German American Bancorp Inc (GABC) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of German American Bancorp Inc stock $28.47, price $50.08, that is 43.2% below the price, quality 46 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 6 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $23.57 – $51.38 · fair‑value band $25.13 – $33.61 · the $50.08 price screens above the $28.47 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 5, 2026.
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German American Bancorp, Inc. operates as a financial holding company for German American Bank that provides retail and commercial banking, and wealth management services. The company operates through Core Banking, and Wealth Management segments.
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The Core Banking segment accepts deposits from the general public; and originates consumer, commercial and agricultural, commercial and agricultural real estate, and residential mortgage loans, as well as sells residential mortgage loans in the secondary market.
The Wealth Management segment provides trust, investment advisory, brokerage, and retirement planning services.
It also offers demand deposits, savings, interest-bearing checking, money market accounts, and certificates of deposit; home equity and credit card loans; and wealth advisory and trust services. The company was founded in 1910 and is based in Jasper, Indiana.
Stock analysis
German American Bancorp Inc (GABC) currently trades at $50.08, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $28.47, 43% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $33.51 per share, and 0 of the 6 models we run sit above the $50.08 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $13.43, and 6 of the 6 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $25.13 (bear) to $33.61 (bull), the price of $50.08 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
German American Bancorp Inc reported revenue of $487M in FY2025 versus $230M in FY2021, a compound +20.7%/yr. Reported net income was $113M in FY2025, compounding +7.6%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $1.9B Small · P/E ratio 12.9 · P/S ratio 4.86 · EPS (TTM) $3.89 · Dividend yield 2.5% · Net margin 37.6% · Return on equity 12.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.7% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 67 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 35% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −28% fair-value upside, at −43%, GABC screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$25.13Fair Value $28.47Bull$33.61
Price $50.08 · Downside -43.2%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then ($2.27 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
In the last 6 months, no officer or director bought or sold shares on the open market.
Plan buyZachary W BawelDirector8× since Jan 15, 2026: 1,673 shares, avg. $49.06$82,100Oct 15, 2026
Plan buyChristina M RyanDirector7× since Dec 15, 2025: 1,055 shares, avg. $48.63$51,319Oct 15, 2026
Plan buyAndrew M SegerDirector10× since Nov 15, 2025: 1,134 shares, avg. $48.31$54,801Oct 15, 2026
Plan buyJason M KellyDirector2× since Jul 16, 2026: 467 shares, avg. $48.18$22,501Aug 17, 2026
Plan buyRonnie R StokesDirector314 shares at $47.84$15,001Jul 16, 2026
Plan buySusan J EllspermannDirector4× since Dec 15, 2025: 120 shares, avg. $41.63$5,000Jun 15, 2026
Plan buyJack SheidlerDirector3× since Jan 15, 2026: 75 shares, avg. $41.69$3,109Apr 15, 2026
Plus 11 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+54.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+20.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +16.2% a year
Revenue growth 33 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.4%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: adjusted.
+1.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−1.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.5%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5.5% vs 7.3%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.33% → 29%
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (91 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Hype
Recent news coverage is unusually upbeat, far more positive than stocks are typically covered.
Compare German American Bancorp Inc with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Banks - Regional · 998 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/15 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score46 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−43.2% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)12.8% · Above median
Return on assets1.3% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)37.6% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months)47.8% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)8.8% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months)2.5% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.12× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)12.9× · Pricier than median
P/B1.62× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months)4.86× · Priciest 25%
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year)12.2× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA12.3× · Pricier than median
PEG1.46× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 8
FUTURE (revenue growth)44· sector 47
PAST (return on equity)51· sector 43
HEALTH (low debt)–
DIVIDEND (yield)50· sector 53
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
HEALTH: for banks, insurers and similar financial firms borrowed money is part of the business, so we do not rate debt here.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "German American Bancorp Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GABC
Frequently asked questions
Is German American Bancorp Inc (GABC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $28.47 versus a price of $50.08, about 43% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of GABC?
Our model-based fair value for German American Bancorp Inc is $28.47 (as of Nov 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $50.08.
What is the quality score of GABC?
German American Bancorp Inc has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for German American Bancorp Inc (GABC)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $28.47 (as of Nov 5, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario $25.13, optimistic scenario $33.61. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the German American Bancorp Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $28.47, about 43% lower versus a price of $50.08 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $25.13, optimistic scenario $33.61. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of German American Bancorp Inc (GABC)?
German American Bancorp Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $387M (latest available figure, as of Nov 5, 2026).
Does German American Bancorp Inc pay a dividend?
German American Bancorp Inc currently shows a dividend yield of 2.48% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 5, 2026).
How much is the dividend of German American Bancorp Inc (GABC) and when is the ex-dividend date?
German American Bancorp Inc pays a dividend of $1.24 per share a year, a dividend yield of 2.5%. The next ex-dividend date is Nov 10, 2026, with payment on Nov 20, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 1993. The payout ratio is 31.9% of earnings. Our assessment: Low payout. A low payout ratio: the dividend takes at most 60 % of earnings. Whether free cash flow covers it as well, we cannot see for this company.
What is the intrinsic value of German American Bancorp Inc (GABC)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For German American Bancorp Inc it is $28.47 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026), against a price of $50.08. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models in 4 families (Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit).
Is German American Bancorp Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 5, 2026, GABC trades above its calculated fair value: price $50.08, fair value $28.47, a gap of about −43% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GABC?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($50.08); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($28.47). For German American Bancorp Inc the two are $21.61 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is German American Bancorp Inc worth?
The market values German American Bancorp Inc at about $1.9B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 5, 2026). Per share that is $50.08; our models calculate a fair value of $28.47 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GABC?
Our models span a range for German American Bancorp Inc: cautious scenario $25.13, base $28.47, optimistic $33.61 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026, price $50.08). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of GABC?
German American Bancorp Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 12.9 (as of Nov 5, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $28.47 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 9 fiscal years (2017 to 2025), reported earnings, 6 of the years ex one-offs: 12.3. Other multiples: PEG 1.5, P/B 1.6, P/S 4.9, EV/EBITDA 12.3.
What is the PEG ratio of GABC?
The PEG ratio of German American Bancorp Inc is 1.46 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 5, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of German American Bancorp Inc (GABC)?
Balance-sheet figures for German American Bancorp Inc (as of Nov 5, 2026): return on equity 12.8%, debt of 0.12 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 46/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GABC from its 52-week high?
German American Bancorp Inc trades at $50.08, about 3% below its 52-week high of $51.38 and 35% above the low of $37.23 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $28.47 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to German American Bancorp Inc?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value China Merchants Bank Co, DBS Group, UniCredit S.p.A, Mizuho Financial Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is German American Bancorp Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 5, 2026: price $50.08, calculated fair value $28.47 (−43%), Quality Score 46/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GABC calculated?
We run German American Bancorp Inc through 6 models from 4 families: Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $28.47 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. German American Bancorp Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of German American Bancorp Inc (GABC)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $50.08. Our model-based fair value is $28.47, about 43% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with German American Bancorp Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($33.61). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (46/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Where does the earnings growth of German American Bancorp Inc (GABC) come from?
Earnings per share at German American Bancorp Inc grew +7.7 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +8.5 %, EBIT margin −2.1 %, tax rate +1.4 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.0 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of German American Bancorp Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of German American Bancorp Inc (GABC)?
The market capitalisation of German American Bancorp Inc is $1.9B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of German American Bancorp Inc (GABC)?
The price-to-sales ratio of German American Bancorp Inc is 4.86 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of German American Bancorp Inc (GABC)?
Earnings per share at German American Bancorp Inc are $3.89 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 12.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of German American Bancorp Inc (GABC)?
The dividend yield of German American Bancorp Inc is 2.5% (payout 31.9%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of German American Bancorp Inc (GABC)?
The net margin of German American Bancorp Inc is 37.6% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of German American Bancorp Inc (GABC)?
The return on equity (ROE) of German American Bancorp Inc is 12.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of German American Bancorp Inc (GABC)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of German American Bancorp Inc is 1.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of German American Bancorp Inc (GABC)?
The operating margin of German American Bancorp Inc is 47.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at German American Bancorp Inc (GABC)?
Revenue at German American Bancorp Inc is growing +8.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +20.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at German American Bancorp Inc (GABC)?
Earnings per share at German American Bancorp Inc are growing +9.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does German American Bancorp Inc (GABC) generate?
The free cash flow of German American Bancorp Inc is $154M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does German American Bancorp Inc (GABC) carry?
The net debt of German American Bancorp Inc is $111M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Nov 5, 2026