporation (FER)?
The market capitalisation of Ferrotec Corporation is €3.1B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Ferrotec Corporation (FER)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Ferrotec Corporation is 2.02 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Ferrotec Corporation (FER)?
Earnings per share at Ferrotec Corporation are €1.53 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 39.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Ferrotec Corporation (FER)?
The dividend yield of Ferrotec Corporation is 1.4% (payout 53.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Ferrotec Corporation (FER)?
The net margin of Ferrotec Corporation is 5.2% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Ferrotec Corporation (FER)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Ferrotec Corporation is 10.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Ferrotec Corporation (FER)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Ferrotec Corporation is 6.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Ferrotec Corporation (FER)?
The operating margin of Ferrotec Corporation is 15.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Ferrotec Corporation (FER)?
Revenue at Ferrotec Corporation is growing +165% versus a year earlier (3y avg +11.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Ferrotec Corporation (FER)?
Earnings per share at Ferrotec Corporation are growing +699% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Ferrotec Corporation (FER) generate?
The free cash flow of Ferrotec Corporation is −¥25.3B (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Ferrotec Corporation (FER) carry?
The net debt of Ferrotec Corporation is ¥72.4B (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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