Fodelia Oyj (FODELIA) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Fodelia Oyj €1.63, price €4.51, upside -63.9%, quality 64 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €3.73 – €8.69 · fair‑value band €1.21 – €2.12 · the €4.51 price screens above the €1.63 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Fodelia Oyj operates as a food company in Finland.
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Fodelia Oyj operates as a food company in Finland. The company manufactures pre-cooked meals, as well as soups, stews, casserole dishes, and sauces under the Feelia brand for schools, care homes, lunch and personnel restaurants, traffic stations, at stores, events, and at homes; juice concentrates, fruit and berry purées, and juice dispensers under the Delimax brand to the foodservice market. It also trades and produces snacks, such as potatoes, corn, and oats under the Oikia brand; operates Oikia Ruoka, an online food store; provides outsourcing food services to municipalities, cities and private companies. The company was founded in 1979 and is based in Pyhäntä, Finland.
Stock analysis
Fodelia Oyj (FODELIA) currently trades at €4.51, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €1.63, implying the stock looks roughly 176.7% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of €2.87 per share, and 4 of the 25 models we run sit above the €4.51 price.
Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at €0.9800, and 21 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: €1.21 (bear) to €2.12 (bull), the price of €4.51 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Fodelia Oyj reported revenue of €54.5M in FY2025 versus €33.8M in FY2021, a compound +12.6%/yr. Reported net income was €713K in FY2025, compounding +2.2%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap €36.7M · P/E ratio 50.1 · P/S ratio 0.66 · EPS (TTM) €0.0900 · Dividend yield 1.6% · Net margin 1.3% · Return on equity 5.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −3% fair-value upside, at −64%, FODELIA screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear €1.21Fair Value €1.63Bull €2.12
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (€0.0147 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+1.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+1.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−0.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.6%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.4% → 4%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+61.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +58.2% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 668 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score64 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−64% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)6% · Below median
Return on assets6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)5% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth109% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)1.6% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.08× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)50.1× · Priciest 25%
P/B3.38× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)0.77× · Pricier than median
P/FCF321.5× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA9.7× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 31
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 20
PAST (return on equity)23· sector 29
HEALTH (low debt)96· sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)31· sector 58
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Fodelia Oyj Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FODELIA
Frequently asked questions
Is Fodelia Oyj (FODELIA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €1.63 versus a price of €4.51, about −64% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of FODELIA?
Our model-based fair value for Fodelia Oyj is €1.63 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €4.51.
What is the quality score of FODELIA?
Fodelia Oyj has a Quality Score of 64/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Fodelia Oyj (FODELIA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €1.63 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario €1.21, optimistic scenario €2.12. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Fodelia Oyj stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €1.63, about −64% upside versus a price of €4.51 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €1.21, optimistic scenario €2.12. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Fodelia Oyj (FODELIA)?
Fodelia Oyj reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €54.5M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Fodelia Oyj pay a dividend?
Fodelia Oyj currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.55% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Fodelia Oyj (FODELIA)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Fodelia Oyj would have to grow free cash flow by +61.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +18.9 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of FODELIA use?
Our models discount Fodelia Oyj at 8.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.36, country premium for Finland. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Fodelia Oyj that is +61.6 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Fodelia Oyj (FODELIA) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Fodelia Oyj grew +18.9 % a year. The price currently implies +61.6 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Fodelia Oyj (FODELIA) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.9 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Fodelia Oyj (+61.6 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Fodelia Oyj (FODELIA)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.35 %: that much free cash flow Fodelia Oyj produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Fodelia Oyj (FODELIA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Fodelia Oyj it is €1.63 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of €4.51. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Fodelia Oyj stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, FODELIA trades above its calculated fair value: price €4.51, fair value €1.63, a gap of about −64% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of FODELIA?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€4.51); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€1.63). For Fodelia Oyj the two are €2.88 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Fodelia Oyj worth?
The market values Fodelia Oyj at about €36.7M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is €4.51; our models calculate a fair value of €1.63 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about FODELIA?
Our models span a range for Fodelia Oyj: cautious scenario €1.21, base €1.63, optimistic €2.12 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price €4.51). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of FODELIA?
Fodelia Oyj trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 50.1 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €1.63 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 3.4, P/S 0.8, EV/EBITDA 9.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of Fodelia Oyj (FODELIA)?
Balance-sheet figures for Fodelia Oyj (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 5.7%, debt of 0.08 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 64/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is FODELIA from its 52-week high?
Fodelia Oyj trades at €4.51, about 20% below its 52-week high of €5.63 and 7% above the low of €4.20 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €1.63 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Fodelia Oyj?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, The Kraft Heinz Company, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Fodelia Oyj stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price €4.51, calculated fair value €1.63 (−64%), Quality Score 64/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of FODELIA calculated?
We run Fodelia Oyj through 25 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €1.63, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Fodelia Oyj itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Fodelia Oyj (FODELIA)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was €4.51. Our model-based fair value is €1.63, about −64% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Fodelia Oyj right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€2.12). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (64/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Fodelia Oyj
How large is the market capitalisation of Fodelia Oyj (FODELIA)?
The market capitalisation of Fodelia Oyj is €36.7M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Fodelia Oyj (FODELIA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Fodelia Oyj is 0.66 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Fodelia Oyj (FODELIA)?
Earnings per share at Fodelia Oyj are €0.0900 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 50.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Fodelia Oyj (FODELIA)?
The dividend yield of Fodelia Oyj is 1.6% (payout 77.8%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Fodelia Oyj (FODELIA)?
The net margin of Fodelia Oyj is 1.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Fodelia Oyj (FODELIA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Fodelia Oyj is 5.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Fodelia Oyj (FODELIA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Fodelia Oyj is 6.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Fodelia Oyj (FODELIA)?
The operating margin of Fodelia Oyj is 5.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Fodelia Oyj (FODELIA)?
Revenue at Fodelia Oyj is growing +109% versus a year earlier (3y avg +9.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Fodelia Oyj (FODELIA)?
Earnings per share at Fodelia Oyj are growing +73.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Fodelia Oyj (FODELIA) carry?
The net debt of Fodelia Oyj is €3.7M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 28.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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