Flowco Holdings (FLOC) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · US · Market cap $2.2B
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Share price +7.4% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 70% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($8.25). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (19 months)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
19‑month range $14.08 – $29.62 · fair‑value band $4.95 – $8.25 · the $21.79 price screens above the $6.60 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
Analysis
Flowco Holdings (FLOC) currently trades at $21.79, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $6.60, implying the stock looks roughly 69.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Flowco Holdings generated revenue of $777M at a net margin of 5.5%. Revenue grew 8.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.0%. Net debt stands at $215M. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $4.95 (bear case) to $8.25 (bull case); at $21.79, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 57% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -36% fair-value upside, at -70%, FLOC screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($27.49) versus Asset-Based ($1.69). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 48
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Flowco Holdings Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides production optimization, artificial lift, and emissions management and monetization solutions for the oil and natural gas industry in the United States. The company operates in two segments, Production Solutions and Natural Gas Technologies.
Full company description
Flowco Holdings Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides production optimization, artificial lift, and emissions management and monetization solutions for the oil and natural gas industry in the United States. The company operates in two segments, Production Solutions and Natural Gas Technologies. The company involves in the renting, servicing, and sale of high-pressure gas lifts, conventional gas lifts, and plunger lifts; and manufacture and installation of methane abatement technologies that allow producers to reduce methane emissions associated with their wellsite operations, as well as offers digital solutions. It also manufactures, rents, services, and sells vapor recovery unit systems; and manufactures natural gas systems. Flowco Holdings Inc. was incorporated in 2024 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Flowco Holdings reported revenue of $760M in FY2025 versus $149M in FY2022, a compound +72.3%/yr. Reported net income was $41.4M in FY2025, compounding +8.1%/yr from FY2022.
FLOC screens 70% overvalued. Compare with SLB N.V →
Peer Group
Oil & Gas Equipment & Services · 191 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Equipment & Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 44/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas Equipment & Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| SLB N.V SLBN | 836.00 MXN | 533.97 MXN | -36% |
| Baker Hughes Company BKR | $55.95 | $33.55 | -40% |
| TechnipFMC plc FTI | $74.57 | $27.57 | -63% |
| Halliburton Company HAL | $35.22 | $21.50 | -39% |
| Tenaris S.A TS | $57.16 | $45.68 | -20% |
| Yantai Jereh Oilfield Services Group 002353 | ¥138.79 | ¥34.17 | -75% |
| Saipem SpA SPM | €4.20 | €2.72 | -35% |
| Subsea 7 S.A SUBC | kr 319.00 | kr 227.98 | -29% |
| China Oilfield Services Limited 601808 | ¥12.08 | ¥12.64 | +5% |
| Gaztransport & Technigaz SA GTT | €188.10 | €95.01 | -49% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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