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First Interstate BancSystem, Inc (FIBK) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $3.9B

FI First Interstate BancSystem, Inc logo First Interstate BancSystem, Inc FIBK · US
Price$37.53
Fair Value$40.43
Upside+7.7%
Quality63/100
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Mixed Growth
Highly profitable · 30.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
4.78% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/15)
Wide moat 66/100
Evidence: High Range $30.32 – $50.54 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 24 days ago

Share price −1.9% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$40.22 $18.00 Fair Value $40.43 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $18.00 – $40.22 · fair‑value band $30.32 – $50.54 · the $37.53 price screens below the $40.43 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

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Analysis

First Interstate BancSystem, Inc (FIBK) currently trades at $37.53, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $40.43, implying the stock looks roughly 7.7% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, First Interstate BancSystem, Inc generated revenue of $1.0B at a net margin of 30.0%. Revenue grew 3.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.3%. Net debt stands at $418M. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $30.32 (bear case) to $50.54 (bull case); at $37.53, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high and 54% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at 8%, FIBK screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $29.93 $32.39 $38.36 76
Gordon GGM $17.57 $35.00 $53.00 70
P/E Multiple $30.32 $40.43 $50.54 63
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $17.57 $35.00 $53.00 70
DDM Multi-Stage $17.57 $30.25 $36.95 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $30.32 $40.43 $50.54 63
P/B Multiple $37.26 $49.68 $62.10 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $17.74 $23.77 $35.48 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $29.93 $32.39 $38.36 76

Widest divergence: Multiples ($40.43) versus Asset-Based ($23.77). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $1.0B
Revenue growth (YoY) +3.6%
Net margin 30.0%
Return on equity 9.3%
Free cash flow $278M FY2025
P/E ratio 11.7
More key figures
Operating margin 35.1%
EPS (TTM) $3.06
Dividend yield 5.5%
EPS growth (YoY) +25.0%
Net debt $418M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 63/100

Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 68

Profitability 35
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 60
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 81
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 5
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 92
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 77
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 58
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 76
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 84
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

First Interstate BancSystem, Inc. operates as a bank holding company for First Interstate Bank that provides a range of banking products and services in the United States. The company offers various traditional depository products, including checking, savings, and time deposits; and repurchase agreements primarily for commercial and municipal depositors.

Full company description

First Interstate BancSystem, Inc. operates as a bank holding company for First Interstate Bank that provides a range of banking products and services in the United States. The company offers various traditional depository products, including checking, savings, and time deposits; and repurchase agreements primarily for commercial and municipal depositors. It also provides a range of trust, employee benefit, investment management, insurance, agency, and custodial services, including administration of estates and personal trusts; manages investment accounts for individuals; employee benefit plans and charitable foundations; and insurance planning. The company's loan portfolio includes real estate loans, such as commercial real estate, construction, residential, agricultural, and other real estate loans; consumer loans, including direct personal loans, credit card loans and lines of credit, and indirect loans; variable and fixed rate commercial loans for small and medium-sized manufacturing, wholesale, retail, and service businesses for working capital needs and business expansions; and agricultural loans. In addition, it offers marketing, credit review, loan servicing, credit cards servicing, mortgage loan sales and servicing, indirect consumer loan and processing, loan collection services, other operational, and specialized staff support services, as well as online and mobile banking services. The company serves individuals, businesses, municipalities, and other entities in various industries, including agriculture, construction, education, governmental services, healthcare, hospitality, housing, professional services, real estate development, retail, technology, tourism, and wholesale trade. First Interstate BancSystem, Inc. was formerly known as First Interstate Bancsystem Of Montana, Inc. and changed its name to First Interstate BancSystem, Inc. in June 1993. The company was founded in 1879 and is headquartered in Billings, Montana.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

First Interstate BancSystem, Inc reported revenue of $1.1B in FY2025 versus $656M in FY2021, a compound +12.7%/yr. Reported net income was $302M in FY2025, compounding +12.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 87/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$1.1B
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+31.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+16.3%
Avg. growth/yr (22Y)
+8.2%
Revenue +12.7%/yr
FY21 $656M
FY22 $1.2B
FY23 $147M
FY24 $1.5B
FY25 $1.1B
Net income +12.0%/yr
FY21 $192M
FY22 $202M
FY23 $258M
FY24 $226M
FY25 $302M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "First Interstate BancSystem, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FIBK

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1083 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 60 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +8% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 30% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 35% · Below median
Revenue growth 4% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.8% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.09× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 13.1× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.13× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 3.75× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 14.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 9.8× · Pricier than median
PEG 1.16× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 44 · sector 39
FUTURE 18 · sector 44
PAST 37 · sector 41
HEALTH 96 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 96 · sector 49

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA 6,175 IDR 6,087 IDR -1%
KB Financial Group 105560 184,400 KRW 213,797 KRW +16%
PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI 2,970 IDR 4,891 IDR +65%
PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI 4,310 IDR 7,841 IDR +82%
Banco Bradesco S.A BBD 5,120 ARS 10,240 ARS +100%
Shinhan Financial Group 055550 107,900 KRW 137,259 KRW +27%
Hana Financial Group 086790 136,800 KRW 193,969 KRW +42%
Lloyds Banking Group LYG 4,138 ARS 8,275 ARS +100%
Banco de Chile, CHILE 193.10 CLP 152.55 CLP -21%
Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB 59,400 VND 84,201 VND +42%

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Frequently asked questions

Is First Interstate BancSystem, Inc (FIBK) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $40.43 versus a price of $37.53, about +8% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of FIBK?
Our model-based fair value for First Interstate BancSystem, Inc is $40.43 (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $37.53.
What is the quality score of FIBK?
First Interstate BancSystem, Inc has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of First Interstate BancSystem, Inc (FIBK)?
First Interstate BancSystem, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.0B (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of FIBK?
The net profit margin of First Interstate BancSystem, Inc is about 30.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 30.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does First Interstate BancSystem, Inc pay a dividend?
First Interstate BancSystem, Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.48% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 16, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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