First Ottawa Bancshares, Inc (FOTB) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · US · Market cap $209M
First Ottawa Bancshares, Inc
FOTB · US
Fair value as of: Jul 26, 2026
From 4 valuation models · updated 16 days ago
Share price +3.5% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 55% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case ($256.25). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (53/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $24.43 – $234.13 · fair‑value band $256.25 – $427.08 · the $220.50 price screens below the $341.66 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.
Analysis
First Ottawa Bancshares, Inc (FOTB) currently trades at $220.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $341.66, implying the stock looks roughly 55.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, First Ottawa Bancshares, Inc generated revenue of $75.6M at a net margin of 33.5%. Revenue grew 18.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 20.0%. Net debt stands at $104M. Fundamentals as of Jul 26, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $256.25 (bear case) to $427.08 (bull case); at $220.50, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 59% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at 55%, FOTB screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 4 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($198.06) versus Asset-Based ($94.79). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Notify me when FOTB reaches fair value
Free. You confirm by email (double opt-in) and can unsubscribe anytime in one click.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 83
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
First Ottawa Bancshares, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for American Commercial Bank & Trust, National Association that provides a range of banking and financial services to individual and corporate customers in Yorkville, Streator, Schaumburg, Ottawa, Morris, Lisle, Chicago, and Joliet, Illinois.
Full company description
First Ottawa Bancshares, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for American Commercial Bank & Trust, National Association that provides a range of banking and financial services to individual and corporate customers in Yorkville, Streator, Schaumburg, Ottawa, Morris, Lisle, Chicago, and Joliet, Illinois. The company offers personal banking services, including checking and savings accounts; time deposits; certificates of deposit and individual retirement accounts; mortgage loans; consumer lending; trust and estate services; personal and fiduciary services; safe deposit boxes; credit cards; and bill payment and online and mobile banking services. It also provides business banking services, such as e-business checking accounts; commercial checking accounts; commercial checking NOW accounts; deposit sweep and cash management balance accounts; commercial savings accounts; commercial money market accounts; non-profit NOW accounts; commercial lines of credit, commercial loans, commercial construction and development loans, real estate loans, and letters of credit; and agriculture lending and farm management services. In addition, the company offers home equity loans and residential loans. First Ottawa Bancshares, Inc. was founded in 1865 and is based in Ottawa, Illinois.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
First Ottawa Bancshares, Inc reported revenue of $125M in FY2025 versus $48.6M in FY2021, a compound +26.6%/yr. Reported net income was $25.0M in FY2025, compounding +21.3%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +27.4 pp · buybacks/dilution −5.4 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
Watch FOTB: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Peer Group
Banks - Regional · 1083 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 45/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 26, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA | 6,175 IDR | 6,087 IDR | -1% |
| KB Financial Group 105560 | 184,400 KRW | 213,797 KRW | +16% |
| PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI | 2,970 IDR | 4,891 IDR | +65% |
| PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI | 4,310 IDR | 7,841 IDR | +82% |
| Banco Bradesco S.A BBD | 5,120 ARS | 10,240 ARS | +100% |
| Shinhan Financial Group 055550 | 107,900 KRW | 137,259 KRW | +27% |
| Hana Financial Group 086790 | 136,800 KRW | 193,969 KRW | +42% |
| Lloyds Banking Group LYG | 4,138 ARS | 8,275 ARS | +100% |
| Banco de Chile, CHILE | 193.10 CLP | 152.55 CLP | -21% |
| Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB | 59,400 VND | 84,201 VND | +42% |
Compare First Ottawa Bancshares, Inc with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Financial Services stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is First Ottawa Bancshares, Inc (FOTB) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of FOTB?
What is the quality score of FOTB?
What is the revenue of First Ottawa Bancshares, Inc (FOTB)?
What is the net profit margin of FOTB?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track First Ottawa Bancshares, Inc and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.