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First Berlin Bancorp, Inc (FTFI) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $101M

FB First Berlin Bancorp, Inc logo First Berlin Bancorp, Inc FTFI · US
Price$38.75
Fair Value$54.88
Upside+41.6%
Quality65/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 36.1% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (8/13)
Wide moat 70/100
Evidence: High Range $41.16 – $68.60 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 26, 2026

From 4 valuation models · updated 15 days ago

Share price +1.3% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 42% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($41.16). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (65/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (4 years)

$38.75 $15.90 Fair Value $54.88 Oct 2022 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

How to read this chart

45‑month range $15.90 – $38.75 · fair‑value band $41.16 – $68.60 · the $38.75 price screens below the $54.88 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

First Berlin Bancorp, Inc (FTFI) currently trades at $38.75, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $54.88, implying the stock looks roughly 41.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, First Berlin Bancorp, Inc generated revenue of $31.2M at a net margin of 36.1%. Revenue grew 7.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.1%. Net debt stands at $5.7M. Fundamentals as of Jul 26, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $41.16 (bear case) to $68.60 (bull case); at $38.75, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 42% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at 42%, FTFI screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $27.44 $30.92 $47.10 76
P/E Multiple $41.16 $54.88 $68.60 63
P/B Multiple $33.58 $44.77 $55.96 55
All 4 models by family
Multiples
P/E Multiple $41.16 $54.88 $68.60 63
P/B Multiple $33.58 $44.77 $55.96 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $15.99 $21.42 $31.98 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $27.44 $30.92 $47.10 76

Widest divergence: Multiples ($44.77) versus Asset-Based ($21.42). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $31.2M
Revenue growth (YoY) +7.9%
Net margin 36.1%
Return on equity 14.1%
Free cash flow $12.6M FY2025
P/E ratio 9.1
More key figures
Operating margin 43.0%
EPS (TTM) $4.23
EPS growth (YoY) +13.5%
Net debt $5.7M FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 65/100

Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 76

Profitability 45
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 52
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 87
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 37
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 62
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 93
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 60
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 85
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 97
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

First Berlin Bancorp, Inc. operates as the banking holding company for Fortifi Bank that provides a range of banking products and services to individual and corporate customers. It offers checking and savings accounts, and certificates of deposit, as well as personal loans, home loans, auto loans, and business credit and loans.

Full company description

First Berlin Bancorp, Inc. operates as the banking holding company for Fortifi Bank that provides a range of banking products and services to individual and corporate customers. It offers checking and savings accounts, and certificates of deposit, as well as personal loans, home loans, auto loans, and business credit and loans. The company also provides debit and credit cards, treasury management, online and mobile banking, and wealth management services. First Berlin Bancorp, Inc. was founded in 1876 and is headquartered in Berlin, Wisconsin.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

First Berlin Bancorp, Inc reported revenue of $31.9M in FY2025 versus $26.0M in FY2021, a compound +5.3%/yr. Reported net income was $11.0M in FY2025, compounding +7.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 86/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$31.9M
Latest YoY
+11.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.2%
Revenue +5.3%/yr
FY21 $26.0M
FY22 $25.2M
FY23 $26.3M
FY24 $28.7M
FY25 $31.9M
Net income +7.5%/yr
FY21 $8.3M
FY22 $7.2M
FY23 $6.8M
FY24 $9.5M
FY25 $11.0M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "First Berlin Bancorp, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FTFI

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1083 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 65 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +42% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 14% · Top 25%
Return on assets 2% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 36% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 43% · Above median
Revenue growth 8% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.62× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 9.1× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.21× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 3.25× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 8.1× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 89 · sector 39
FUTURE 40 · sector 44
PAST 56 · sector 41
HEALTH 69 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 49

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 26, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA 6,175 IDR 6,087 IDR -1%
KB Financial Group 105560 184,400 KRW 213,797 KRW +16%
PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI 2,970 IDR 4,891 IDR +65%
PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI 4,310 IDR 7,841 IDR +82%
Banco Bradesco S.A BBD 5,120 ARS 10,240 ARS +100%
Shinhan Financial Group 055550 107,900 KRW 137,259 KRW +27%
Hana Financial Group 086790 136,800 KRW 193,969 KRW +42%
Lloyds Banking Group LYG 4,138 ARS 8,275 ARS +100%
Banco de Chile, CHILE 193.10 CLP 152.55 CLP -21%
Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB 59,400 VND 84,201 VND +42%

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Frequently asked questions

Is First Berlin Bancorp, Inc (FTFI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $54.88 versus a price of $38.75, about +42% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of FTFI?
Our model-based fair value for First Berlin Bancorp, Inc is $54.88 (as of Jul 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $38.75.
What is the quality score of FTFI?
First Berlin Bancorp, Inc has a Quality Score of 65/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of First Berlin Bancorp, Inc (FTFI)?
First Berlin Bancorp, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $31.2M (latest available figure, as of Jul 26, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of FTFI?
The net profit margin of First Berlin Bancorp, Inc is about 36.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 36.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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