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First Robinson Financial Corporation (FRFC) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $34.9M

FR First Robinson Financial Corporation logo First Robinson Financial Corporation FRFC · US
Price$71.00
Fair Value$90.56
Upside+27.6%
Quality65/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
2.09% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/13)
Narrow moat 37/100
Evidence: High Range $67.92 – $113.20 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 26, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 15 days ago

Share price +5.6% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 28% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid quality (65/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$75.95 $23.13 Fair Value $90.56 Jun 2015 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $23.13 – $75.95 · fair‑value band $67.92 – $113.20 · the $71.00 price screens below the $90.56 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

First Robinson Financial Corporation (FRFC) currently trades at $71.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $90.56, implying the stock looks roughly 27.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $17.6M. Revenue grew 14.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $45.4M. Fundamentals as of Jul 26, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $67.92 (bear case) to $113.20 (bull case); at $71.00, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 76% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at 28%, FRFC screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $50.13 $54.67 $67.31 76
Gordon GGM $9.56 $14.29 $18.54 70
P/E Multiple $67.92 $90.56 $113.20 63
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $9.56 $14.29 $18.54 70
DDM Multi-Stage $9.56 $12.99 $16.03 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $67.92 $90.56 $113.20 63
P/B Multiple $64.61 $86.15 $107.69 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $30.77 $41.23 $61.54 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $50.13 $54.67 $67.31 76

Widest divergence: Multiples ($86.15) versus Dividend Discount ($12.99). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $17.6M
Revenue growth (YoY) +14.5%
Return on equity 11.7%
Free cash flow $4.6M FY2025
P/E ratio 14.9
EPS (TTM) $4.45
More key figures
Dividend yield 2.1%
EPS growth (YoY) +1.2%
Net cash $45.4M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 65/100

Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 76

Profitability 34
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 59
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 88
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 32
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 89
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 51
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 84
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 90
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 95
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

First Robinson Financial Corporation operates as the holding company for First Robinson Savings Bank, National Association that provides various banking and financial products and services to individual and corporate customers in the United States.

Full company description

First Robinson Financial Corporation operates as the holding company for First Robinson Savings Bank, National Association that provides various banking and financial products and services to individual and corporate customers in the United States. The company offers various deposit products, including checking, savings, money market, health savings, and individual retirement accounts; and certificates of deposit. Its loan portfolio comprises personal, home mortgage, home equity, auto, business term, agriculture, and commercial real estate loans, as well as business lines of credit. The company also offers ATM and debit card, mobile deposit, online and mobile banking, bill pay, credit card, e-statement, direct deposit, safe deposit box, wire transfer, notary, night depository, cashiers checks, coin counting, fax, money order, interactive teller machine, bounce protection, merchant card, and cash management services; and trust and investment services. It operates full-service offices and serves customers in Crawford and surrounding counties in Illinois; and Knox and surrounding counties in Indiana. First Robinson Financial Corporation was founded in 1884 and is headquartered in Robinson, Illinois.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

First Robinson Financial Corporation reported revenue of $15.9M in FY2025 versus $13.7M in FY2021, a compound +3.7%/yr. Reported net income was $3.7M in FY2025, compounding +8.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$15.9M
Latest YoY
+21.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−0.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−0.8%
Avg. growth/yr (27Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.0%
Revenue +3.7%/yr
FY21 $13.7M
FY22 $16.2M
FY23 $16.8M
FY24 $13.1M
FY25 $15.9M
Net income +8.8%/yr
FY21 $2.6M
FY22 $2.7M
FY23 $2.6M
FY24 $1.9M
FY25 $3.7M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +4.0 % p.a.
Revenue per share +2.6 pp

of which total revenue +2.5 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.1 pp

EBIT margin +2.1 pp
Tax rate +1.7 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −2.4 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "First Robinson Financial Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FRFC

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1083 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 65 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +28% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 12% · Above median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 15% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.1% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.05× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 14.9× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.08× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.99× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 7.6× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 70 · sector 39
FUTURE 73 · sector 44
PAST 47 · sector 41
HEALTH 98 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 42 · sector 49

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 26, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
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KB Financial Group 105560 184,400 KRW 213,797 KRW +16%
PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI 2,970 IDR 4,891 IDR +65%
PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI 4,310 IDR 7,841 IDR +82%
Banco Bradesco S.A BBD 5,120 ARS 10,240 ARS +100%
Shinhan Financial Group 055550 107,900 KRW 137,259 KRW +27%
Hana Financial Group 086790 136,800 KRW 193,969 KRW +42%
Lloyds Banking Group LYG 4,138 ARS 8,275 ARS +100%
Banco de Chile, CHILE 193.10 CLP 152.55 CLP -21%
Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB 59,400 VND 84,201 VND +42%

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Frequently asked questions

Is First Robinson Financial Corporation (FRFC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $90.56 versus a price of $71.00, about +28% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of FRFC?
Our model-based fair value for First Robinson Financial Corporation is $90.56 (as of Jul 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $71.00.
What is the quality score of FRFC?
First Robinson Financial Corporation has a Quality Score of 65/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of First Robinson Financial Corporation (FRFC)?
First Robinson Financial Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $17.6M (latest available figure, as of Jul 26, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of FRFC?
The net profit margin of First Robinson Financial Corporation is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does First Robinson Financial Corporation pay a dividend?
First Robinson Financial Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.09% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 26, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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