Global Ferronickel Holdings Inc (FNI) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Global Ferronickel Holdings Inc PHP 3.46, price PHP 2.13, upside +62.3%, quality 47 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 0.9900 PHP – 3.09 PHP · fair‑value band 2.73 PHP – 4.49 PHP · the 2.13 PHP price screens below the 3.46 PHP fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Global Ferronickel Holdings Inc (FNI) currently trades at 2.13 PHP, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 3.46 PHP, implying the stock looks roughly 38.4% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 3.82 PHP per share, and 10 of the 14 models we run sit above the 2.13 PHP price.
Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at 1.19 PHP, and 4 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 2.73 PHP (bear) to 4.49 PHP (bull), the price of 2.13 PHP sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Global Ferronickel Holdings Inc reported revenue of 7.6B PHP in FY2024 versus 7.3B PHP in FY2020, a compound +1.2%/yr. Reported net income was 744M PHP in FY2024, compounding −20.6%/yr from FY2020.
Key figures
Market cap 10.9B PHP (≈ $174M) · P/E ratio 5.1 · P/S ratio 0.50 · EPS (TTM) 0.2542 PHP · Net margin 9.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 16.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 105% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 1% fair-value upside, at 62%, FNI screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 2.73 PHPFair Value 3.46 PHPBull 4.49 PHP
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2024 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.2542 PHP per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.17/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−13.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.7%
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.7%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in PHP ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in PHP: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−13.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−13.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2019 to 2024 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.30% → 13%
Compare Global Ferronickel Holdings Inc with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Metals & Mining · 29 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/8 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score47 · Below median
Fair Value upside+62% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets0% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)10% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)0% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth0% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.09× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
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Is Global Ferronickel Holdings Inc (FNI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 3.46 PHP versus a price of 2.13 PHP, about +62% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of FNI?
Our model-based fair value for Global Ferronickel Holdings Inc is 3.46 PHP (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 2.13 PHP.
What is the quality score of FNI?
Global Ferronickel Holdings Inc has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Global Ferronickel Holdings Inc (FNI)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 3.46 PHP (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario 2.73 PHP, optimistic scenario 4.49 PHP. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Global Ferronickel Holdings Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 3.46 PHP, about +62% upside versus a price of 2.13 PHP (undervalued). Cautious scenario 2.73 PHP, optimistic scenario 4.49 PHP. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Global Ferronickel Holdings Inc (FNI)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Global Ferronickel Holdings Inc it is 3.46 PHP per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 2.13 PHP. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Global Ferronickel Holdings Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, FNI trades below its calculated fair value: price 2.13 PHP, fair value 3.46 PHP, a gap of about +62% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of FNI?
No. The price is what the market pays today (2.13 PHP); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (3.46 PHP). For Global Ferronickel Holdings Inc the two are 1.33 PHP per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Global Ferronickel Holdings Inc worth?
The market values Global Ferronickel Holdings Inc at about 10.9B PHP (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 2.13 PHP; our models calculate a fair value of 3.46 PHP per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about FNI?
Our models span a range for Global Ferronickel Holdings Inc: cautious scenario 2.73 PHP, base 3.46 PHP, optimistic 4.49 PHP per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 2.13 PHP). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of FNI?
Global Ferronickel Holdings Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 5.1 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 3.46 PHP is built from several models across several years.
How solid is the balance sheet of Global Ferronickel Holdings Inc (FNI)?
Balance-sheet figures for Global Ferronickel Holdings Inc (as of Sep 24, 2026): debt of 0.09 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 47/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is FNI from its 52-week high?
Global Ferronickel Holdings Inc trades at 2.13 PHP, about 17% below its 52-week high of 2.57 PHP and 105% above the low of 1.04 PHP (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 3.46 PHP is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Global Ferronickel Holdings Inc?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value NIKL, PX, LC, LCB, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Global Ferronickel Holdings Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 2.13 PHP, calculated fair value 3.46 PHP (+62%), Quality Score 47/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of FNI calculated?
We run Global Ferronickel Holdings Inc through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 3.46 PHP, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Global Ferronickel Holdings Inc currently trades 62 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Global Ferronickel Holdings Inc (FNI)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was 2.13 PHP. Our model-based fair value is 3.46 PHP, about +62% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Global Ferronickel Holdings Inc right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (2.73 PHP). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (47/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Key figures of Global Ferronickel Holdings Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Global Ferronickel Holdings Inc (FNI)?
The market capitalisation of Global Ferronickel Holdings Inc is 10.9B PHP (≈ $174M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Global Ferronickel Holdings Inc (FNI)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Global Ferronickel Holdings Inc is 0.50 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Global Ferronickel Holdings Inc (FNI)?
Earnings per share at Global Ferronickel Holdings Inc are 0.2542 PHP (price ÷ EPS = P/E 5.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Global Ferronickel Holdings Inc (FNI)?
The net margin of Global Ferronickel Holdings Inc is 9.8% (fiscal year 2024). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Global Ferronickel Holdings Inc (FNI)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Global Ferronickel Holdings Inc is 16.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
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