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Fortrea Holdings (FTRE) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $1.4B

FH Fortrea Holdings logo Fortrea Holdings FTRE · US
Price$18.43
Fair Value$2.18
Upside-88.2%
Quality40/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -16.5% net margin
High debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (4/13)
Narrow moat 16/100
Evidence: Medium Range $2.18 – $5.82 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 9 valuation models · updated 25 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from $26.81 to $2.18 (−91.9%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +8.3% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 88% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($5.82). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (40/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The model range is unusually wide ($2.18 to $5.82). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
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Price vs Fair Value (3 years)

$40.28 $4.06 Fair Value $2.18 Jun 2023 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

38‑month range $4.06 – $40.28 · fair‑value band $2.18 – $5.82 · the $18.43 price screens above the $2.18 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

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Analysis

Fortrea Holdings (FTRE) currently trades at $18.43, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.18, implying the stock looks roughly 88.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Fortrea Holdings generated revenue of $2.7B at a net margin of -16.5%. Revenue declined 2.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -64.6%. Net debt stands at $941M. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $2.18 (bear case) to $5.82 (bull case); at $18.43, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 1% below its 52-week high and 323% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -43% fair-value upside, at -88%, FTRE screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $0.7700 $4.15 80
Rev-Margin DCF $2.08 $6.52 74
NCAV (Graham) $2.98 $3.99 $5.96 50
All 9 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $0.6400 $4.50 38
5Y Revenue Exit $1.88 $6.84 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $1.43 41
10Y Revenue Exit $0.5400 $3.05 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $0.1500 37
Multiples
EV/Revenue $2.90 $6.54 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $2.98 $3.99 $5.96 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $0.7700 $4.15 80
Rev-Margin DCF $2.08 $6.52 74

Widest divergence: Asset-Based ($3.99) versus DCF Models ($0.6400). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $2.7B
Revenue growth (YoY) -2.3%
Net margin -16.5%
Return on equity -64.6%
Free cash flow $88.3M FY2025
Operating margin 0.5%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-4.80
EPS growth (YoY) -57.4%
Net debt $941M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 40/100

Of which business quality 39 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 62

Profitability 21
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 26
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 42
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 12
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 83
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 99
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 67
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Fortrea Holdings Inc., a contract research organization, provides biopharmaceutical product and medical device development solutions to pharmaceutical, biotechnology, and medical device customers worldwide.

Full company description

Fortrea Holdings Inc., a contract research organization, provides biopharmaceutical product and medical device development solutions to pharmaceutical, biotechnology, and medical device customers worldwide. It offers clinical pharmacology, such as clinical research units, external partnerships, project management, study design and monitoring, bioanalytics and biomarkers, pharmacokinetics, modeling and simulation, and biometrics; and clinical development, including phase I through IV clinical and real-world evidence studies, regulatory affairs, protocol design, operational planning, study and site start-up, patient recruitment, project management, comprehensive site and medical monitoring, data management and biostatistics, pharmacovigilance, medical writing, and mobile clinical services. The company also provides consulting services comprising product development and regulatory, market access and health economics, and outcomes research, as well as RWE services. Fortrea Holdings Inc. was incorporated in 2023 and is headquartered in Durham, North Carolina.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Fortrea Holdings reported revenue of $2.7B in FY2025 versus $3.1B in FY2021, a compound −2.9%/yr. Reported net income was −$986M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 31/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$2.7B
Latest YoY
+1.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−1.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+1.1%
Revenue −2.9%/yr
FY21 $3.1B
FY22 $2.8B
FY23 $2.8B
FY24 $2.7B
FY25 $2.7B
Net income
FY21 $98.0M
FY22 $186M
FY23 −$25.2M
FY24 −$329M
FY25 −$986M

FTRE screens 88% overvalued. Compare with Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Fortrea Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FTRE

Peer Group

Biotechnology · 603 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 40 · Below median
Fair Value upside −88% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -0% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) -17% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 1% · Above median
Revenue growth -2% · Below median
Debt / equity 1.86× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper

P/B 2.57× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.54× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 16.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 33.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 0.34× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 0 · sector 0
HEALTH 7 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 23

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 44/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Biotechnology stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX $486.03 $278.78 -43%
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc REGN $664.45 $594.40 -11%
Samsung Biologics Co 207940 1,368,000 KRW 1,091,384 KRW -20%
Celltrion, Inc 068270 175,800 KRW 76,325 KRW -57%
WuXi Biologics (Cayman) Inc 2269 HK$39.54 HK$30.42 -23%
Innovent Biologics, Inc 1801 HK$86.70 HK$19.66 -77%
Sino Biopharmaceutical Limited 1177 HK$5.26 HK$3.36 -36%
ALTEOGEN Inc 196170 276,500 KRW 44,444 KRW -84%
RemeGen Co 688331 ¥134.02 ¥26.99 -80%
Biocon Limited BIOCON ₹440.70 ₹57.36 -87%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Fortrea Holdings (FTRE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $2.18 versus a price of $18.43, about −88% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of FTRE?
Our model-based fair value for Fortrea Holdings is $2.18 (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $18.43.
What is the quality score of FTRE?
Fortrea Holdings has a Quality Score of 40/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Fortrea Holdings (FTRE)?
Fortrea Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $2.7B (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of FTRE?
The net profit margin of Fortrea Holdings is about -16.5%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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