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Data-driven stock valuation

Furukawa Electric Co Ltd ADR (FUWAY) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Furukawa Electric Co Ltd ADR is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily, free.

  1. Compare price with fair valuebelow fair value = cheap, above = expensive
  2. Check the quality50 and up solid, 75 and up strong
  3. Watch it or check another stockalert when fair value or trend changes

Industrials · US · Market cap $22.4B · ISIN US3611181021

At a glance

FE Furukawa Electric Co Ltd ADR logo Furukawa Electric Co Ltd ADR FUWAY · US
Price$12.54
Fair Value$2.42
Upside−80.7% ⚠
Quality56/100

Structural break: The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.

A solid business, but trading 418% above our fair value of $2.42.

As of Sep 8, 2026, the fair value of Furukawa Electric Co Ltd ADR is $2.42 per share against a price of $12.54, so the fair value sits 81% below the price. A model estimate from reported figures, not an analyst target.

!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +11.3 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 5.6% net margin
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
·0.43% dividend yield
!Mixed vs. peers (6/13)
!Moderate moat 48/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!The models disagree: range $1.77 to $5.96
!Weak on dividend: 9 out of 100
Evidence: Low Range $1.77 to $5.96

Fair value as of: Sep 8, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Sep 8, 2026, revised from $2.21 to $2.42 (+9.5%) since Aug 30, 2026. Share price +1.7% over the past month.

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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($5.96). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The model range is unusually wide ($1.77 to $5.96). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (56/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$190.30 $5.73 Fair Value $2.42 Jun 2015 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $5.73 – $190.30 · fair‑value band $1.77 – $5.96 · the $12.54 price screens above the $2.42 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 8, 2026.

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Analysis

Furukawa Electric Co Ltd ADR (FUWAY) currently trades at $12.54, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.42, implying the stock looks roughly 418.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $3.19 per share, and 0 of the 15 models we run sit above the $12.54 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $0.2844, and 15 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Over the trailing twelve months, Furukawa Electric Co Ltd ADR generated revenue of ¥1.3T at a net margin of 5.6%. Revenue grew 12.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 18.8%. Net debt stands at ¥261B. Fundamentals as of Sep 8, 2026

Scenario range: $1.77 (bear) to $5.96 (bull), the price of $12.54 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −44% fair-value upside, at −81%, FUWAY screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model values the company its own way; the fair value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0 to 100) shows how complete a model's inputs are. How we calculate →

Note: the current price implies far more future growth than the conservative anchors of our models allow (base growth is deliberately capped, we do not regard such extreme rates as sustainable). Our models are not designed for expectations this high; that is why the individual models scatter extremely ($0.2844 to $3.94). Read the values as a conservative anchor, not as a price target.
Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Owner Earnings best evidence $1.67 $2.42 $3.51 76
EPV $0.6583 $0.8014 $0.9266 74
ROIC Compounder $0.6583 $0.8014 $0.9266 72
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings best evidence $1.67 $2.42 $3.51 76
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $1.28 $2.59 $3.26 66
EPV $0.6583 $0.8014 $0.9266 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.2012 $0.2929 $0.3883 69
DDM Multi-Stage $0.2012 $0.2844 $0.3804 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple $2.96 $3.94 $4.93 63
P/S Multiple $2.39 $3.19 $3.99 58
P/B Multiple $2.39 $3.19 $3.99 55
EV/EBIT $1.91 $2.61 $3.31 66
EV/EBITDA $2.50 $3.40 $4.31 67
EV/Revenue $1.30 $1.95 $2.59 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.5114 $0.6853 $1.02 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income $1.25 $1.71 $7.18 64
ROIC Compounder $0.6583 $0.8014 $0.9266 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $2.15 $3.07 $4.00 67

Widest divergence: Multiples ($3.19) versus Dividend Discount ($0.2844). Highest evidence: Owner Earnings (76).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 49.4 as of Jun 20, 2026
P/S ratio 2.74 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $3.22 price ÷ EPS = P/E 49.4
Dividend yield 0.4% payout 1.7%
Net margin 5.5% FY2026
Return on equity 18.8% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 3.0% avg 5y
Operating margin 8.0% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) ¥1.3T TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +12.2% 3y avg +9.1%
EPS growth (YoY) +118%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −¥19.1B FY2026
Net debt ¥261B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 56/100

Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 15

Profitability 58
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 69
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 8
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 48
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 71
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 24
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 10
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 15
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Furukawa Electric Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells communications, energy, automotive and batteries products, and electronic components worldwide. It operates through Infrastructure, Electrical and Electronic, Functional Products, and Services and Developments segments.

Full company description

Furukawa Electric Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells communications, energy, automotive and batteries products, and electronic components worldwide. It operates through Infrastructure, Electrical and Electronic, Functional Products, and Services and Developments segments. The company offers telecommunications products, such as broadband systems, routers/network equipment, industrial infrastructure systems, and wireless products; and optical fiber cables and identifiers, optical closures/termination boxes, optical connectors/cords, fusion splicers/optical connecting tools, optical fiber line monitoring/management systems, optical active component, and metal communication cables, as well as wiring materials. It also offers energy products, including power cables, cable-related equipment/connection and terminal products, industrial machine-related equipment, fire-prevention products, electrical conductors, power distribution products, and cable conduit materials; and automobile products comprising wire harnesses, connectors, functional products and materials, and interior finishing materials. In addition, the company provides electronics parts materials, fluorescent lamps, LED reflectors, and tapes, as well as healthcare products, such as shape memory/super-elastic alloys; construction products, including water distribution piping and fluid transport piping products, heat insulators, and cable-related equipment/connection and terminal products, as well as power distribution and fire-prevention products; superconducting cables; detection solutions for internal medical devices; and maintenance/inspection support solutions for roadside equipment. Furukawa Electric Co., Ltd. was founded in 1884 and is headquartered in Chiyoda, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Furukawa Electric Co Ltd ADR reported revenue of ¥1.4T in FY2026 versus ¥930B in FY2022, a compound +10.5%/yr. Reported net income was ¥76.9B in FY2026, compounding +66.1%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 57/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
$1.4T
Latest YoY
+15.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (21Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.8%
Value creation/yr (5Y, in JPY) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
≈ +50.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.
Earnings growth per share+50.1%
Dividend yield0.4%
Trend ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5Y 50.1% vs 10Y 22.7%, picking up
Operating margin (EBIT) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.1.0% (2021) → 4.9% (2026) · rising
Worst earnings drop232% (2012) (loss year, drop beyond 100%) · in USD
⚠ Final year 2026 sits 384% above trend (one-off), rate approximate
Revenue +10.5%/yr
FY22 ¥930B
FY23 ¥1.1T
FY24 ¥1.1T
FY25 ¥1.2T
FY26 ¥1.4T
Net income +66.1%/yr
FY22 ¥10.1B
FY23 ¥15.9B
FY24 ¥6.5B
FY25 ¥33.4B
FY26 ¥76.9B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2015-2026) +14.4 % p.a.
Revenue per share +3.9 %

of which total revenue +3.9 % · buybacks/dilution +0.0 %

EBIT margin +0.6 %
Tax rate +0.5 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) +8.9 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

FUWAY screens 418% overvalued. Compare with Contemporary Amperex Technology Co →

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Furukawa Electric Co Ltd ADR · Fair Value
$2.42 −418%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Furukawa Electric Co Ltd ADR Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FUWAY

Peer Group

Electrical Equipment & Parts · 544 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation
Quality Score 56 · Above median
Fair Value upside −82% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 19% · Top 25%
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 12% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.4% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.36× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Electrical Equipment & Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 49.4× · Pricier than median

Context: sector, industry, market

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE61 · sector 56
PAST75 · sector 26
HEALTH82 · sector 97
DIVIDEND9 · sector 22

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Electrical Equipment & Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 8, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Contemporary Amperex Technology Co 3750 HK$652.50 HK$394.19 −40%
ABB Ltd ABBN CHF 80.10 CHF 28.70 −64%
Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company TDED 10.40 SGD 1.47 SGD −86%
Vertiv Holdings VRT $257.08 $63.13 −75%
LG Energy Solution, Ltd 373220 365,500 KRW 201,455 KRW −45%
Prysmian S.p.A PRY €117.10 €84.15 −28%
Legrand SA LR €140.90 €78.82 −44%
Sungrow Power Supply Co 300274 ¥86.40 ¥123.83 +43%
Hubbell Incorporated HUBB $443.31 $285.77 −36%
Shenzhen Inovance Technology Co 300124 ¥61.07 ¥33.04 −46%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Furukawa Electric Co Ltd ADR (FUWAY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $2.42 versus a price of $12.54, about −81% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of FUWAY?
Our model-based fair value for Furukawa Electric Co Ltd ADR is $2.42 (as of Sep 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $12.54.
What is the quality score of FUWAY?
Furukawa Electric Co Ltd ADR has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Furukawa Electric Co Ltd ADR (FUWAY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $2.42 (as of Sep 8, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario $1.77, optimistic scenario $5.96. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Furukawa Electric Co Ltd ADR stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $2.42, about −81% upside versus a price of $12.54 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $1.77, optimistic scenario $5.96. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Furukawa Electric Co Ltd ADR (FUWAY)?
Furukawa Electric Co Ltd ADR reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥1.3T (latest available figure, as of Sep 8, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of FUWAY?
The net profit margin of Furukawa Electric Co Ltd ADR is about 5.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 5.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Furukawa Electric Co Ltd ADR pay a dividend?
Furukawa Electric Co Ltd ADR currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.43% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 8, 2026).
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