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Forgent Power Solutions, Inc (FPS) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 7, 2026: fair value of Forgent Power Solutions, Inc $6.26, price $40.65, upside -84.6%, quality 52 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Industrials · US · ISIN US34631F1021

FP Forgent Power Solutions, Inc logo Thin data Oct 4, 2026

Forgent Power Solutions, Inc

FPS · US

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

Quality 52/100
Expensive Growth (revenue YoY +88.5 %/yr in USD)
Thin margins · 5.8% net margin (TTM)
Moderate debt
Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
Moderate moat 55/100
Fair value $6.26 · Strongly overvalued (−84.6%)
Negative free cash flow
Thin data
Structural break
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$64.59 $27.97 Fair Value $6.26 Feb 2026 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 4, 2026.

How to read this chart

8‑month range $27.97 – $64.59 · fair‑value band $4.70 – $7.83 · the $40.65 price screens above the $6.26 fair value. As of Oct 4, 2026.

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Company profile

Forgent Power Solutions, Inc. engages in the design and manufacture of electrical distribution equipment used in data centers, the power grid, and energy-intensive industrial facilities.

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Forgent Power Solutions, Inc. engages in the design and manufacture of electrical distribution equipment used in data centers, the power grid, and energy-intensive industrial facilities. The company's products include dry type transformers, liquid filled transformers, switchgear, switchboards, panelboards, remote power panels, generator connection cabinets, tap boxes, automatic transfer switches, gear ehouses, power skids, power distribution units, and ups ehouses. It also provides maintenance, testing, repair, modernization, start-up and commissioning and aftermarket retrofit services. It serves technology, power, utility and industrial companies. The company was founded in 2023 and is based in Dayton, Minnesota.

Stock analysis

Forgent Power Solutions, Inc (FPS) currently trades at $40.65, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $6.26, 84.6% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 16 models at a data quality of 81/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: $4.70 (bear) to $7.83 (bull), the price of $40.65 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Forgent Power Solutions, Inc reported revenue of $1.4B in FY2026 versus $181M in FY2024, a compound +179.9%/yr. Reported net income was $81.8M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap $12.4B · P/E ratio 126.1 · P/S ratio 7.27 · EPS (TTM) $0.3200 · Dividend yield 0.0% · Net margin 5.8% · Return on equity 17.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.8%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 45 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −42% fair-value upside, at −85%, FPS screens richer than that median.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 52/100

Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 46

Profitability 41
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 60
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 19
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 44
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 66
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 59
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 78
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 80
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: only 3 usable fiscal years, at least 4 required
not computed

FPS screens overvalued: fair value 85% below the price. Compare with Contemporary Amperex Technology Co →

Earlier news

News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (79 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Neutral
Recent news coverage is roughly neutral, about typical for how stocks are covered.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electrical Equipment & Parts · 548 stocks

Beats the industry median on 7/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 52 · Above median
Fair Value upside −84.6% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 17.0% · Top 25%
Return on assets 6.1% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 5.8% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 19.9% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 94.3% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 1.02× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Electrical Equipment & Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 126.1× · Priciest 25%
P/B 21.93× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 8.71× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 51.5× · Priciest 25%
PEG 0.41× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 57
PAST (return on equity)68 · sector 27
HEALTH (low debt)49 · sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 23

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Electrical Equipment & Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Contemporary Amperex Technology Co 300750 ¥291.11 ¥695.24 +139% vs FPS
Sungrow Power Supply Co 300274 ¥84.21 ¥185.48 +120% vs FPS
Vertiv Holdings VRT $252.18 $178.68 −29% vs FPS
Hubbell Incorporated HUBB $475.52 $293.28 −38% vs FPS
Prysmian S.p.A PRY €129.80 €75.63 −42% vs FPS
Legrand SA LR €144.55 €82.77 −43% vs FPS
LG Energy Solution, Ltd 373220 371,000 KRW 201,455 KRW −46% vs FPS
ABB Ltd ABBN CHF 82.58 CHF 29.84 −64% vs FPS
nVent Electric plc NVT $164.41 $43.51 −74% vs FPS
LS ELECTRIC Co 010120 205,500 KRW 29,518 KRW −86% vs FPS

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Forgent Power Solutions, Inc · Fair Value
$6.26 −85%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Forgent Power Solutions, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FPS

Frequently asked questions

Is Forgent Power Solutions, Inc (FPS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $6.26 versus a price of $40.65, about −85% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of FPS?
Our model-based fair value for Forgent Power Solutions, Inc is $6.26 (as of Oct 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $40.65.
What is the quality score of FPS?
Forgent Power Solutions, Inc has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Forgent Power Solutions, Inc (FPS)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $6.26 (as of Oct 4, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario $4.70, optimistic scenario $7.83. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Forgent Power Solutions, Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $6.26, about −85% upside versus a price of $40.65 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $4.70, optimistic scenario $7.83. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Forgent Power Solutions, Inc (FPS)?
Forgent Power Solutions, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.4B (latest available figure, as of Oct 4, 2026).
Does Forgent Power Solutions, Inc pay a dividend?
Forgent Power Solutions, Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.01% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 4, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Forgent Power Solutions, Inc (FPS)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Forgent Power Solutions, Inc it is $6.26 per share (as of Oct 4, 2026), against a price of $40.65. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Forgent Power Solutions, Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 4, 2026, FPS trades above its calculated fair value: price $40.65, fair value $6.26, a gap of about −85% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of FPS?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($40.65); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($6.26). For Forgent Power Solutions, Inc the two are $34.39 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Forgent Power Solutions, Inc worth?
The market values Forgent Power Solutions, Inc at about $12.4B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 4, 2026). Per share that is $40.65; our models calculate a fair value of $6.26 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about FPS?
Our models span a range for Forgent Power Solutions, Inc: cautious scenario $4.70, base $6.26, optimistic $7.83 per share (as of Oct 4, 2026, price $40.65). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of FPS?
Forgent Power Solutions, Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 126.1 (as of Oct 4, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $6.26 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.4, P/B 21.9, P/S 8.7, EV/EBITDA 51.5.
What is the PEG ratio of FPS?
The PEG ratio of Forgent Power Solutions, Inc is 0.41 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Oct 4, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Forgent Power Solutions, Inc (FPS)?
Balance-sheet figures for Forgent Power Solutions, Inc (as of Oct 4, 2026): return on equity 17.0%, debt of 1.02 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 52/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
Which stocks are comparable to Forgent Power Solutions, Inc?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Contemporary Amperex Technology Co, ABB Ltd, Vertiv Holdings, LG Energy Solution, Ltd, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Forgent Power Solutions, Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 4, 2026: price $40.65, calculated fair value $6.26 (−85%), Quality Score 52/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of FPS calculated?
We run Forgent Power Solutions, Inc through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $6.26, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.3 % above its aggregate fair value. Forgent Power Solutions, Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Forgent Power Solutions, Inc (FPS)?
The closing price on Oct 7, 2026 was $40.65. Our model-based fair value is $6.26, about −85% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Forgent Power Solutions, Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($7.83). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of Forgent Power Solutions, Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Forgent Power Solutions, Inc (FPS)?
The market capitalisation of Forgent Power Solutions, Inc is $12.4B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Forgent Power Solutions, Inc (FPS)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Forgent Power Solutions, Inc is 7.27 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Forgent Power Solutions, Inc (FPS)?
Earnings per share at Forgent Power Solutions, Inc are $0.3200 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 126.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Forgent Power Solutions, Inc (FPS)?
The dividend yield of Forgent Power Solutions, Inc is 0.0% (payout 1.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Forgent Power Solutions, Inc (FPS)?
The net margin of Forgent Power Solutions, Inc is 5.8% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Forgent Power Solutions, Inc (FPS)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Forgent Power Solutions, Inc is 17.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Forgent Power Solutions, Inc (FPS)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Forgent Power Solutions, Inc is 4.8% (avg 3y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Forgent Power Solutions, Inc (FPS)?
The operating margin of Forgent Power Solutions, Inc is 19.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Forgent Power Solutions, Inc (FPS)?
Revenue at Forgent Power Solutions, Inc is growing +94.3% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Forgent Power Solutions, Inc (FPS) generate?
The free cash flow of Forgent Power Solutions, Inc is −$30.3M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Forgent Power Solutions, Inc (FPS) carry?
The net debt of Forgent Power Solutions, Inc is $582M (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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