Flowco Holdings Inc. (FLOC) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Flowco Holdings Inc. $17.84, price $19.36, upside -7.9%, quality 39 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
20‑month range $14.08 – $29.62 · fair‑value band $12.49 – $23.19 · the $19.36 price screens above the $17.84 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Flowco Holdings Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides production optimization, artificial lift, and emissions management and monetization solutions for the oil and natural gas industry in the United States. The company operates in two segments, Production Solutions and Natural Gas Technologies.
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Flowco Holdings Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides production optimization, artificial lift, and emissions management and monetization solutions for the oil and natural gas industry in the United States. The company operates in two segments, Production Solutions and Natural Gas Technologies. The company involves in the renting, servicing, and sale of high-pressure gas lifts, conventional gas lifts, and plunger lifts; and manufacture and installation of methane abatement technologies that allow producers to reduce methane emissions associated with their wellsite operations, as well as offers digital solutions. It also manufactures, rents, services, and sells vapor recovery unit systems; and manufactures natural gas systems. Flowco Holdings Inc. was incorporated in 2024 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.
Stock analysis
Flowco Holdings Inc. (FLOC) currently trades at $19.36, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $17.84, implying the stock looks roughly 8.5% fairly valued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $29.72 per share, and 12 of the 26 models we run sit above the $19.36 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at $3.46, and 14 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $12.49 (bear) to $23.19 (bull), the price of $19.36 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Flowco Holdings Inc. reported revenue of $760M in FY2025 versus $149M in FY2022, a compound +72.3%/yr. Reported net income was $41.4M in FY2025, compounding +8.1%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap $2.2B · P/E ratio 16.6 · P/S ratio 0.90 · EPS (TTM) $1.23 · Dividend yield 1.7% · Net margin 5.4% · Return on equity 10.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 12.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 37% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −23% fair-value upside, at −8%, FLOC screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $12.49Fair Value $17.84Bull $23.19
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.6657 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.90/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+41.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+72.3%
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−46.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−48.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.7%
Profit margin 2022 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.29% → 20%
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−0.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+9.9%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −2.8% a year for the price and +7.3% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (95 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas Equipment & Services · 190 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score39 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−8% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)10% · Above median
Return on assets6% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)5% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)17% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth9% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)1.7% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.73× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas Equipment & Services median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)16.6× · Cheaper than median
P/B9.50× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Flowco Holdings Inc. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FLOC
Frequently asked questions
Is Flowco Holdings Inc. (FLOC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $17.84 versus a price of $19.36, about −8% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of FLOC?
Our model-based fair value for Flowco Holdings Inc. is $17.84 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $19.36.
What is the quality score of FLOC?
Flowco Holdings Inc. has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Flowco Holdings Inc. (FLOC)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $17.84 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario $12.49, optimistic scenario $23.19. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Flowco Holdings Inc. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $17.84, about −8% upside versus a price of $19.36 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $12.49, optimistic scenario $23.19. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Flowco Holdings Inc. (FLOC)?
Flowco Holdings Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $777M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Flowco Holdings Inc. pay a dividend?
Flowco Holdings Inc. currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.65% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Flowco Holdings Inc. (FLOC)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Flowco Holdings Inc. would have to grow free cash flow by -0.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 3 years revenue grew +72.3 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of FLOC use?
Our models discount Flowco Holdings Inc. at 9.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Flowco Holdings Inc. that is -0.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Flowco Holdings Inc. (FLOC) delivered so far?
Over the past 3 years revenue at Flowco Holdings Inc. grew +72.3 % a year. The price currently implies -0.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Flowco Holdings Inc. (FLOC) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Flowco Holdings Inc. (-0.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Flowco Holdings Inc. (FLOC)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 9.52 %: that much free cash flow Flowco Holdings Inc. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Flowco Holdings Inc. (FLOC)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Flowco Holdings Inc. it is $17.84 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $19.36. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Flowco Holdings Inc. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, FLOC trades above its calculated fair value: price $19.36, fair value $17.84, a gap of about −8% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of FLOC?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($19.36); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($17.84). For Flowco Holdings Inc. the two are $1.52 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Flowco Holdings Inc. worth?
The market values Flowco Holdings Inc. at about $2.2B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $19.36; our models calculate a fair value of $17.84 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about FLOC?
Our models span a range for Flowco Holdings Inc.: cautious scenario $12.49, base $17.84, optimistic $23.19 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $19.36). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of FLOC?
Flowco Holdings Inc. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 16.6 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $17.84 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 9.5, P/S 2.8, EV/EBITDA 7.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of Flowco Holdings Inc. (FLOC)?
Balance-sheet figures for Flowco Holdings Inc. (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 10.0%, debt of 0.73 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 39/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is FLOC from its 52-week high?
Flowco Holdings Inc. trades at $19.36, about 31% below its 52-week high of $28.09 and 37% above the low of $14.08 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $17.84 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Flowco Holdings Inc.?
From the same area (Energy) we also value SLB N.V, Baker Hughes Company, TechnipFMC plc, Halliburton Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Flowco Holdings Inc. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $19.36, calculated fair value $17.84 (−8%), Quality Score 39/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of FLOC calculated?
We run Flowco Holdings Inc. through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $17.84, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Flowco Holdings Inc. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Flowco Holdings Inc. (FLOC)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $19.36. Our model-based fair value is $17.84, about −8% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Flowco Holdings Inc. right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range ($12.49 to $23.19) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Flowco Holdings Inc.
How large is the market capitalisation of Flowco Holdings Inc. (FLOC)?
The market capitalisation of Flowco Holdings Inc. is $2.2B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Flowco Holdings Inc. (FLOC)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Flowco Holdings Inc. is 0.90 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Flowco Holdings Inc. (FLOC)?
Earnings per share at Flowco Holdings Inc. are $1.23 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 16.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Flowco Holdings Inc. (FLOC)?
The dividend yield of Flowco Holdings Inc. is 1.7% (payout 26.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Flowco Holdings Inc. (FLOC)?
The net margin of Flowco Holdings Inc. is 5.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Flowco Holdings Inc. (FLOC)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Flowco Holdings Inc. is 10.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Flowco Holdings Inc. (FLOC)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Flowco Holdings Inc. is 12.0% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Flowco Holdings Inc. (FLOC)?
The operating margin of Flowco Holdings Inc. is 17.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Flowco Holdings Inc. (FLOC)?
Revenue at Flowco Holdings Inc. is growing +8.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +72.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Flowco Holdings Inc. (FLOC)?
Earnings per share at Flowco Holdings Inc. are growing −4.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Flowco Holdings Inc. (FLOC) carry?
The net debt of Flowco Holdings Inc. is $215M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 1.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Sep 24, 2026