Gabriel Holding (GABR) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Gabriel Holding DKK 95.28, price DKK 208, upside -54.2%, quality 68 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 130.48 – kr 695.33 · fair‑value band kr 86.24 – kr 112.19 · the kr 208.00 price screens above the kr 95.28 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Gabriel Holding A/S develops, manufactures, and sells upholstery fabrics, components, upholstered surfaces, and related products and services in Denmark, rest of Europe, North America, Asia, and internationally. It operates in two segments: Textile and Office Rental.
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Gabriel Holding A/S develops, manufactures, and sells upholstery fabrics, components, upholstered surfaces, and related products and services in Denmark, rest of Europe, North America, Asia, and internationally. It operates in two segments: Textile and Office Rental. The company offers upholstery fabrics and related textile products to manufacturers and users of upholstered furniture, seats, and upholstered surfaces. It is also involved in office leasing activities. The company was founded in 1851 and is based in Aalborg, Denmark.
Stock analysis
Gabriel Holding (GABR) currently trades at kr 208.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 95.28, implying the stock looks roughly 118.3% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of kr 465.19 per share, and 13 of the 26 models we run sit above the kr 208.00 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at kr 22.68, and 13 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: kr 86.24 (bear) to kr 112.19 (bull), the price of kr 208.00 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 68/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Gabriel Holding reported revenue of 516M DKK in FY2025 versus 810M DKK in FY2021, a compound −10.7%/yr. Reported net income was 7.5M DKK in FY2025, compounding −36.6%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 487M DKK (≈ $74.2M) · P/E ratio 17.1 · P/S ratio 0.25 · EPS (TTM) kr 12.19 · Dividend yield 2.4% · Net margin 1.4% · Return on equity 8.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −21% fair-value upside, at −54%, GABR screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear kr 86.24Fair Value kr 95.28Bull kr 112.19
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (kr 7.09 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.73/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−28.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−30.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.4%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−31% vs −10%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.6% → 9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−8.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Denmark: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 2.0% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −10.5% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Textile Manufacturing · 344 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score68 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−56% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)9% · Top 25%
Return on assets3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)10% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−3% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)2.4% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.12× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Textile Manufacturing median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)17.1× · Cheaper than median
P/B0.28× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM)0.14× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF0.7× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA1.0× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 11
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 0
PAST (return on equity)36· sector 15
HEALTH (low debt)94· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)48· sector 37
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Gabriel Holding Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GABR
Frequently asked questions
Is Gabriel Holding (GABR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 95.28 versus a price of kr 208.00, about −54% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of GABR?
Our model-based fair value for Gabriel Holding is kr 95.28 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 208.00.
What is the quality score of GABR?
Gabriel Holding has a Quality Score of 68/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Gabriel Holding (GABR)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of kr 95.28 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario kr 86.24, optimistic scenario kr 112.19. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Gabriel Holding stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at kr 95.28, about −54% upside versus a price of kr 208.00 (overvalued). Cautious scenario kr 86.24, optimistic scenario kr 112.19. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Gabriel Holding (GABR)?
Gabriel Holding reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 518M DKK (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Gabriel Holding pay a dividend?
Gabriel Holding currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.40% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Gabriel Holding (GABR)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Gabriel Holding would have to grow free cash flow by -8.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -6.6 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of GABR use?
Our models discount Gabriel Holding at 11.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.31, country premium for Denmark. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Gabriel Holding that is -8.6 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Gabriel Holding (GABR) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Gabriel Holding grew -6.6 % a year. The price currently implies -8.6 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Gabriel Holding (GABR) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Gabriel Holding (-8.6 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Gabriel Holding (GABR)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 26.06 %: that much free cash flow Gabriel Holding produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Gabriel Holding (GABR)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Gabriel Holding it is kr 95.28 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of kr 208.00. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Gabriel Holding stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, GABR trades above its calculated fair value: price kr 208.00, fair value kr 95.28, a gap of about −54% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GABR?
No. The price is what the market pays today (kr 208.00); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (kr 95.28). For Gabriel Holding the two are kr 112.72 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Gabriel Holding worth?
The market values Gabriel Holding at about 487M DKK (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is kr 208.00; our models calculate a fair value of kr 95.28 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GABR?
Our models span a range for Gabriel Holding: cautious scenario kr 86.24, base kr 95.28, optimistic kr 112.19 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price kr 208.00). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of GABR?
Gabriel Holding trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 17.1 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of kr 95.28 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.3, P/S 0.1, EV/EBITDA 1.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of Gabriel Holding (GABR)?
Balance-sheet figures for Gabriel Holding (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 8.9%, debt of 0.12 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 68/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GABR from its 52-week high?
Gabriel Holding trades at kr 208.00, about 29% below its 52-week high of kr 292.00 and 8% above the low of kr 193.00 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of kr 95.28 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Gabriel Holding?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Shenzhou International Group, Tongkun Group, Inner Mongolia ERDOS Resources Co, K.P.R. Mill Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Gabriel Holding stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price kr 208.00, calculated fair value kr 95.28 (−54%), Quality Score 68/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GABR calculated?
We run Gabriel Holding through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of kr 95.28, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Gabriel Holding itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Gabriel Holding (GABR)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was kr 208.00. Our model-based fair value is kr 95.28, about −54% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Gabriel Holding right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 112.19). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (68/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Gabriel Holding
How large is the market capitalisation of Gabriel Holding (GABR)?
The market capitalisation of Gabriel Holding is 487M DKK (≈ $74.2M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Gabriel Holding (GABR)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Gabriel Holding is 0.25 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Gabriel Holding (GABR)?
Earnings per share at Gabriel Holding are kr 12.19 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 17.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Gabriel Holding (GABR)?
The dividend yield of Gabriel Holding is 2.4% (payout 41.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Gabriel Holding (GABR)?
The net margin of Gabriel Holding is 1.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Gabriel Holding (GABR)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Gabriel Holding is 8.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Gabriel Holding (GABR)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Gabriel Holding is 5.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Gabriel Holding (GABR)?
The operating margin of Gabriel Holding is 10.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Gabriel Holding (GABR)?
Revenue at Gabriel Holding is growing −2.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg −21.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Gabriel Holding (GABR)?
Earnings per share at Gabriel Holding are growing +12.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Gabriel Holding (GABR) carry?
The net debt of Gabriel Holding is 323M DKK (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 3.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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