Philex Mining Corp (PX) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Philex Mining Corp PHP 4.38, price PHP 12.00, upside -63.5%, quality 40 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 2.19 PHP – 13.22 PHP · fair‑value band 3.51 PHP – 4.87 PHP · the 12.00 PHP price screens above the 4.38 PHP fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Philex Mining Corp (PX) currently trades at 12.00 PHP, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 4.38 PHP, implying the stock looks roughly 174.0% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 13.96 PHP per share, and 2 of the 11 models we run sit above the 12.00 PHP price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 1.24 PHP, and 9 of the 11 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 3.51 PHP (bear) to 4.87 PHP (bull), the price of 12.00 PHP sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Philex Mining Corp reported revenue of 8.2B PHP in FY2024 versus 7.8B PHP in FY2020, a compound +1.1%/yr. Reported net income was 810M PHP in FY2024, compounding −9.9%/yr from FY2020.
Key figures
Market cap 19.9B PHP (≈ $318M) · P/E ratio 88.6 · P/S ratio 8.77 · EPS (TTM) −0.1244 PHP · Dividend yield 1.2% · Net margin 9.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 82% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 9% fair-value upside, at −64%, PX screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 3.51 PHPFair Value 4.38 PHPBull 4.87 PHP
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.20/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+5.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−5.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.8%
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.7%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in PHP ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in PHP: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−3.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−5.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.2%
Profit margin 2019 to 2024 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−2% → 11%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 3.9%/yr over ~6Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Metals & Mining · 29 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/9 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score40 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−66% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets0% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)10% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)0% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth0% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)1.2% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.39× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)88.6× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 35
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 0
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)81· sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)23· sector 66
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Philex Mining Corp (PX) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 4.38 PHP versus a price of 12.00 PHP, about −64% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of PX?
Our model-based fair value for Philex Mining Corp is 4.38 PHP (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 12.00 PHP.
What is the quality score of PX?
Philex Mining Corp has a Quality Score of 40/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Philex Mining Corp (PX)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 4.38 PHP (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 12 valuation models. Cautious scenario 3.51 PHP, optimistic scenario 4.87 PHP. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Philex Mining Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 4.38 PHP, about −64% upside versus a price of 12.00 PHP (overvalued). Cautious scenario 3.51 PHP, optimistic scenario 4.87 PHP. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
Does Philex Mining Corp pay a dividend?
Philex Mining Corp currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.17% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Philex Mining Corp (PX)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Philex Mining Corp it is 4.38 PHP per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 12.00 PHP. It is the blended result of 12 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Philex Mining Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, PX trades above its calculated fair value: price 12.00 PHP, fair value 4.38 PHP, a gap of about −64% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of PX?
No. The price is what the market pays today (12.00 PHP); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (4.38 PHP). For Philex Mining Corp the two are 7.62 PHP per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Philex Mining Corp worth?
The market values Philex Mining Corp at about 19.9B PHP (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 12.00 PHP; our models calculate a fair value of 4.38 PHP per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about PX?
Our models span a range for Philex Mining Corp: cautious scenario 3.51 PHP, base 4.38 PHP, optimistic 4.87 PHP per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 12.00 PHP). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of PX?
Philex Mining Corp trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 88.6 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 4.38 PHP is built from several models across several years.
How solid is the balance sheet of Philex Mining Corp (PX)?
Balance-sheet figures for Philex Mining Corp (as of Sep 24, 2026): debt of 0.39 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 40/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is PX from its 52-week high?
Philex Mining Corp trades at 12.00 PHP, about 9% below its 52-week high of 13.22 PHP and 82% above the low of 6.60 PHP (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 4.38 PHP is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Philex Mining Corp?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value NIKL, LC, LCB, FNI, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Philex Mining Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 12.00 PHP, calculated fair value 4.38 PHP (−64%), Quality Score 40/100, from 12 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of PX calculated?
We run Philex Mining Corp through 12 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 4.38 PHP, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Philex Mining Corp itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Philex Mining Corp (PX)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 12.00 PHP. Our model-based fair value is 4.38 PHP, about −64% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Philex Mining Corp right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (4.87 PHP). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (40/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Philex Mining Corp
How large is the market capitalisation of Philex Mining Corp (PX)?
The market capitalisation of Philex Mining Corp is 19.9B PHP (≈ $318M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Philex Mining Corp (PX)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Philex Mining Corp is 8.77 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Philex Mining Corp (PX)?
Earnings per share at Philex Mining Corp are −0.1244 PHP (price ÷ EPS = P/E 88.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Philex Mining Corp (PX)?
The dividend yield of Philex Mining Corp is 1.2%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Philex Mining Corp (PX)?
The net margin of Philex Mining Corp is 9.9% (fiscal year 2024). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Philex Mining Corp (PX)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Philex Mining Corp is 4.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
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Thin data
Sep 24, 2026