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MARC Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · PH · Market cap 3.0B PHP

M MARC MARC · PSE
Price0.6100 PHP
Fair Value0.4400 PHP
Upside-27.9%
Quality57/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
Low debt
Ranks above peers (8/9)
Narrow moat 30/100
Evidence: High Range 0.4000 PHP – 0.5100 PHP Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 10, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 31 days ago

Share price −3.2% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 28% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (0.5100 PHP). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

1.89 PHP 0.4220 PHP Fair Value 0.4400 PHP Feb 2021 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 0.4220 PHP – 1.89 PHP · fair‑value band 0.4000 PHP – 0.5100 PHP · the 0.6100 PHP price screens above the 0.4400 PHP fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 10, 2026.

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Analysis

MARC (MARC) currently trades at 0.6100 PHP, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.4400 PHP, implying the stock looks roughly 27.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 7.0. Fundamentals as of Jul 10, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 0.4000 PHP (bear case) to 0.5100 PHP (bull case); at 0.6100 PHP, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 48% above its 52-week low. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 51% fair-value upside, at -28%, MARC screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 0.5400 PHP 0.6600 PHP 0.8700 PHP 80
Residual Income 0.6900 PHP 0.6700 PHP 0.5500 PHP 76
Rev-Margin DCF 0.4700 PHP 0.6400 PHP 0.8500 PHP 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 0.5200 PHP 0.6700 PHP 0.9500 PHP 38
Owner Earnings 0.4300 PHP 0.5500 PHP 0.7700 PHP 31
5Y Revenue Exit 0.4700 PHP 0.6300 PHP 0.8600 PHP 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 0.5000 PHP 0.6800 PHP 0.9100 PHP 41
5Y P/E Exit 0.4300 PHP 0.5500 PHP 0.7100 PHP 38
10Y Revenue Exit 0.4800 PHP 0.6000 PHP 0.7200 PHP 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 0.5000 PHP 0.6200 PHP 0.7500 PHP 37
10Y P/E Exit 0.4600 PHP 0.5500 PHP 0.6300 PHP 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 0.1600 PHP 0.2000 PHP 0.2300 PHP 54
EPV 0.4000 PHP 0.4400 PHP 0.4900 PHP 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 0.5300 PHP 0.5800 PHP 0.6500 PHP 70
DDM Multi-Stage 0.5300 PHP 0.6600 PHP 0.8300 PHP 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 0.3100 PHP 0.4100 PHP 0.5100 PHP 63
P/S Multiple 0.3100 PHP 0.4100 PHP 0.5100 PHP 58
P/B Multiple 0.3100 PHP 0.4100 PHP 0.5100 PHP 55
EV/EBIT 0.5300 PHP 0.6800 PHP 0.8200 PHP 53
EV/EBITDA 0.5500 PHP 0.7000 PHP 0.8400 PHP 54
EV/Revenue 0.4700 PHP 0.6300 PHP 0.7900 PHP 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 0.4900 PHP 0.6600 PHP 0.9800 PHP 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 0.5400 PHP 0.6600 PHP 0.8700 PHP 80
Rev-Margin DCF 0.4700 PHP 0.6400 PHP 0.8500 PHP 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 0.6900 PHP 0.6700 PHP 0.5500 PHP 76
ROIC Compounder 0.4000 PHP 0.4400 PHP 0.4900 PHP 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 0.2200 PHP 0.3100 PHP 0.4100 PHP 68

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (0.6600 PHP) versus Earnings-Based (0.2000 PHP). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 38

Profitability 24
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 14
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 81
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 61
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 94
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 1
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 49
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 60
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years

MARC reported revenue of 1.7B PHP in FY2024 versus 2.9B PHP in FY2020, a compound −12.1%/yr. Reported net income was 118M PHP in FY2024, compounding −25.1%/yr from FY2020.

Growth Quality 55/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2024)
1.7B PHP
Latest YoY
−16.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−23.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.7%
Avg. growth/yr (10Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−3.8%
Revenue −12.1%/yr
FY20 2.9B PHP
FY21 3.9B PHP
FY22 3.1B PHP
FY23 2.1B PHP
FY24 1.7B PHP
Net income −25.1%/yr
FY20 375M PHP
FY21 756M PHP
FY22 203M PHP
FY23 232M PHP
FY24 118M PHP

MARC screens 28% overvalued. Compare with NIKL →

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MARC · Fair Value
0.4400 PHP −28%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "MARC Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MARC

Peer Group

Metals & Mining · 24 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 57 · Above median
Fair Value upside −28% · Below median
Return on assets 0% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 0% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.02× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 7.0× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 22
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 0 · sector 0
HEALTH 99 · sector 99
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 0

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 10, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
NIKL NIKL 3.60 PHP 6.68 PHP +86%
PX PX 7.08 PHP 4.38 PHP -38%
AT AT 8.30 PHP 26.74 PHP +222%
LCB LCB 0.1780 PHP 0.0300 PHP -83%
LC LC 0.1780 PHP 0.0300 PHP -83%
CPM CPM 2.27 PHP 0.6300 PHP -72%
FNI FNI 1.79 PHP 2.71 PHP +51%
Tplex Co 081150 2,630 KRW 2,240 KRW -15%
PHN PHN 15.86 PHP 38.04 PHP +140%
Gyeongnam Steel Co 039240 1,930 KRW 3,150 KRW +63%

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Frequently asked questions

Is MARC overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 10, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.4400 PHP versus a price of 0.6100 PHP, about −28% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MARC?
Our model-based fair value for MARC is 0.4400 PHP (as of Jul 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 0.6100 PHP.
What is the quality score of MARC?
MARC has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the net profit margin of MARC?
The net profit margin of MARC is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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