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Gabriel Holding (GABR) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · DK · Market cap 487M DKK

GH Gabriel Holding GABR · CO
Pricekr 278.00
Fair Valuekr 96.53
Upside-65.3%
Quality68/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 1.1% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
1.85% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (8/14)
Narrow moat 39/100
Evidence: High Range kr 72.04 – kr 112.19 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 25 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from kr 136.61 to kr 96.53 (−29.3%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +3.0% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 65% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 112.19). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (68/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

kr 695.33 kr 130.48 Fair Value kr 96.53 Sep 2020 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range kr 130.48 – kr 695.33 · fair‑value band kr 72.04 – kr 112.19 · the kr 278.00 price screens above the kr 96.53 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

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Analysis

Gabriel Holding (GABR) currently trades at kr 278.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 96.53, implying the stock looks roughly 65.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 68/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Gabriel Holding generated revenue of 518M DKK at a net margin of 1.1%. Revenue declined 2.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.9%. Net debt stands at 323M DKK. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from kr 72.04 (bear case) to kr 112.19 (bull case); at kr 278.00, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 57% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at -65%, GABR screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF kr 521.77 kr 706.70 kr 933.13 80
Residual Income kr 98.74 kr 95.28 kr 75.06 76
Rev-Margin DCF kr 334.01 kr 466.40 kr 617.87 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF kr 516.39 kr 725.84 kr 997.36 38
Owner Earnings kr 236.81 kr 332.28 kr 456.04 31
5Y Revenue Exit kr 334.01 kr 458.06 kr 607.23 39
5Y EBITDA Exit kr 469.80 kr 706.99 kr 975.24 41
5Y P/E Exit kr 246.45 kr 297.54 kr 345.30 38
10Y Revenue Exit kr 399.73 kr 522.27 kr 671.13 36
10Y EBITDA Exit kr 483.74 kr 678.49 kr 922.95 37
10Y P/E Exit kr 354.54 kr 421.54 kr 491.90 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd kr 27.74 kr 78.27 kr 103.02 54
Lynch FV kr 15.88 kr 22.68 kr 29.49 50
PEG = 1.0 kr 15.88 kr 22.68 kr 29.49 46
EPV kr 156.21 kr 177.15 kr 194.60 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM kr 86.24 kr 155.41 kr 213.94 70
DDM Multi-Stage kr 86.24 kr 128.79 kr 166.01 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple kr 67.32 kr 89.75 kr 112.19 63
P/S Multiple kr 52.02 kr 69.36 kr 86.69 58
P/B Multiple kr 52.02 kr 69.36 kr 86.69 55
EV/EBIT kr 327.91 kr 436.33 kr 544.76 53
EV/EBITDA kr 497.47 kr 662.42 kr 827.37 54
EV/Revenue kr 221.89 kr 315.86 kr 409.83 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 72.04 kr 96.53 kr 144.07 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF kr 521.77 kr 706.70 kr 933.13 80
Rev-Margin DCF kr 334.01 kr 466.40 kr 617.87 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income kr 98.74 kr 95.28 kr 75.06 76
ROIC Compounder kr 158.38 kr 188.55 kr 222.20 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E kr 53.63 kr 76.62 kr 99.60 68

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (kr 466.40) versus Earnings-Based (kr 22.68). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 518M DKK
Revenue growth (YoY) -2.9%
Net margin 1.1%
Return on equity 8.9%
Free cash flow 102M DKK FY2025
P/E ratio 21.8
More key figures
Operating margin 10.1%
EPS (TTM) kr 12.19
Dividend yield 1.9%
EPS growth (YoY) +12.6%
Net debt 323M DKK FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 68/100

Of which business quality 65 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 74

Profitability 36
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 77
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 87
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 35
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 98
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 75
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 69
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 84
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Gabriel Holding A/S develops, manufactures, and sells upholstery fabrics, components, upholstered surfaces, and related products and services in Denmark, rest of Europe, North America, Asia, and internationally. It operates in two segments: Textile and Office Rental.

Full company description

Gabriel Holding A/S develops, manufactures, and sells upholstery fabrics, components, upholstered surfaces, and related products and services in Denmark, rest of Europe, North America, Asia, and internationally. It operates in two segments: Textile and Office Rental. The company offers upholstery fabrics and related textile products to manufacturers and users of upholstered furniture, seats, and upholstered surfaces. It is also involved in office leasing activities. The company was founded in 1851 and is based in Aalborg, Denmark.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Gabriel Holding reported revenue of kr 516M in FY2025 versus kr 810M in FY2021, a compound −10.7%/yr. Reported net income was kr 7.5M in FY2025, compounding −36.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 55/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
516M DKK
Latest YoY
+6.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−21.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−6.6%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.2%
Revenue −10.7%/yr
FY21 kr 810M
FY22 kr 1.1B
FY23 kr 931M
FY24 kr 483M
FY25 kr 516M
Net income −36.6%/yr
FY21 kr 46.2M
FY22 kr 58.2M
FY23 −kr 4.3M
FY24 −kr 15.7M
FY25 kr 7.5M

GABR screens 65% overvalued. Compare with Shenzhou International Group →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Gabriel Holding Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GABR

Peer Group

Textile Manufacturing · 307 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 68 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −65% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Top 25%
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 10% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -3% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.9% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.12× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Textile Manufacturing median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 21.8× · Pricier than median
P/B 0.29× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.15× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.7× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 1.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 8
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 36 · sector 15
HEALTH 94 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 37 · sector 34

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Textile Manufacturing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Shenzhou International Group 2313 HK$44.40 HK$75.65 +70%
Tongkun Group 601233 ¥23.56 ¥14.53 -38%
Inner Mongolia ERDOS Resources Co 600295 ¥12.04 ¥14.35 +19%
HMT (Xiamen) New Technical Materials Co 603306 ¥91.75 ¥12.85 -86%
Far Eastern New Century Corporation 1402 27.55 TWD 28.72 TWD +4%
K.P.R. Mill Limited KPRMILL ₹1,083 ₹467.49 -57%
Zhejiang Orient Holdings 600120 ¥5.18 ¥2.21 -57%
Vardhman Textiles Limited VTL ₹602.20 ₹437.53 -27%
Isiklar Enerji ve Yapi Holding IEYHO 174.20 TRY 323.84 TRY +86%
Shandong Fiberglass Group 605006 ¥16.75 ¥6.42 -62%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Gabriel Holding (GABR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 96.53 versus a price of kr 278.00, about −65% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of GABR?
Our model-based fair value for Gabriel Holding is kr 96.53 (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is kr 278.00.
What is the quality score of GABR?
Gabriel Holding has a Quality Score of 68/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Gabriel Holding (GABR)?
Gabriel Holding reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 518M DKK (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of GABR?
The net profit margin of Gabriel Holding is about 1.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Gabriel Holding pay a dividend?
Gabriel Holding currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.85% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 16, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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