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Fatfish Group Ltd (FFG) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · AU · Market cap A$10.9M

FG Fatfish Group Ltd FFG · AU
PriceA$0.0070
Fair ValueA$0.0061
Upside-12.9%
Quality23/100
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Risks

!Trades 15% ABOVE our fair value of A$0.0061
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −7.2 %/yr)
!Negative equity (buybacks among others) · negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (4/9)
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −7.2 %/yr)
Negative equity (buybacks among others) · negative free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (4/9)
Narrow moat 0/100
Evidence: Low Range A$0.0061 – A$0.0067 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 18, 2026

From 2 valuation models · updated 7 days ago

Below-average quality, and trading another 15% above our fair value.

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69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

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What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.0067). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The models converge in a tight band (A$0.0061 to A$0.0067), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

A$0.0790 A$0.0070 Fair Value A$0.0061 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.0070 – A$0.0790 · fair‑value band A$0.0061 – A$0.0067 · the A$0.0070 price screens above the A$0.0061 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 18, 2026.

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Analysis

Fatfish Group Ltd (FFG) currently trades at A$0.0070, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0061, implying the stock looks roughly 12.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 23/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at A$2.5M. Revenue grew 65.8% year over year. Net debt stands at A$3.1M. Fundamentals as of Aug 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from A$0.0061 (bear case) to A$0.0067 (bull case); at A$0.0070, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -36% fair-value upside, at -13%, FFG screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM A$0.0100 A$0.0100 A$0.0100 70
DDM Multi-Stage A$0.0100 A$0.0100 A$0.0100 61
All 2 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM A$0.0100 A$0.0100 A$0.0100 70
DDM Multi-Stage A$0.0100 A$0.0100 A$0.0100 61

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Key figures & financial health

P/S ratio 4.33 TTM
Net margin 242% TTM
Return on equity -289% TTM
Return on assets -9.7% TTM
Operating margin -41.5% TTM
Revenue (TTM) A$2.5M TTM
More key figures
Growth
Revenue growth (YoY) +65.8% 3y avg +98.5%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −A$657K FY2024
Net debt A$3.1M FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 23/100

Of which business quality 28 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 53

Profitability 5
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 66
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 40
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 91
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 91
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 40
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 33
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Fatfish Group Limited is an incubator and venture capital firm specializing in incubation, pre-Series A, Series A, start-ups and growth stage investments. It invests in the Internet sector with a focus on cryptocurrency, blockchain technologies, technology, internet, and consumer Internet venture.

Full company description

Fatfish Group Limited is an incubator and venture capital firm specializing in incubation, pre-Series A, Series A, start-ups and growth stage investments. It invests in the Internet sector with a focus on cryptocurrency, blockchain technologies, technology, internet, and consumer Internet venture. The firm focuses to invest across the world, particularly in Asia, Australia and Sweden. It prefers to take majority controlling stake. Fatfish Group Limited was founded in 2011 and is based in Melbourne, Australia with additional offices in Singapore; Jakarta, Indonesia; and Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years

Fatfish Group Ltd reported revenue of A$1.9M in FY2024 versus A$646K in FY2020, a compound +30.6%/yr. Reported net income was −A$2.8M in FY2024.

Growth Quality 17/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2024)
A$1.9M
Latest YoY
+44.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−7.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (28Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.5%
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2024 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue +30.6%/yr
FY20 A$646K
FY21 A$240K
FY22 A$1.8M
FY23 A$1.3M
FY24 A$1.9M
Net income
FY20 A$1.9M
FY21 −A$9.0M
FY22 −A$14.9M
FY23 −A$2.5M
FY24 −A$2.8M

FFG screens 13% overvalued. Compare with Morgan Stanley, a financial holding company, →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Fatfish Group Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FFG

Peer Group

Capital Markets · 447 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 28 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −13% · Above median
Return on assets -10% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -41% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 66% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 10.8% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Capital Markets median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 3.09× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE16 · sector 12
FUTURE100 · sector 91
PAST0 · sector 30
HEALTH100 · sector 93
DIVIDEND100 · sector 38

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Capital Markets stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Morgan Stanley, a financial holding company, MS $214.23 $138.97 -35%
The Goldman Sachs Group GS $1,037 $756.89 -27%
The Charles Schwab Corporation SCHW $109.34 $66.17 -39%
Robinhood Markets, Inc HOOD $94.91 $30.94 -67%
Macquarie Group MQG A$260.08 A$75.58 -71%
CITIC Securities Company 600030 ¥27.70 ¥17.68 -36%
Guotai Haitong Securities Co 601211 ¥18.02 ¥18.62 +3%
East Money Information Co 300059 ¥19.83 ¥4.77 -76%
CSC Financial Co 601066 ¥25.70 ¥14.17 -45%
Huatai Securities Co 601688 ¥19.39 ¥19.26 -1%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Fatfish Group Ltd (FFG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0061 versus a price of A$0.0070, about −13% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of FFG?
Our model-based fair value for Fatfish Group Ltd is A$0.0061 (as of Aug 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.0070.
What is the quality score of FFG?
Fatfish Group Ltd has a Quality Score of 23/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Fatfish Group Ltd (FFG)?
Fatfish Group Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$2.5M (latest available figure, as of Aug 18, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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