Flotek Industries Inc (FTK) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Flotek Industries Inc $4.41, price $30.43, upside -85.5%, quality 51 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Structural break:
The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.
Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.
!Fair value $4.41 · Strongly overvalued (−86%)
!Quality 51/100
!Expensive Growth(revenue 5y +34.9 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 11.8% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Trails peers(5/14)
!Moderate moat61/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
Watch Flotek Industries Inc for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card.Watch for freePro now: $1 first month
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $2.75 – $38.82 · fair‑value band $1.84 – $6.32 · the $30.43 price screens above the $4.41 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
Follow Flotek Industries in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether Flotek Industries is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
Flotek Industries, Inc. operates as a chemical and data analytics company in the United States, the United Arab Emirates, and internationally. It operates in two segments, Chemistry Technologies (CT) and Data Analytics (DA).
Show more
Flotek Industries, Inc. operates as a chemical and data analytics company in the United States, the United Arab Emirates, and internationally. It operates in two segments, Chemistry Technologies (CT) and Data Analytics (DA). The CT segment offers chemistry solutions, such as proprietary chemistries, specialty chemistries, logistics, and technology services for desired chemical applications program to integrated oil and gas companies, oilfield services companies, independent oil and gas companies, national and state-owned oil companies, geothermal energy companies, solar energy companies, and advanced alternative energy companies. This segment also designs, develops, manufactures, packages, distributes, and markets chemistry solutions designed for existing sustainability practices to reduce the environmental impact of energy on the air, water, land, and people. The DA segment is also involved in the provision of analytical measurement and digital solutions, including measure-and-control services for near real-time insights for process control in the oil and gas value chain, and emerging applications in power and digital valuation; and solutions to optimize performance, improve decision-making, and reduce emissions and carbon intensity; and short and long-term equipment rental. It sells its products directly through in-house sales professionals and contractual agency agreements. Flotek Industries, Inc. was incorporated in 1985 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.
Stock analysis
Flotek Industries Inc (FTK) currently trades at $30.43, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $4.41, implying the stock looks roughly 589.7% overvalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $20.69 per share, and 1 of the 24 models we run sit above the $30.43 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at $1.82, and 23 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $1.84 (bear) to $6.32 (bull), the price of $30.43 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Flotek Industries Inc reported revenue of $237M in FY2025 versus $43.3M in FY2021, a compound +53.0%/yr. Reported net income was $30.5M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $1.1B · P/E ratio 38.5 · P/S ratio 4.96 · EPS (TTM) $0.7900 · Net margin 12.9% · Return on equity 25.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) −9.9% · Operating margin 10.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 129% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −23% fair-value upside, at −86%, FTK screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely ($1.82 to $38.93). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear $1.84Fair Value $4.41Bull $6.32
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.5779 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+26.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+20.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+34.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −3.4% a year
Revenue growth 28 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.6%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: adjusted.
−14.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−14.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2019 to 2024 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−63% → 7%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 16.8%/yr over ~10Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+68.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+11.6%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +64.1% a year for the price and +9.0% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas Equipment & Services · 193 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score51 · Below median
Fair Value upside−86% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)25% · Top 25%
Return on assets9% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)12% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)11% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth27% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.35× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas Equipment & Services median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)38.5× · Priciest 25%
P/B9.73× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)4.37× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF210.8× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA35.0× · Priciest 25%
PEG4.32× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 16
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 8
PAST (return on equity)100· sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)83· sector 91
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 34
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Flotek Industries Inc (FTK) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $4.41 versus a price of $30.43, about −86% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of FTK?
Our model-based fair value for Flotek Industries Inc is $4.41 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $30.43.
What is the quality score of FTK?
Flotek Industries Inc has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Flotek Industries Inc (FTK)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $4.41 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $1.84, optimistic scenario $6.32. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Flotek Industries Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $4.41, about −86% upside versus a price of $30.43 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $1.84, optimistic scenario $6.32. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Flotek Industries Inc (FTK)?
Flotek Industries Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $252M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Flotek Industries Inc (FTK)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Flotek Industries Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +68.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +34.9 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of FTK use?
Our models discount Flotek Industries Inc at 12.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 1.46, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Flotek Industries Inc that is +68.0 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Flotek Industries Inc (FTK) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Flotek Industries Inc grew +34.9 % a year. The price currently implies +68.0 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Flotek Industries Inc (FTK) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Flotek Industries Inc (+68.0 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Flotek Industries Inc (FTK)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.47 %: that much free cash flow Flotek Industries Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Flotek Industries Inc (FTK)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Flotek Industries Inc it is $4.41 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $30.43. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Flotek Industries Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, FTK trades above its calculated fair value: price $30.43, fair value $4.41, a gap of about −86% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of FTK?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($30.43); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($4.41). For Flotek Industries Inc the two are $26.02 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Flotek Industries Inc worth?
The market values Flotek Industries Inc at about $1.1B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $30.43; our models calculate a fair value of $4.41 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about FTK?
Our models span a range for Flotek Industries Inc: cautious scenario $1.84, base $4.41, optimistic $6.32 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $30.43). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of FTK?
Flotek Industries Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 38.5 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $4.41 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 4.3, P/B 9.7, P/S 4.4, EV/EBITDA 35.0.
What is the PEG ratio of FTK?
The PEG ratio of Flotek Industries Inc is 4.32 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Flotek Industries Inc (FTK)?
Balance-sheet figures for Flotek Industries Inc (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 25.1%, debt of 0.35 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 51/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is FTK from its 52-week high?
Flotek Industries Inc trades at $30.43, about 22% below its 52-week high of $38.82 and 129% above the low of $13.26 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $4.41 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Flotek Industries Inc?
From the same area (Energy) we also value SLB N.V, Baker Hughes Company, TechnipFMC plc, Halliburton Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Flotek Industries Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $30.43, calculated fair value $4.41 (−86%), Quality Score 51/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of FTK calculated?
We run Flotek Industries Inc through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $4.41, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Flotek Industries Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Flotek Industries Inc (FTK)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $30.43. Our model-based fair value is $4.41, about −86% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Flotek Industries Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($6.32). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The model range is unusually wide ($1.84 to $6.32). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Flotek Industries Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Flotek Industries Inc (FTK)?
The market capitalisation of Flotek Industries Inc is $1.1B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Flotek Industries Inc (FTK)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Flotek Industries Inc is 4.96 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Flotek Industries Inc (FTK)?
Earnings per share at Flotek Industries Inc are $0.7900 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 38.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Flotek Industries Inc (FTK)?
The net margin of Flotek Industries Inc is 12.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Flotek Industries Inc (FTK)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Flotek Industries Inc is 25.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Flotek Industries Inc (FTK)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Flotek Industries Inc is −9.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Flotek Industries Inc (FTK)?
The operating margin of Flotek Industries Inc is 10.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Flotek Industries Inc (FTK)?
Revenue at Flotek Industries Inc is growing +26.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +20.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Flotek Industries Inc (FTK)?
Earnings per share at Flotek Industries Inc are growing −29.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Flotek Industries Inc (FTK) carry?
The net debt of Flotek Industries Inc is $44.4M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 8.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed
Watch Flotek Industries Inc in the live analysis
One click puts Flotek Industries Inc on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
Thin data
Sep 23, 2026